Tampa Bay Lightning Playoff Chances 2Did not play, playoff odds down 0.2 to 14.9% 1 points 0 2-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 12/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so) | -0.2 | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Lightning vs Blackhawks | +5.4+5.1+5.0*-0.1*-0.0-4.0 | | +0.7+0.7+0.6+0.0+0.0-0.5 | | Wild vs Canucks | +0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1 | | | | Jets vs Canadiens | +0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3*-0.0 | | | | Devils vs Islanders | -0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.1+0.2 | | -0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | | Flyers vs Jets | +0.1-0.2-0.2*-0.1-0.3+0.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0 | | Penguins vs Flames | +0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Week of 12/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Wild vs Canadiens | +0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.1 | | | | Penguins vs Rangers | +0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4*-0.0 | | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0 | | Canadiens vs Maple Leafs | *+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2 | | | | Rangers vs Avalanche | *+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1 | | | | Canucks vs Jets | *-0.0-0.3-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2 | | | | Canucks vs Maple Leafs | +0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1 | | +0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0 | | Capitals vs Bruins | -0.1-0.2-0.3-0.2*-0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Lightning finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 50 | -55 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,286 | * | 49 | | 23 | 2 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 35 | * | 48 | | 22 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 83 | * | 47 | | 22 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 83 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 205 | * | 46 | | 21 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 74 | 24 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 548 | * | 45 | | 21 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 63 | 33 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,379 | * | 44 | | 20 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 45 | 41 | 13 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,992 | * | 43 | | 20 | 5 | - | 2 | In | 28 | 45 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 6,189 | * | 42 | | 19 | 5 | - | 3 | In | 15 | 39 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 11,822 | * | 41 | | 18 | 5 | - | 4 | In | 7 | 28 | 37 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | 21,680 | * | 40 | | 18 | 6 | - | 3 | In | 2 | 15 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | 37,584 | * | 39 | | 17 | 6 | - | 4 | 100.0 | % | 0 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | 61,907 | * | 38 | | 17 | 7 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | 96,192 | * | 37 | | 16 | 7 | - | 4 | 99.4 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 143,417 | * | 36 | | 16 | 8 | - | 3 | 96.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | 203,635 | * | 35 | | 15 | 8 | - | 4 | 84.4 | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 277,271 | * | 34 | | 15 | 9 | - | 3 | 59.6 | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | 359,428 | * | 33 | | 14 | 9 | - | 4 | 29.4 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 188,283 | | | 15 | 10 | - | 2 | 30.2 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | 257,650 | * | 32 | | 14 | 10 | - | 3 | 10.5 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 224,620 | | | 13 | 9 | - | 5 | 9.4 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 301,608 | * | 31 | | 13 | 10 | - | 4 | 2.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 252,203 | | | 14 | 11 | - | 2 | 2.1 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 346,072 | * | 30 | | 13 | 11 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 276,543 | | | 12 | 10 | - | 5 | 0.2 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 375,665 | * | 29 | | 12 | 11 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 305,930 | * | | 13 | 12 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 0 | 370,359 | * | 28 | | 12 | 12 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 12 | 2 | 285,924 | | | 11 | 11 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 2 | 390,884 | * | 27 | | 11 | 12 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 36 | 26 | 6 | 273,275 | | | 12 | 13 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 36 | 24 | 6 | 197,707 | | | 10 | 11 | - | 6 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 177,121 | * | 26 | | 11 | 13 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 37 | 14 | 338,099 | * | | 10 | 12 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 17 | 257,840 | * | 25 | | 10 | 13 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 28 | 220,830 | | | 11 | 14 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 43 | 28 | 303,028 | * | 24 | | 10 | 14 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 42 | 43 | 189,141 | | | 9 | 13 | - | 5 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 41 | 45 | 252,345 | * | 23 | | 9 | 14 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 34 | 60 | 356,981 | * | 22 | | 9 | 15 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 73 | 276,474 | * | 21 | | 8 | 15 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 204,416 | * | 20 | | 8 | 16 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 90 | 144,538 | * | 19 | | 7 | 16 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 94 | 97,723 | * | 18 | | 7 | 17 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 62,895 | * | 17 | | 6 | 17 | - | 4 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | 38,413 | * | 16 | | 6 | 18 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 22,406 | * | 15 | | 6 | 19 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 12,603 | * | 14 | | 5 | 19 | - | 3 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 6,535 | * | 13 | | 5 | 20 | - | 2 | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | 3,313 | * | 1 | -12 | | Out | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | 3,851 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 14.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 12 | 14 | 18 | 8,240,928 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs |