Columbus Blue Jackets Playoff Chances 2010-2011 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 0.5 to 31.5%

88 points 22-8 23-6

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain

Thursday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Red Wings 1 Stars 4	-0.8		-0.1
Canucks 3 Blues 2	+0.6		+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	+8.6+2.3+2.3-3.1-3.2-8.1		+0.6+0.2+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.6
Flames vs Sharks	-0.5-0.1-0.4+0.3+0.2+0.5
Oilers vs Blues	+0.4+0.4+0.2-0.4-0.0-0.5		+0.1+0.0+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Blue Jackets finish out the regular season. Explain

										100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	Count

157	23	-	0	0		-	0	In		93	7														59
151	20	-	1	1		-	1	In		100															1
149	16	-	6	0		-	1	In			100														1
148	16	-	5	0		-	2	In		33	67														3	*
147	15	-	6	0		-	2	In		25	75														4	*
146	16	-	4	1		-	2	In		15	80		5												20	*
145	15	-	6	2		-	0	In		16	80	4													25	*
144	15	-	5	2		-	1	In		12	71		17												58	*
143	15	-	4	2		-	2	In		4	71	7	19												107	*
142	15	-	3	2		-	3	In		8	59	11	21	0											228	*
141	15	-	3	3		-	2	In		2	57	14	27	1											394	*
140	14	-	4	3		-	2	In		1	47	16	35	1											638	*
139	14	-	3	3		-	3	In		0	34	19	44	2											1,113	*
138	13	-	4	3		-	3	In		0	24	21	49	5	0										1,742	*
137	13	-	4	4		-	2	In		0	16	21	53	9	1										2,713	*
136	13	-	3	4		-	3	In			9	19	54	16	2	0									3,961	*
135	12	-	4	4		-	3	In			5	18	49	24	4	0									5,881	*
134	11	-	5	4		-	3	In			2	14	42	33	8	1	0								8,101	*
133	11	-	5	5		-	2	100.0	%		1	11	30	38	17	3	0	0							10,825	*
132	11	-	4	5		-	3	100.0			0	7	19	39	26	7	1	0							14,283	*
131	10	-	5	5		-	3	99.8			0	4	10	33	34	15	3	0	0						18,290	*
130	10	-	4	5		-	4	98.8			0	3	4	22	37	25	8	1	0						22,678	*
129	10	-	4	6		-	3	95.7			0	1	2	12	31	33	16	4	0	0					27,697	*
128	9	-	5	6		-	3	89.0				1	0	6	21	35	27	9	1	0					32,508	*
127	9	-	4	6		-	4	75.8				0	0	2	11	28	34	19	5	0	0				37,125	*
126	9	-	4	7		-	3	57.6				0	0	0	5	19	33	29	11	2	0				40,898	*
125	9	-	3	7		-	4	38.5				0		0	2	10	27	35	21	5	0	0			44,498	*
124	8	-	4	7		-	4	21.2				0		0	0	4	17	34	31	12	2	0			46,505	*
123	8	-	4	8		-	3	10.2				0		0	0	1	9	26	36	22	5	0			48,153	*
122	8	-	3	8		-	4	3.7				0			0	0	3	16	35	32	12	1	0		48,288	*
121	7	-	4	8		-	4	1.2							0	0	1	8	27	39	21	3	0		46,744	*
120	7	-	4	9		-	3	0.3								0	0	3	18	39	32	7	0		44,823	*
119	7	-	3	9		-	4	0.1									0	1	10	34	41	14	0		41,020	*
118	6	-	4	9		-	4	0.0									0	0	5	25	45	24	1		36,637	*
117	6	-	3	9		-	5	Out										0	2	16	45	34	2		32,397	*
116	6	-	3	10		-	4	Out										0	1	9	40	45	4		27,639	*
115	5	-	4	10		-	4	Out										0	0	5	33	55	8		22,845	*
114	5	-	3	10		-	5	Out											0	2	25	60	13	0	18,232	*
113	5	-	3	11		-	4	Out											0	1	17	64	19	0	14,228	*
112	5	-	3	12		-	3	Out												0	11	62	27	0	10,887	*
111	4	-	3	11		-	5	Out												0	6	59	35	0	8,112	*
110	4	-	3	12		-	4	Out												0	4	53	42	0	5,936	*
109	4	-	3	13		-	3	Out												0	2	46	52	1	4,038	*
108	4	-	2	13		-	4	Out												0	1	38	59	2	2,697	*
107	3	-	3	13		-	4	Out													1	30	66	3	1,710	*
106	3	-	3	14		-	3	Out													0	25	70	5	1,107	*
105	3	-	2	14		-	4	Out													0	20	73	7	629	*
104	3	-	2	15		-	3	Out														15	75	11	426	*
103	2	-	2	14		-	5	Out														7	77	16	242	*
102	3	-	1	16		-	3	Out														5	76	19	122	*
101	2	-	2	16		-	3	Out														5	76	19	62	*
100	2	-	1	16		-	4	Out														3	59	38	29	*
99	0	-	3	15		-	5	Out															60	40	10	*
98	1	-	2	17		-	3	Out															25	75	12	*
97	0	-	3	17		-	3	Out															50	50	2	*
96	0	-	2	17		-	4	Out															50	50	2	*
88	0	-	0	23		-	0	Out																100	59

Total:								31.5	%	0	0	1	3	4	6	8	9	11	13	14	15	13	3	0	737,444

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Canucks 3 Blues 2	-0.1
Red Wings 1 Stars 4	+0.1

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Friday	100.0*	Lottery seed
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes	-1.0-0.3-0.3+0.4+0.4+1.0
Oilers vs Blues	-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0+0.0+0.1
Lightning vs Devils	-0.0+0.0+0.1+0.0*-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

								100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:								Chance will finish season at seed
TP	W	-	OT		L	-	OT	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30

157	23	-	0	0		-	0	76	17	7
151	20	-	1	1		-	1	100
149	16	-	6	0		-	1			100
148	16	-	5	0		-	2		33	67
147	15	-	6	0		-	2	25		25	50
146	16	-	4	1		-	2	10	5	80				5
145	15	-	6	2		-	0		16	68	12	4
144	15	-	5	2		-	1		12	60	10			17
143	15	-	4	2		-	2	1	3	56	15	7		17	2
142	15	-	3	2		-	3		8	40	19	11		17	4	0
141	15	-	3	3		-	2		2	32	25	14	0	22	5	1
140	14	-	4	3		-	2		1	24	23	15	1	27	8	1
139	14	-	3	3		-	3		0	13	20	17	2	30	15	2
138	13	-	4	3		-	3		0	8	17	18	4	29	20	5		0
137	13	-	4	4		-	2		0	4	13	16	5	27	26	8	0	1
136	13	-	3	4		-	3			1	8	14	6	23	31	16	1	2		0
135	12	-	4	4		-	3			1	4	11	7	18	31	22	2	4	0	0
134	11	-	5	4		-	3			0	2	6	8	11	31	29	4	8	0	1		0
133	11	-	5	5		-	2			0	1	4	6	6	25	31	7	16	0	3		0		0
132	11	-	4	5		-	3				0	2	5	3	17	28	11	25	1	7		1		0
131	10	-	5	5		-	3				0	1	4	1	10	19	13	32	1	15	0	3		0	0
130	10	-	4	5		-	4				0	0	2	0	4	10	11	34	3	25	0	8		1	0
129	10	-	4	6		-	3				0	0	1	0	2	4	8	26	5	33	0	16	0	4	0	0
128	9	-	5	6		-	3					0	1		0	1	4	16	5	34	0	27		9	2	0
127	9	-	4	6		-	4					0	0		0	0	2	7	4	27	1	34	0	19	5	0	0
126	9	-	4	7		-	3					0	0		0	0	0	2	2	18	1	33	0	28	12	2	0
125	9	-	3	7		-	4						0			0	0	1	1	8	1	27	0	34	22	5	0	0
124	8	-	4	7		-	4						0				0	0	0	3	1	16	0	33	32	12	2	0
123	8	-	4	8		-	3						0				0	0	0	1	0	8	1	26	37	22	5	0
122	8	-	3	8		-	4						0					0	0	0	0	3	0	16	35	33	12	1	0
121	7	-	4	8		-	4												0	0	0	1	0	8	27	39	21	4	0	0
120	7	-	4	9		-	3														0	0	0	3	17	38	32	8	0	0
119	7	-	3	9		-	4															0	0	1	9	32	40	16	2	0	0
118	6	-	4	9		-	4															0		0	4	21	42	27	5	1	0
117	6	-	3	9		-	5																	0	1	12	37	36	11	2	0
116	6	-	3	10		-	4																	0	0	5	27	40	20	6	1	0	0
115	5	-	4	10		-	4																	0	0	2	16	37	29	13	3	0	0
114	5	-	3	10		-	5																		0	1	8	28	33	22	7	1	0	0
113	5	-	3	11		-	4																		0	0	3	18	32	30	14	3	0	0
112	5	-	3	12		-	3																			0	1	9	24	34	23	8	1	0
111	4	-	3	11		-	5																				0	4	15	31	31	14	4	0	0
110	4	-	3	12		-	4																				0	1	8	24	34	23	8	1	0
109	4	-	3	13		-	3																					0	4	15	32	31	15	3	0
108	4	-	2	13		-	4																					0	1	7	25	35	23	7	1	0
107	3	-	3	13		-	4																						1	3	16	33	34	12	2	0
106	3	-	3	14		-	3																							1	7	28	37	21	5	0
105	3	-	2	14		-	4																							0	4	16	41	30	7	1
104	3	-	2	15		-	3																								2	13	31	37	15	2
103	2	-	2	14		-	5																									3	25	45	23	5
102	3	-	1	16		-	3																									3	25	32	33	7
101	2	-	2	16		-	3																									2	8	39	39	13
100	2	-	1	16		-	4																										3	31	31	21	14
99	0	-	3	15		-	5																												60	40
98	1	-	1	16		-	5																										8		33	58
97	0	-	3	17		-	3																											50		50
96	0	-	2	17		-	4																											50	50
88	0	-	0	23		-	0																												2	12	86

Total:								0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	2	5	1	7	0	9	0	11	13	13	12	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0