How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Lightning vs Blackhawks+5.4+5.1+5.0*-0.1*-0.0-4.0
+0.7+0.7+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.5
Wild vs Canucks+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
Jets vs Canadiens+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3*-0.0
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.1+0.2
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Flyers vs Jets+0.1-0.2-0.2*-0.1-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0
Penguins vs Flames+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wild vs Canadiens+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.1
Penguins vs Rangers+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4*-0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2
Rangers vs Avalanche*+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1
Canucks vs Jets*-0.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0
Capitals vs Bruins-0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2*-0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
50-55In1001,286*
49232-2In97335*
48222-3In95583*
47223-2In83161205*
46213-3In74242548*
45214-2In6333401,379*
44204-3In454113202,992*
43205-2In2845225006,189*
42195-3In153932112011,822*
41185-4In728372161021,680*
40186-3In21533331530037,584*
39176-4100.0%062134271020061,907*
38177-399.9019263422710096,192*
37167-499.4002122933185100143,417*
36168-396.300315313115300203,635*
35158-484.4015183229133000277,271*
34159-359.6001620332711200359,428*
33149-429.4001722332510200188,283
1510-230.2001722332510200257,650*
321410-310.500292432238200224,620
139-59.400182232249200301,608*
311310-42.000292432228100252,203
1411-22.1002102432228100346,072*
301311-30.300312273220610276,543
1210-50.200211263221710375,665*
291211-40.000031429311740305,930*
1312-20.00031429321850370,359*
281212-30.00015183330122285,924
1111-50.00015173231132390,884*
271112-4Out00172336266273,275
1213-20.0000182536246197,707
1011-6Out00162236277177,121*
261113-3Out000213333714338,099*
1012-5Out00211313917257,840*
251013-4Out005234428220,830
1114-2Out015234328303,028*
241014-3Out002134243189,141
913-5Out002124145252,345*
23914-4Out0063460356,981*
22915-3Out0022473276,474*
21815-4Out011683204,416*
20816-3Out001090144,538*
19716-4Out059497,723*
18717-3Out039762,895*
17617-4Out19938,413*
16618-3Out019922,406*
15619-2Out010012,603*
14519-3Out01006,535*
13520-2Out01003,313*
1-12Out1003,851*
Total:14.9%001123456789111214188,240,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs