How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 4/28100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Disbanded100.0*Average seed
Wild vs Capitals-8.6-1.4-1.3+6.3+6.4+7.0
-2.4-0.6-0.7+1.8+1.8+2.0
+5.8+0.5+0.5-4.3-4.3-4.6
-1.0-0.1-0.1+0.7+0.7+0.8
Panthers vs Kings+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2
*+0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.0-0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.2*+0.2+0.4-0.1
*+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Flyers vs Jets+0.1-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.4+0.1
-0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3+0.4-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0
Blackhawks vs Devils+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.5-0.5+0.1
*+0.0-0.1-0.2*-0.1-0.1+0.0
*-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1
Lightning vs Blues+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.1
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1
Hurricanes vs Oilers*+0.1-0.4-0.2-0.3-0.4+0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.4+0.3+0.3-0.1
Stars vs Rangers+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1
-0.1+0.3*+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 5/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Pres Trophy100.0*Disbanded100.0*Average seed
Blues vs Oilers+0.1-0.5-0.3-0.4-0.3+0.1
-0.1+0.4*+0.1+0.2+0.2-0.1
Lightning vs Stars+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.5+0.2
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.4+0.2-0.1
Blackhawks vs Canucks+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1
-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0*+0.0
Canucks vs Penguins+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1
-0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1
Devils vs Penguins+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1
*+0.0-0.1-0.2*-0.1*-0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.3+0.4*+0.1+0.4-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0*+0.0
Hurricanes vs Wild+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1
-0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3+0.2-0.1
Flyers vs Kings+0.2-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.1
-0.1+0.4+0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Capitals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inPresChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffsTrophy12345678910111213141516DisbandedCount
52-60InYes100No1,786*
51243-3In99.9%1000No1,057*
50244-2In99.71000No2,330*
49234-3In99.4991No4,650*
48235-2In98.5982No9,247*
47225-3In96.89730No16,469*
46226-2In93.894600No28,679*
45216-3In88.1881200No45,997*
44206-4In79.2791910No71,950*
43207-3In66.26629400No107,466*
42197-4In49.9503910100No151,212*
41198-3In32.0324420400No204,746*
40188-4In16.5163931112000No266,161*
39189-3In6.462636237100No146,277
178-5100.0%5.9624362481000No185,005*
38179-4100.01.31102733217100No164,605
1810-2100.01.41112733207100No232,115*
371710-399.90.203122731197100No204,919*
169-599.80.2021226312071000No253,052*
361610-498.10.00031125302182000No210,770
1711-298.20.0003122530208200No293,547*
351611-388.5No002102330229200No229,968
1510-586.80.00002922302310300No306,977*
341511-457.5No000171929261331000.0%229,351
1612-258.3No000282029251231000.0321,427*
331512-324.1No000161729271541000.1229,774
1411-521.7No00151628281651000.1311,840*
321412-44.5No00141327291861001.2215,406
1513-25.7No000151528281751000.9159,637
1311-63.7No00031225302081001.5141,169*
311413-30.6No00013132631196107.3199,370
1312-50.5No0003112531217108.4272,431*
301313-40.0No0003122632206126.7174,210
1414-20.0No0003122632206126.6243,130*
291314-30.0No000414303317352.1150,309
1213-50.0No000313293318354.6205,518*
281214-4OutNo00141835321077.3290,526*
271215-3OutNo001827422391.3229,469*
261115-4OutNo00216423997.4174,237*
251116-3OutNo018365699.3127,624*
241016-4OutNo003267099.990,030*
231017-3OutNo011881100.061,314*
22917-4OutNo001189100.040,030*
21918-3OutNo0694Yes24,805*
20818-4OutNo397Yes15,172*
19819-3OutNo298Yes8,662*
18719-4OutNo199Yes4,726*
17720-3OutNo0100Yes2,495*
16620-4OutNo0100Yes1,243*
0-15OutNo100Yes2,246*
Total:50.0%6.3%666666666666666618.8%7,065,136

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs