"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)-0.6
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Devils vs Islanders+7.4+6.6+6.6-1.7-1.6-9.0
+0.8+0.7+0.7-0.2-0.2-1.0
Lightning vs Blackhawks+0.2*-0.3*-0.4*-0.4-0.5*+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Penguins vs Flames+0.2-0.5*-0.2*-0.1*-0.2*-0.0
Jets vs Canadiens+0.2*-0.2*-0.4*-0.1-0.4*+0.0
Flyers vs Jets+0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0-0.0+0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Capitals vs Bruins*+0.1-0.5-0.7*-0.2-0.3+0.2
+0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Rangers vs Avalanche*+0.1-0.4-0.6*-0.3-0.4+0.2
Canucks vs Jets*+0.1-0.4-0.4*-0.3-0.5+0.2
+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0
Canucks vs Maple Leafs*+0.1-0.3*-0.4-0.4-0.5+0.1
Penguins vs Rangers+0.2-0.4-0.5-0.4-0.4*+0.1
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs+0.2-0.4*-0.3*-0.3-0.5*+0.1
Wild vs Canadiens+0.0-0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Devils finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
50-57In100906*
49223-2In991776*
48213-3In9821,581*
47214-2In97303,292*
46204-3In94606,140*
45205-2In88110010,976*
44195-3In79201018,873*
43196-2In662940029,049*
42186-3In5039101044,088*
41187-2In32442040063,207*
40177-3In1639311120086,324*
39178-2In62536248100112,149*
38168-3100.0%111273320610065,377
157-5100.0110273321710073,688*
37169-299.903132831186100065,586
158-499.80211263120710099,867*
36159-398.300311253120820087,609
148-597.800210233123920049,039
1610-198.200312263020820051,183*
35149-486.6002922302410300082,147
1510-287.5002923302310200122,539*
341410-357.7000172030261330098,135
139-553.6001618292714410057,237
1511-158.900272030251231058,129*
331310-420.6001515282817510085,544
1411-222.4001516282816510127,460*
321311-34.5001414273018610093,745
1210-53.3000312253020710055,628
1412-14.701414272918610055,477*
311211-40.400031125312171076,101
1312-20.4000312253120710112,722*
301212-30.0003112632216188,441*
1111-50.00003112632216177,895*
291112-4Out00312283419488,337*
1213-20.0000314303317353,064
281113-3Out0141736321052,548
1012-5Out00041735331162,567*
271013-4Out001726422490,296*
261014-3Out00215424067,750*
25914-4Out017365748,818*
24915-3Out003267133,563*
23916-2Out01178222,312*
22816-3Out0108913,821*
21817-2Out05958,462*
20717-3Out03974,761*
19718-2Out1992,674*
18618-3Out1991,396*
17619-2Out199710*
16519-3Out199350*
3-15Out100653*
Total:46.7%55666666777777762,612,992

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs