How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)+4.5
+0.5
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Penguins vs Flames+4.3+4.0+4.0-0.4-0.3-5.5
+0.6+0.5+0.5-0.1-0.1-0.7
Wild vs Canucks+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
Jets vs Canadiens+0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.3*-0.0
Lightning vs Blackhawks-0.1-0.2-0.3*-0.1-0.1+0.1
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.2
Flyers vs Jets+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Penguins vs Rangers+3.5+3.1+3.1-1.7-1.7-7.2
+0.4+0.4+0.4-0.2-0.2-0.9
Wild vs Canadiens+0.2*-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.5-0.1
Canucks vs Jets*-0.0-0.4-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.2
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.3-0.4-0.3-0.4+0.2
Capitals vs Bruins-0.1-0.3-0.2*-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Rangers vs Avalanche*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1
Canucks vs Maple Leafs*+0.0-0.2*-0.1-0.2-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Penguins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
54-58In1002,706*
53242-1In10002,657*
52232-2In9916,315*
51233-1In99113,354*
50223-2In973027,126*
49224-1In946047,858*
48214-2In89110081,579*
47204-3In811810128,958*
46205-2In7027300191,957*
45195-3In56367000267,915*
44196-2In414314200186,884
185-4In404415200171,470*
43186-3In2644245000211,740
197-1In264424500237,359*
42187-2In14393412200272,459
176-4In13383413200266,564*
41177-3In62638236100292,012
188-1In6273823610321,160*
40178-2In215343314300327,857
167-4In214333315300342,320*
39168-3100.0%052136279100330,093
179-1100.0062236269100362,931*
38169-2100.00210283520510330,175
158-4100.0019273521610361,700*
37159-399.700314323315300313,183
1610-199.700315333114300198,876
148-599.600212303417400145,825*
361510-297.600519342811200391,606*
149-497.2004173330133000208,227
351410-388.3001621342610200248,994
1511-188.2001622342610200273,627*
341411-267.100182433238100286,102*
1310-464.4001723332592000154,472
331311-336.10002102532228100353,472*
321312-213.3002112632217100273,129*
311212-33.1003122631207100202,181*
301213-20.5000313273119610145,404*
291113-30.00014152930164098,862*
281114-20.0001518322912264,811*
271014-3Out0018243625640,733*
261015-2Out0021233381524,806*
25915-3Out01523432814,115*
24916-2Out021241457,886*
23816-3Out00633604,123*
22817-2Out0323742,191*
21717-3Out114851,031*
20718-2Out991475*
19618-3Out1495228*
18619-2Out29891*
4-17Out1001,329*
Total:84.3%11131312111086543211108,240,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs