Washington Capitals Playoff Chances 1
Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 50%
0 points 0 0-0
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Week of 4/28 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Wild vs Capitals | -8.6-1.4-1.4+6.4+6.4+7.0 | -2.4-0.7-0.7+1.8+1.8+2.1 | +5.8+0.5+0.6-4.2-4.2-4.6 | -1.0-0.2-0.2+0.7+0.7+0.8 | ||||
| Panthers vs Kings | +0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2 | +0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.1-0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Lightning vs Blues | +0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.2 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.2+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Hurricanes vs Oilers | +0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Blackhawks vs Devils | +0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1 | *+0.0*-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Stars vs Rangers | +0.1-0.3-0.4-0.4-0.4+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Flyers vs Jets | +0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1 | *+0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | ||||||||
| Week of 5/5 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Pres Trophy | 100.0* | Disbanded | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Blackhawks vs Canucks | +0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1 | +0.0*-0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.2+0.3+0.3+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Devils vs Penguins | +0.1-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Flyers vs Kings | +0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.4+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Lightning vs Stars | +0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.1 | *+0.0*-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Blues vs Oilers | +0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1*-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1 | |||||
| Canucks vs Penguins | +0.1-0.4-0.2-0.3-0.4+0.1 | *+0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.0 | -0.1+0.3+0.2+0.3+0.3-0.1 | |||||
| Hurricanes vs Wild | +0.1-0.4-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1 | +0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0 | -0.1+0.2+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Capitals finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Pres | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | Trophy | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Disbanded | Count | ||||||
| 54 | -60 | In | Yes | 100 | No | 3,532 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 25 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 99.8 | % | 100 | 0 | No | 531 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 25 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 99.9 | 100 | 0 | No | 1,431 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 24 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 100.0 | 100 | 0 | No | 3,126 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 24 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 99.7 | 100 | 0 | No | 6,940 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 23 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 99.3 | 99 | 1 | No | 14,249 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 23 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 98.5 | 98 | 2 | 0 | No | 27,301 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 22 | 5 | - | 3 | In | 96.8 | 97 | 3 | 0 | No | 49,443 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 22 | 6 | - | 2 | In | 93.6 | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 85,137 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 21 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 87.9 | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | No | 138,742 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 20 | 6 | - | 4 | In | 79.2 | 79 | 19 | 1 | 0 | No | 216,092 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 20 | 7 | - | 3 | In | 66.2 | 66 | 29 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 320,345 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 19 | 7 | - | 4 | In | 49.8 | 50 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 454,129 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 41 | 19 | 8 | - | 3 | In | 32.0 | 32 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 615,645 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 40 | 18 | 8 | - | 4 | In | 16.4 | 16 | 39 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 799,742 | * | |||||||||||||
| 39 | 18 | 9 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 6.1 | 6 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 996,301 | * | |||||||||||
| 38 | 17 | 9 | - | 4 | 100.0 | 1.4 | 1 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 496,245 | ||||||||||||
| 18 | 10 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 697,440 | * | ||||||||||||
| 37 | 17 | 10 | - | 3 | 99.9 | 0.2 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 594,380 | |||||||||||
| 16 | 9 | - | 5 | 99.8 | 0.2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 775,765 | * | ||||||||||||
| 36 | 16 | 10 | - | 4 | 98.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 631,971 | ||||||||||
| 17 | 11 | - | 2 | 98.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 884,214 | * | ||||||||||
| 35 | 16 | 11 | - | 3 | 88.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 686,942 | |||||||
| 15 | 10 | - | 5 | 86.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 922,795 | * | ||||||||||
| 34 | 15 | 11 | - | 4 | 57.4 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 818,784 | * | |||||||||
| 16 | 12 | - | 2 | 58.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 833,117 | * | |||||||||
| 33 | 15 | 12 | - | 3 | 23.8 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,112,913 | * | ||||||||
| 14 | 11 | - | 5 | 20.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 517,035 | ||||||||||
| 32 | 14 | 12 | - | 4 | 4.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 947,837 | * | ||||||||
| 15 | 13 | - | 2 | 5.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 599,277 | * | ||||||||||
| 31 | 14 | 13 | - | 3 | 0.6 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 7.3 | 596,419 | ||||||||||
| 13 | 12 | - | 5 | 0.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.5 | 820,641 | * | |||||||||||
| 30 | 13 | 13 | - | 4 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 26.7 | 521,503 | ||||||||||||
| 14 | 14 | - | 2 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 26.5 | 729,551 | * | ||||||||||||
| 29 | 13 | 14 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 52.1 | 446,986 | ||||||||||||
| 12 | 13 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 3 | 54.7 | 615,531 | * | ||||||||||||
| 28 | 12 | 14 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 35 | 32 | 10 | 77.3 | 870,468 | * | |||||||||||||
| 27 | 12 | 15 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 91.3 | 686,575 | * | |||||||||||||
| 26 | 11 | 15 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 97.3 | 523,367 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 25 | 11 | 16 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 56 | 99.3 | 382,274 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 24 | 10 | 16 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 99.8 | 269,862 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 23 | 10 | 17 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 81 | 100.0 | 183,120 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 22 | 9 | 17 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 100.0 | 119,465 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 21 | 9 | 18 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 74,868 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 20 | 8 | 18 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 44,967 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 19 | 8 | 19 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 25,901 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 18 | 7 | 19 | - | 4 | Out | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 14,305 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 17 | 7 | 20 | - | 3 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 7,744 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 16 | 7 | 21 | - | 2 | Out | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,822 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | -15 | Out | No | 100 | Yes | 6,638 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 50.0 | % | 6.2 | % | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 18.7 | % | 21,195,408 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:22 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
