New York Islanders Playoff Chances 2010-2011

Lost to Flyers 3-4 (ot), playoff odds down 0.02 to 0.03%

68 points 14-9 31-8

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Flyers 4 Islanders 3 (ot)	*-0.0		-0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Sabres vs Senators			+0.1+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Islanders finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

128		20	-	0	0		-	0	In					2	37	47	13	2								62
119		15	-	2	1		-	2	33.3	%								33		67						3	*
118		13	-	5	1		-	1	In								100									2	*
117		14	-	3	2		-	1	88.9								44	44	11							9	*
116		14	-	2	2		-	2	45.8									46	42	13						24	*
115		13	-	3	2		-	2	37.5									38	38	25						40	*
114		12	-	4	2		-	2	18.2									18	53	19	8	1				88	*
113		13	-	2	3		-	2	13.9									14	38	35	11	2				180	*
112		12	-	3	3		-	2	9.7								1	9	35	40	13	2				340	*
111		12	-	2	3		-	3	3.7									4	24	42	26	4	0			591	*
110		11	-	3	3		-	3	1.5									1	14	40	34	10	1			1,007	*
109		10	-	4	3		-	3	0.3									0	10	34	38	16	2	0		1,586	*
108		10	-	3	3		-	4	0.1									0	4	25	42	25	4	0		2,725	*
107		10	-	3	4		-	3	Out										1	16	38	35	10	1		3,985	*
106		9	-	4	4		-	3	0.0									0	1	8	33	40	16	2		5,919	*
105		9	-	3	4		-	4	Out										0	4	24	42	25	5	0	8,651	*
104		9	-	3	5		-	3	Out										0	2	15	39	35	9	0	11,918	*
103		8	-	4	5		-	3	Out										0	1	8	33	42	16	0	16,153	*
102		8	-	3	5		-	4	Out											0	4	25	45	24	1	21,017	*
101		8	-	3	6		-	3	Out											0	2	16	45	34	3	26,360	*
100		8	-	2	6		-	4	Out											0	1	10	40	45	5	32,179	*
99		7	-	3	6		-	4	Out											0	0	5	33	54	8	38,532	*
98		7	-	3	7		-	3	Out												0	2	25	60	13	25,065	*
		6	-	4	6		-	4	Out												0	3	25	59	13	18,394	*
97		7	-	2	7		-	4	Out												0	1	17	62	20	23,680	*
		6	-	4	7		-	3	Out													1	17	62	20	25,388	*
96		6	-	3	7		-	4	Out												0	0	11	62	27	52,426	*
95		5	-	4	7		-	4	Out													0	6	58	35	22,280	*
		6	-	3	8		-	3	Out													0	6	58	35	32,798	*
94		6	-	2	8		-	4	Out													0	3	53	44	30,289	*
		5	-	3	7		-	5	Out													0	3	53	44	25,396	*
93		5	-	3	8		-	4	Out													0	2	46	52	20,314	*
		6	-	2	9		-	3	Out														2	46	52	34,719	*
92		4	-	4	8		-	4	Out														1	39	60	20,384	*
		5	-	3	9		-	3	Out														1	39	61	31,524	*
91		5	-	2	9		-	4	Out														0	32	67	29,090	*
		4	-	4	9		-	3	Out														0	32	68	18,948	*
90		4	-	3	9		-	4	Out														0	26	74	42,188	*
89		4	-	2	9		-	5	Out														0	20	80	36,457	*
88		4	-	2	10		-	4	Out														0	15	85	30,459	*
87		4	-	2	11		-	3	Out														0	11	89	24,091	*
86		3	-	2	10		-	5	Out															8	92	18,708	*
85		3	-	2	11		-	4	Out															5	95	13,754	*
84		3	-	2	12		-	3	Out															3	97	9,935	*
83		3	-	1	12		-	4	Out															2	98	6,773	*
82		2	-	2	12		-	4	Out															1	99	4,450	*
81		2	-	2	13		-	3	Out															1	99	2,738	*
80		2	-	1	13		-	4	Out															0	100	1,723	*
79		2	-	1	14		-	3	Out															0	100	1,003	*
68	-78								Out																100	1,048	*

Total:									0.0	%				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	12	38	43	775,393

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Sabres vs Senators	-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Oilers vs Blues	+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

128		20	-	0	0		-	0								2	2	35	8	39	8	5		2
119		15	-	2	1		-	2																33				33	33
118		13	-	5	1		-	1														100
117		14	-	3	2		-	1														44		44				11
116		14	-	2	2		-	2																46				4	25	25
115		13	-	3	2		-	2																38			3	5	18	38
114		12	-	4	2		-	2																18				13	24	27	11	5	2
113		13	-	2	3		-	2																14			1	4	19	33	21	6	2
112		12	-	3	3		-	2														1		9				1	15	34	27	11	2
111		12	-	2	3		-	3																4				0	7	29	34	21	4	1
110		11	-	3	3		-	3																1				0	3	19	37	29	9	2
109		10	-	4	3		-	3																0				0	2	11	32	34	16	5	0	0
108		10	-	3	3		-	4																0					0	5	21	38	27	7	1	0
107		10	-	3	4		-	3																					0	2	13	31	34	16	4	0
106		9	-	4	4		-	3																0					0	1	6	25	37	24	7	1
105		9	-	3	4		-	4																						0	3	16	34	32	13	2	0
104		9	-	3	5		-	3																							1	9	28	36	22	4	0	0
103		8	-	4	5		-	3																						0	0	4	19	36	30	9	0	0
102		8	-	3	5		-	4																							0	2	12	31	37	17	1	0
101		8	-	3	6		-	3																							0	1	6	25	41	25	3	0
100		8	-	2	6		-	4																								0	3	17	40	35	5	0
99		7	-	3	6		-	4																								0	1	10	35	45	9	0
98		7	-	3	7		-	3																								0	0	5	27	51	15	1
97		6	-	3	6		-	5																									0	2	18	54	23	2
		7	-	2	7		-	4																									0	3	19	53	23	2
96		6	-	3	7		-	4																									0	1	12	52	31	4
		7	-	2	8		-	3																									0	1	12	52	31	4
95		6	-	3	8		-	3																									0	0	7	47	39	7
94		5	-	4	8		-	3																										0	3	39	46	12
		6	-	2	8		-	4																										0	4	39	45	12
93		5	-	3	8		-	4																										0	2	31	49	17
92		5	-	3	9		-	3																										0	1	23	51	24
		4	-	4	8		-	4																											1	24	51	24
91		5	-	2	9		-	4																											0	17	51	32
		4	-	4	9		-	3																											0	17	51	32
90		4	-	3	9		-	4																											0	12	48	41
89		4	-	2	9		-	5																											0	8	43	50
88		4	-	2	10		-	4																											0	5	37	59
87		4	-	2	11		-	3																											0	3	31	67
86		3	-	2	10		-	5																												2	24	75
85		3	-	2	11		-	4																												1	18	81
84		3	-	2	12		-	3																												0	14	86
83		3	-	1	12		-	4																												0	10	90
82		2	-	2	12		-	4																												0	7	93
81		2	-	2	13		-	3																												0	5	95
80		2	-	1	13		-	4																													2	98
79		2	-	1	14		-	3																													2	98
78		1	-	2	14		-	3																													1	99
77		1	-	1	14		-	4																													1	99
68	-76																																					100

Total:																0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0			0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	11	27	30	22