How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)*-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Flyers vs Jets+7.0+6.4+6.5-1.7-1.6-8.6
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.2-0.2-1.0
Jets vs Canadiens+0.2-0.4*-0.3-0.4-0.5*+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0+0.0
Devils vs Islanders*+0.1-0.4*-0.2*-0.3-0.5+0.2
Wild vs Canucks+0.1-0.5*-0.1-0.4-0.4*+0.1
+0.0*-0.0*-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Lightning vs Blackhawks*+0.1-0.5*-0.3-0.4*-0.2*+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wild vs Canadiens+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.4*-0.2*+0.0
Penguins vs Rangers+0.2-0.4*-0.3-0.4-0.5*+0.1
Rangers vs Avalanche+0.1-0.5*-0.3*-0.3*-0.3*+0.1
+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0*-0.0*+0.0
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs+0.2-0.4*-0.3*-0.4*-0.2*+0.1
+0.0-0.1-0.0*-0.0*-0.0*+0.0
Canucks vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.4*-0.1*-0.2-0.3*+0.1
Capitals vs Bruins*+0.1-0.4*-0.2*-0.1-0.3*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flyers finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
51-56In100467*
50232-2In991135*
49233-1In991289*
48223-2In982719*
47213-3In97301,677*
46214-2In93703,261*
45204-3In881216,160*
44205-2In79201010,976*
43195-3In66304018,400*
42196-2In49391010028,958*
41186-3In32442040043,796*
40187-2In1638321220063,549*
39177-3In6243624810086,170*
38178-2100.0%1102733217100112,538*
37168-399.902122731207100065,491
157-599.90211263120710073,828*
36169-298.400312263020710075,199*
158-497.8002102431229200090,123*
35159-387.6002923302310200087,299
148-586.60029223023103000100,746*
34149-455.5001718292713410081,634
1510-257.9001720302513410122,313*
331410-322.6001516282816510098,433
139-518.6001414282918610057,185
1511-123.100151729281551057,734*
321310-43.70003122630207100117,311*
1411-24.900141427291761096,713*
311311-30.40031226312071093,646
1210-50.30021024312281057,787*
1412-10.500031226301971053,750*
301211-40.00003112632216185,878*
1312-20.00031126322161102,921*
291212-30.00003143033173108,910*
1111-5Out00211283420457,528*
281112-4Out00041735331156,842
1213-2Out00141835321084,190*
271113-3Out001727422352,832
1012-5Out001726422462,142*
261013-4Out00215424090,296*
251014-3Out017355767,177*
24914-4Out003267148,888*
23915-3Out01178233,694*
22916-2Out00108922,138*
21816-3Out069414,017*
20817-2Out03978,529*
19717-3Out02984,900*
18718-2Out1992,706*
17618-3Out01001,437*
16619-2Out0100699*
2-15Out100981*
Total:38.8%34455666677788892,612,992

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs