How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Disbanded100.0*Average seed
Lightning vs Blues+6.9+6.4+6.4-1.4-1.4-8.6
+2.0+1.9+1.8-0.7-0.7-2.4
-4.6-4.2-4.3+0.5+0.5+5.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.2-0.2-1.0
Panthers vs Kings+0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3+0.3-0.1
Wild vs Capitals+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1
Blackhawks vs Devils+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1
Hurricanes vs Oilers+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1
Flyers vs Jets+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3+0.2-0.1
Stars vs Rangers+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Disbanded100.0*Average seed
Lightning vs Stars+7.0+6.4+6.4-1.4-1.4-8.6
+2.1+1.9+1.9-0.7-0.7-2.4
-4.6-4.2-4.2+0.5+0.6+5.8
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.1-0.2-1.0
Hurricanes vs Wild+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.2-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1
Blackhawks vs Canucks+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1
Canucks vs Penguins+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1
Flyers vs Kings+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1
Blues vs Oilers+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1
Devils vs Penguins+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516DisbandedCount
53-60InYes100No4,145*
52253-2In99.9%1000No1,392*
51243-3In99.91000No3,166*
50244-2In99.51000No6,975*
49234-3In99.3991No14,013*
48235-2In98.4982No27,161*
47225-3In96.89730No49,334*
46226-2In93.69460No85,075*
45216-3In88.0881200No139,055*
44206-4In79.17919100No216,229*
43207-3In66.46629400No320,325*
42197-4In49.9503910100No453,822*
41198-3In32.03244204000No615,457*
40188-4In16.416393111200No799,991*
39189-3100.0%6.1625362481000No997,496*
38179-4100.01.41112733207100No1,191,133*
371710-399.90.2031327311961000No595,709
169-599.80.2021226312071000No774,274*
361610-498.10.00031125302182000No630,839
1711-298.10.00031225302082000No883,485*
351611-388.50.000021023302292000No690,678
1510-586.7No0029223023103000No922,236*
341511-457.6No000171930261341000.0%689,838
1612-258.3No000282029251231000.0961,461*
331512-324.2No0001617292715410000.1688,653
1411-521.8No000151628281651000.1938,857*
321412-44.5No000141327301861001.1646,871
1513-24.8No000141427291861001.2901,034*
311413-30.6No00014132730196106.9801,038*
1312-50.4No0003112431228109.3614,415*
301313-40.0No0003122632206126.7523,137
1414-20.0No0003122632206126.5729,240*
291314-30.0No000313293317353.61,064,024*
281214-4OutNo00141835321077.2871,437*
271215-3OutNo0001827422391.3686,474*
261115-4OutNo00316433997.3523,467*
251116-3OutNo018365699.3382,304*
241016-4OutNo003277099.9270,067*
231017-3OutNo011881100.0183,123*
22917-4OutNo001189100.0118,835*
21918-3OutNo0694Yes75,096*
20818-4OutNo0397Yes45,303*
19819-3OutNo0298Yes26,007*
18719-4OutNo199Yes14,519*
17720-3OutNo0100Yes7,674*
16721-2OutNo0100Yes3,923*
15621-3OutNo0100Yes1,859*
14622-2OutNo100Yes858*
13522-3OutNo0100Yes371*
0-12OutNo100Yes3,533*
Total:50.0%6.2%666666666666666618.8%21,195,408

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs