Sports Club Stats, which I have open
in like seven browser tabs always
-Katie Baker

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 5 -1.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Hurricanes vs Penguins+8.8+2.9+2.6-2.6-3.2-8.7
+0.4+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.4
Sabres vs Senators-1.9-0.7*-0.6+1.1+0.5+1.9
-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Capitals vs Rangers+1.8+0.6*+0.3*-0.5-0.7-1.7
+0.1+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Lightning vs Devils+0.8*+0.3*+0.3*+0.0*-0.3-0.8

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hurricanes finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPW-OTL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
14821-00-0In25641059
14417-40-0In1001
14317-30-1In1001
14216-40-1In50502
14116-41-0In1002*
14016-31-1In3838258*
13915-41-1In19562516*
13815-31-2In2472329*
13715-32-1In245691166*
13614-42-1In18611011128*
13514-32-2In125612182273*
13413-42-2In653142430481*
13312-52-2In443133090781*
13213-33-2In236104013001,292*
13112-43-2In12983921202,042*
13012-33-3In12153929503,308*
12912-34-2In01633537904,809*
12811-44-2In010229431617,055*
12711-34-3100.0%71204724209,890*
12610-44-399.9401345334013,257*
12510-45-299.820840428017,452*
12410-35-399.31043250131022,452*
1239-45-398.6022353201027,495*
1229-46-296.40011552283032,399*
1219-36-393.200947376037,642*
1208-46-387.60053944111042,338*
1198-36-478.80022947192046,000*
1188-37-368.200121472750049,287*
1177-47-355.1013423591050,520*
1167-37-442.20735411520050,249*
1157-38-329.70426422340048,884*
1146-48-318.60217403291045,884*
1136-38-410.101103339152042,074*
1126-39-35.00525412450037,626*
1115-49-32.302163832101032,635*
1105-39-40.80193239173027,428*
1095-310-30.3052241276021,908*
1085-210-40.102143736111017,437*
1074-310-40.00173041192013,561*
1064-311-3Out042143275010,111*
1054-211-4Out011338371017,132*
1043-311-4Out0730441714,950*
1033-312-3Out0322462543,253*
1023-212-4Out0114433572,096*
1013-213-3Out083741141,350*
1002-212-5Out04314222795*
992-213-4Out2215126439*
982-214-3Out0144838262*
972-114-4Out193653116*
962-115-3Out3415666*
951-215-3Out8335824*
941-216-2Out188211*
931-217-1Out1006*
921-016-4Out1001
85-91Out10061*
Total:49.2%0010271822191495210737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday100.0*Lottery seed
Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday100.0*Lottery seed
Hurricanes vs Penguins-1.0-0.4-0.3+0.3+0.4+1.0
Sabres vs Senators+0.1*+0.1*+0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.1
Capitals vs Rangers-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.1
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes+0.0*+0.0*+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPW-OTL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
14821-00-010156410
14417-40-0100
14317-30-1100
14216-40-15050
14116-41-05050
14016-31-113253825
13915-41-161350625
13815-31-2101455173
13715-32-181744128211
13614-42-121634279211
13514-32-2210262984182
13413-42-20618358522230
13312-52-249346823890
13213-33-2263028251511100
13112-43-21227171723165200
13012-33-311210510281911400
12912-34-20016034311621720
12811-44-200100212712319610
12711-34-3710196411014100
12610-44-30400132438262200
12510-45-220803943835000
12410-35-310403224821000000
1239-45-302023052219000000
1229-46-200115052127111100
1219-36-3009047037012210
1208-46-30050390440144200
1198-36-400229047014862000
1188-37-300121470131012510
1177-47-301342002101811300
1167-37-40735001822206100
1157-38-30426005202814300
1146-48-30217002163322710
1136-38-401100110313114300
1126-39-3050052434237100
1115-49-3020215323114300
1105-39-401018253523710
1095-310-300416333113200
1085-210-40019253523600
1074-310-400041734311210
1064-311-30021028371940
1054-211-4015203729810
1043-311-4021233371420
1033-312-31624412350
1023-212-400215383491
1013-213-3193338182
1002-212-5052737265
992-213-421740347
982-214-3010364311
972-114-47264622
962-115-32245223
951-215-3294625
941-216-295536
931-217-1100
921-016-4100
85-91100
Total:0000010002061170220013711107532100