How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Penguins vs Flames-5.8-0.5-0.4+4.2+4.2+4.5
-0.7-0.1-0.1+0.5+0.5+0.6
Wild vs Canucks+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.2
Devils vs Islanders-0.1-0.4-0.4*-0.1-0.1+0.2
Lightning vs Blackhawks-0.1-0.4-0.3*-0.1*-0.1+0.1
Jets vs Canadiens+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0
Flyers vs Jets+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.2*+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Wild vs Canadiens+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.5-0.4-0.1
Capitals vs Bruins-0.1-0.3-0.4*-0.1-0.2+0.2
Penguins vs Rangers+0.2-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
Canucks vs Jets*+0.0-0.3-0.4-0.2-0.3+0.2
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.3-0.2-0.4-0.3+0.2
Canucks vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
Rangers vs Avalanche*+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.2+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Flames finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
55-58In1001,614*
54241-2In1000894*
53242-1In1002,175*
52232-2In10005,456*
51233-1In99111,447*
50223-2In973023,272*
49224-1In946042,304*
48214-2In9010073,154*
47204-3In821710115,438*
46205-2In7126300175,948*
45195-3In5736700248,397*
44196-2In424313200334,737*
43186-3In264524500200,269
197-1In274523500223,402*
42187-2In15393311200259,546
176-4In14383412200258,451*
41177-3In62638236100384,573*
188-1In7283821500208,892*
40178-2In215343214200318,606
167-4In214333315300337,126*
39168-3100.0%0622362691000328,111
179-1100.0062236269100360,904*
38169-2100.002102835205100450,682*
158-4100.0019273521610244,184*
37159-399.700314323215300318,517
1610-199.700315323215300348,678*
361510-297.801519342811200286,494
149-497.3004183429122000330,136*
351410-388.4001622342610200258,454
1511-188.4001622342510200285,365*
341411-268.700192533228100250,696*
1310-464.000172333259200210,698*
331311-336.60002102532228100374,630*
321312-213.5002112632217100293,672*
311212-33.20003122731207100220,167*
301213-20.5000313283118610158,987*
291113-30.000141530301640109,697*
281114-20.0001619332912273,431*
271014-3Out018243624646,625*
261015-2Out0031333371428,055*
25915-3Out01523432816,569*
24916-2Out0021441449,312*
23816-3Out00634605,043*
22817-2Out0324732,590*
21717-3Out117821,239*
20718-2Out0892594*
19618-3Out595245*
18619-2Out298103*
17620-1Out29846*
4-16Out1001,303*
Total:83.1%11121312111086543211108,240,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs