Phoenix Coyotes Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 91%

103 points 28-5 20-9

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Wings 1 Stars 4	-0.4
Canucks 3 Blues 2	+0.3

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	-4.5-0.8-0.9+1.6+1.9+4.0		-0.6-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.2+0.5
Flames vs Sharks	-0.4-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1+0.4		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1
Oilers vs Blues	+0.2+0.2+0.1-0.1+0.0-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Chances based on how well the Coyotes finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

156	-163								In		100															67	*
155		17	-	0	2		-	1	In		88	13														16	*
154		15	-	2	1		-	2	In		81	19														31	*
153		15	-	2	2		-	1	In		75	25														67	*
152		14	-	3	2		-	1	In		68	32														125	*
151		13	-	4	2		-	1	In		61	39	0													259	*
150		13	-	3	2		-	2	In		49	50	1													475	*
149		12	-	4	2		-	2	In		39	60	0	0												813	*
148		12	-	4	3		-	1	In		32	66	2	0												1,393	*
147		12	-	3	3		-	2	In		25	71	4	0												2,343	*
146		11	-	4	3		-	2	In		19	74	6	1												3,725	*
145		11	-	3	3		-	3	In		13	78	8	1												5,569	*
144		11	-	3	4		-	2	In		10	76	12	3												7,862	*
143		10	-	4	4		-	2	In		6	73	17	4	0											11,025	*
142		10	-	3	4		-	3	In		4	68	22	6	0											14,756	*
141		9	-	4	4		-	3	In		2	61	27	10	0											19,298	*
140		9	-	4	5		-	2	In		1	53	32	13	0											24,513	*
139		9	-	3	5		-	3	In		1	42	37	20	1	0										30,144	*
138		8	-	4	5		-	3	In		0	32	40	26	2	0										35,507	*
137		8	-	3	5		-	4	In		0	23	41	31	4	0	0									40,893	*
136		8	-	3	6		-	3	In		0	14	39	37	9	1	0									44,907	*
135		7	-	4	6		-	3	In		0	8	35	40	15	2	0									48,989	*
134		7	-	3	6		-	4	In			4	28	40	23	4	0	0								25,677	*
		6	-	5	6		-	3	In			5	29	39	23	4	0									25,474	*
133		7	-	3	7		-	3	100.0	%		2	21	35	32	9	1	0	0							51,647	*
132		6	-	4	7		-	3	100.0			1	14	26	37	18	4	0	0							50,942	*
131		6	-	3	7		-	4	99.9			0	9	17	37	27	8	1	0	0						48,337	*
130		6	-	3	8		-	3	99.6			0	5	9	31	34	17	4	0	0						45,192	*
129		6	-	2	8		-	4	98.2			0	2	4	20	35	27	10	2	0	0					40,374	*
128		5	-	3	8		-	4	94.1				1	1	11	29	33	19	5	1	0					35,043	*
127		5	-	3	9		-	3	84.8				0	0	5	18	32	29	12	3	0					29,982	*
126		5	-	2	9		-	4	68.8				0	0	1	9	25	34	23	7	1	0				24,545	*
125		4	-	3	9		-	4	49.3				0	0	0	3	15	31	31	16	4	0				19,281	*
124		4	-	3	10		-	3	29.5				0		0	1	7	22	33	26	9	2	0			14,714	*
123		4	-	2	10		-	4	15.3						0	0	2	13	28	34	19	4	0			10,899	*
122		4	-	2	11		-	3	5.5							0	1	5	20	34	29	11	1	0		7,871	*
121		3	-	3	11		-	3	1.8								0	2	10	29	37	20	3			5,495	*
120		3	-	2	11		-	4	0.8								0	1	4	19	39	30	7	0		3,651	*
119		3	-	2	12		-	3	0.1									0	1	10	32	42	14	0		2,296	*
118		3	-	1	12		-	4	Out										0	5	25	46	23	1		1,429	*
117		2	-	2	12		-	4	0.1									0		2	15	48	34	2		818	*
116		2	-	2	13		-	3	Out										0	0	7	39	47	6		495	*
115		2	-	2	14		-	2	Out											0	4	39	51	6		228	*
114		1	-	2	13		-	4	Out													25	56	18		114	*
113		1	-	2	14		-	3	Out													13	80	7		54	*
112		1	-	1	14		-	4	Out													3	66	31		29	*
111		1	-	0	14		-	5	Out														90	10		10	*
110		1	-	0	15		-	4	Out														56	44		9	*
108		1	-	1	18		-	0	Out															50	50	2	*
103		0	-	0	20		-	0	Out														5	85	10	59

Total:									91.0	%	1	14	19	19	14	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Thursday	None

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	+1.0+0.3+0.3-0.4-0.4-1.0
Flames vs Sharks	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:									Chance will finish season at seed
TP		W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

163		20	-	0	0		-	0	92	8
157	-158								100
156		14	-	5	0		-	1	60	40
155		17	-	0	2		-	1	56	31	13
154		15	-	2	1		-	2	52	29	19
153		15	-	2	2		-	1	48	27	25
152		14	-	3	2		-	1	29	39	32
151		13	-	4	2		-	1	24	37	37	2	0
150		13	-	3	2		-	2	17	32	48	2	1
149		12	-	4	2		-	2	12	27	58	3	0		0
148		12	-	4	3		-	1	6	26	61	5	2		0
147		12	-	3	3		-	2	4	21	63	9	4		0
146		11	-	4	3		-	2	2	17	62	12	6		1	0
145		11	-	3	3		-	3	1	12	62	16	8	0	1	0
144		11	-	3	4		-	2	1	9	55	21	12	0	2	0
143		10	-	4	4		-	2	0	6	47	27	17	0	4	0	0
142		10	-	3	4		-	3	0	4	38	30	22	1	5	1	0
141		9	-	4	4		-	3	0	2	29	32	26	1	8	2	0
140		9	-	4	5		-	2	0	1	20	33	30	2	10	4	0
139		9	-	3	5		-	3		1	13	29	33	4	13	7	1	0	0
138		8	-	4	5		-	3		0	7	25	33	7	15	11	2	0	0
137		8	-	3	5		-	4		0	4	19	31	10	16	16	4	0	0		0
136		8	-	3	6		-	3		0	2	13	27	12	15	22	8	0	1		0
135		7	-	4	6		-	3		0	1	8	21	14	13	27	14	1	2	0	0
134		7	-	3	6		-	4			0	4	14	15	10	30	20	3	4	0	0		0
133		7	-	3	7		-	3			0	2	8	13	6	28	25	7	9	0	1		0		0
132		6	-	4	7		-	3			0	1	4	10	3	23	25	12	17	1	4		0		0
131		6	-	3	7		-	4				0	2	7	1	16	21	16	26	2	8	0	1		0	0
130		6	-	3	8		-	3				0	1	4	0	9	13	17	30	4	17	0	4		0	0
129		6	-	2	8		-	4				0	0	2	0	4	6	14	28	6	27	0	10	0	2	0	0
128		5	-	3	8		-	4					0	1	0	1	2	8	20	8	33	1	19	0	5	1	0
127		5	-	3	9		-	3					0	0	0	0	1	4	10	8	31	2	29	0	12	3	0
126		5	-	2	9		-	4					0	0		0	0	1	4	5	22	3	34	0	23	8	1	0
125		4	-	3	9		-	4						0		0	0	0	1	2	12	3	30	0	31	16	4	0
124		4	-	3	10		-	3						0			0	0	0	1	5	2	21	1	33	27	9	2	0
123		4	-	2	10		-	4										0	0	0	1	1	12	1	27	34	19	4	0
122		4	-	2	11		-	3												0	0	0	4	1	19	35	29	11	1	0
121		3	-	3	11		-	3													0	0	1	0	10	28	37	20	3	0
120		3	-	2	11		-	4														0	1	0	4	18	38	31	8	0	0
119		3	-	2	12		-	3																0	1	9	31	41	16	2	0
118		3	-	1	12		-	4																	0	4	22	41	28	5	0
117		2	-	2	12		-	4																0		1	11	36	38	11	2	0
116		2	-	2	13		-	3																	0	0	5	26	38	23	8	0
115		2	-	2	14		-	2																		0	2	16	37	30	12	2	0
114		1	-	2	13		-	4																				15	23	38	21	4
113		1	-	2	14		-	3																				2	17	35	37	9
112		1	-	1	14		-	4																					3	24	45	14	10	3
111		1	-	0	14		-	5																					10	30	30		20	10
110		1	-	1	16		-	2																						11	44		44
108		1	-	1	18		-	0																										100
103		0	-	0	20		-	0																									5	25	37	25	7

Total:									0	1	6	9	12	6	6	13	9	5	9	2	7	0	6	0	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0