How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)-0.5
-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Lightning vs Blackhawks+6.5+5.8+5.8-1.5-1.8-7.9
+0.7+0.7+0.7-0.2-0.2-0.9
Devils vs Islanders*+0.1-0.7-0.4*-0.2-0.4+0.2
+0.0-0.1*-0.0*-0.0-0.0+0.0
Penguins vs Flames*+0.1-0.4*-0.3-0.7-0.3+0.2
*+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.1*-0.0+0.0
Jets vs Canadiens+0.2*-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.5*+0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.1-0.0+0.0
Flyers vs Jets*+0.1*-0.2-0.5*-0.3-0.4*+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs*+0.1-0.5-0.4*-0.2-0.6+0.2
*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0
Capitals vs Bruins*+0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4-0.5+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
Penguins vs Rangers+0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5-0.3+0.1
*+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0
Canucks vs Jets*+0.0*-0.1*-0.3-0.4*-0.2+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0*+0.0
Rangers vs Avalanche*+0.1-0.3*-0.3*-0.1-0.4*+0.1
Wild vs Canadiens+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
50-55In100472*
49232-2In991116*
48233-1In1000331*
47223-2In982729*
46213-3In94601,616*
45214-2In881203,289*
44204-3In801826,166*
43205-2In672940010,884*
42195-3In5039101018,498*
41196-2In32442040029,082*
40186-3In1639311220044,382*
39187-2In6253624810063,204*
38177-3100.0%110273320710086,400*
37178-299.90313273119610046,340
167-499.80211263120710065,964*
36168-398.200311253121820065,464
157-597.9002112430218200073,771*
35169-288.5002102330229200065,632
158-486.0002821302411300099,820*
34159-357.3001719302613400087,459
148-552.501617292715410048,845
1610-158.500182029251231051,311*
33149-419.700141427291761000126,017*
1510-223.50001617292815410079,054
321410-34.60014142729186100140,438*
139-53.100311243021820072,068*
311310-40.30031124312281086,013
1411-20.50031226311971080,165
129-60.300021024312381046,880*
301311-30.0003112632216193,740
1210-50.000021125322271110,930*
291211-40.0000312283419476,095
1312-2Out003132934184112,938*
281212-3Out00041735331176,231
1111-5Out0041634341290,638*
271112-4Out01725432557,375
1213-2Out01726422483,866*
261113-3Out00215434152,488
1012-5Out00214414262,778*
251013-4Out017355890,516*
241014-3Out003257267,820*
23914-4Out01168348,828*
22915-3Out00109032,946*
21815-4Out069421,979*
20816-3Out039714,020*
19817-2Out1998,404*
18717-3Out1994,916*
17718-2Out1992,821*
16618-3Out01001,515*
1-15Out1001,738*
Total:31.2%2334455667788911132,612,992

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs