"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Jets vs Canadiens+6.2+5.4+5.4-1.1-1.2-6.2
+0.7+0.6+0.6-0.1-0.1-0.7
Flyers vs Jets-6.7-1.7-1.6+4.5+4.5+5.0
-0.8-0.2-0.2+0.5+0.5+0.6
Wild vs Canucks+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.5-0.4-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Devils vs Islanders*-0.0-0.4-0.4-0.2-0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Penguins vs Flames+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.2-0.3*+0.0
Lightning vs Blackhawks*+0.0-0.3*-0.1-0.2-0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canucks vs Jets-6.6-1.6-1.5+4.8+4.8+5.5
-0.8-0.2-0.1+0.6+0.6+0.6
Wild vs Canadiens+0.3-0.3-0.2-0.5-0.5-0.1
Penguins vs Rangers+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4*-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs*+0.0-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.2
Canucks vs Maple Leafs*+0.0-0.4-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.2
Capitals vs Bruins-0.1-0.3-0.4*-0.1-0.2+0.2
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Rangers vs Avalanche+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.4+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Jets finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
51-56In1001,296*
50242-2In98244*
49232-3In973123*
48233-2In88120356*
47223-3In85151835*
46224-2In742421,914*
45214-3In60345004,056*
44215-2In454112108,184*
43205-3In29432240015,596*
42206-2In1538331120027,185*
41196-3In727382261046,500*
40186-4In21533321530074,630*
39187-3100.0%0621352710200113,406*
38177-4100.00192534227100165,274*
37178-399.4002122933185100227,649*
36168-496.200315313115300302,611*
35169-384.5001518332913300383,518*
34159-459.70016203327112000467,781*
331510-332.500182333249200317,665*
149-527.501620332611200226,424*
321410-49.500182332249200414,501*
1511-211.70002102532228100192,012
311411-32.300210253221710286,516*
1310-52.1002102532228100362,363*
301311-40.3000312273220610280,390
1412-20.4000313283118510207,736
1210-60.200211253221710179,623*
291312-30.000041530311640280,722
1211-50.000031429311740378,960*
281212-40.00015183330122261,147
1313-20.00015183329122363,566*
271213-3Out00182536245241,070
1112-5Out00182436256326,400*
261113-4Out000213333714208,488
1214-2Out000313333714287,752*
251114-3Out0016244326179,060
1013-5Out0015234327238,744*
241014-4Out002144242336,078*
231015-3Out0073558259,952*
22915-4Out0032671191,952*
21916-3Out011782137,160*
20816-4Out00118992,884*
19817-3Out069460,880*
18717-4Out039738,017*
17718-3Out29822,444*
16618-4Out019912,625*
15619-3Out01006,926*
14620-2Out01003,594*
13520-3Out01001,716*
0-12Out1002,603*
Total:22.1%011234567899101111128,240,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs