How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/7100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Avalanche 1 Penguins 2 (so)-0.2
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Wild vs Canucks+0.2-0.1-0.2-0.4-0.5-0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0
Devils vs Islanders*-0.0-0.4-0.5*-0.1-0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Jets vs Canadiens+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3*-0.0
Penguins vs Flames+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.3-0.3+0.1
Lightning vs Blackhawks*+0.0-0.3-0.2*-0.1-0.2+0.1
-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Flyers vs Jets+0.1-0.3*-0.2*-0.1-0.3*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Week of 12/14100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Capitals vs Bruins+6.1+5.7+5.7*+0.1*+0.0-4.5
+0.7+0.7+0.7+0.0+0.0-0.5
Wild vs Canadiens+0.3-0.2-0.2-0.4-0.4-0.1
Penguins vs Rangers+0.2-0.2-0.3-0.4-0.3*-0.0
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Canucks vs Jets*+0.0-0.3-0.4*-0.2-0.2+0.2
Rangers vs Avalanche+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.2-0.4+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1+0.0
Canadiens vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.4-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1
+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.0
Canucks vs Maple Leafs+0.1-0.3-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Capitals finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
51-56In1001,284*
50232-2In91911*
49222-3In93754*
48223-2In919172*
47213-3In82170425*
46214-2In752311,080*
45204-3In6233502,326*
44205-2In474210104,965*
43195-3In314421409,661*
42185-4In1740321010018,138*
41186-3In729372151031,841*
40176-4In21533321430052,731*
39177-3100.0%16223426920084,226*
38167-499.901102634217100127,366*
37168-399.400313293318510182,888*
36158-496.10004153131153000251,522*
35159-384.10015183229133000330,641*
34149-459.0001620332711200416,002*
331410-331.600182333249200279,634*
139-526.4016203227122000220,291*
321310-49.6001823322492000575,186*
311311-32.2002102532228100265,419
1210-51.800292432238200369,365*
301211-40.200211263220610284,628
1312-20.3000313283119510199,088
1110-60.200210253222810189,703*
291212-30.000041530311640376,609*
1111-50.00031328321950305,206*
281112-40.000015183330132279,181
1213-20.00016193328112196,869
1011-60.00014163231142186,119*
271113-3Out00182436246257,919
1012-5Out00172336266357,447*
261013-4Out000213333714549,679*
251014-3Out0016244327198,907
913-5Out015234428270,728*
24914-4Out002134243385,249*
23915-3Out00163558301,393*
22815-4Out0032572226,909*
21816-3Out011782162,469*
20716-4Out001090112,303*
19717-3Out069472,339*
18617-4Out039745,166*
17618-3Out029826,640*
16518-4Out19914,946*
15519-3Out01007,812*
14520-2Out01003,910*
13420-3Out01001,817*
12421-2Out0100857*
2-11Out1001,807*
Total:18.2%0011234578910111213148,240,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs