How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 9/1None
Saturday, 10/1None
Tuesday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Predators 2 Red Wings 6 -6.0
-0.6
Predators 3 Oilers 5 -5.9
-0.6
Predators 2 Stars 4 -5.8
-0.6
Predators 5 Stars 6 -5.8
-0.6
Predators 1 Bruins 4 -5.7
-0.6
Predators 3 Wild 5 -5.7
-0.6
Predators 0 Blue Jackets 2 -5.7
-0.6
Predators 0 Thrashers 1 -5.7
-0.6
Predators 2 Ducks 3 -5.6
-0.6
Predators 1 Flames 3 -5.6
-0.6
Predators 2 Capitals 5 -5.6
-0.6
Predators 0 Canadiens 9 -5.6
-0.6
Predators 0 Canucks 4 -5.5
-0.6
Predators 1 Flames 3 -5.5
-0.6
Predators 3 Flyers 5 -5.4
-0.5
Ducks 4 Predators 2 -5.3
-0.5
Red Wings 5 Predators 2 -5.3
-0.5
Predators 3 Kings 4 -5.2
-0.5
Blues 4 Predators 1 -5.2
-0.6
Predators 0 Senators 5 -5.2
-0.5
Predators 0 Hurricanes 4 -5.2
-0.5
Flames 5 Predators 2 -5.2
-0.5
Oilers 6 Predators 2 -5.2
-0.5
Wild 3 Predators 1 -5.1
-0.5
Red Wings 3 Predators 1 -5.1
-0.5
Blues 6 Predators 3 -5.0
-0.5
Sharks 2 Predators 4 +5.0
+0.5
Blue Jackets 5 Predators 2 -4.9
-0.5
Blue Jackets 6 Predators 5 -4.9
-0.5
Stars 5 Predators 2 -4.9
-0.5
Sabres 7 Predators 4 -4.8
-0.5
Kings 2 Predators 4 +4.8
+0.5
Blackhawks 4 Predators 5 +4.8
+0.5
Ducks 2 Predators 0 -4.8
-0.5
Canucks 5 Predators 2 -4.7
-0.5
Senators 5 Predators 3 -4.7
-0.5
Coyotes 2 Predators 3 +4.7
+0.5
Coyotes 2 Predators 4 +4.7
+0.5
Capitals 3 Predators 1 -4.7
-0.5
Flyers 5 Predators 1 -4.7
-0.5
Sharks 2 Predators 3 +4.6
+0.5
Canadiens 6 Predators 2 -4.6
-0.5
Wild 0 Predators 3 +4.6
+0.4
Rangers 5 Predators 2 -4.5
-0.5
Hurricanes 3 Predators 1 -4.5
-0.5
Flames 0 Predators 4 +4.4
+0.4
Thrashers 3 Predators 2 -4.4
-0.5
Canucks 0 Predators 1 +4.3
+0.4
Islanders 3 Predators 4 +4.3
+0.4
Lightning 1 Predators 2 +4.2
+0.4
Penguins 3 Predators 4 +4.2
+0.4
Stars 2 Predators 3 +4.1
+0.4
Panthers 4 Predators 6 +4.0
+0.4
Avalanche 3 Predators 4 (ot)+3.9
+0.4
Predators 7 Canucks 3 +3.9
+0.4
Predators 2 Penguins 1 +3.8
+0.4
Predators 2 Blue Jackets 1 +3.8
+0.4
Predators 5 Oilers 2 +3.8
+0.4
Predators 2 Blackhawks 0 +3.8
+0.4
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)+3.7
*+0.4
Maple Leafs 2 Predators 3 +3.7
+0.4
Predators 3 Blackhawks 2 +3.6
+0.4
Predators 3 Blues 1 +3.6
+0.4
Predators 4 Ducks 2 +3.6
+0.4
Predators 3 Wild 2 +3.6
+0.4
Predators 3 Islanders 2 +3.6
+0.4
Predators 7 Lightning 2 +3.4
+0.3
Predators 3 Sabres 1 +3.4
+0.3
Predators 4 Rangers 3 (ot)+3.4
+0.4
Predators 6 Maple Leafs 4 +3.2
+0.3
Predators 4 Devils 1 +3.2
+0.3
Predators 3 Panthers 1 +3.1
+0.3
Predators 4 Red Wings 3 (so)+2.9
+0.3
Predators 6 Blues 5 (so)+2.8
+0.3
Predators 2 Coyotes 3 (ot)*-0.8
Devils 5 Predators 4 (so)*+0.7
Predators 2 Kings 3 (ot)*-0.7
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Kings vs Predators-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Oilers vs Predators-0.2+0.0+0.1+0.3+0.3+0.3
Predators vs Coyotes+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Predators vs Sharks+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Predators vs Sharks+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.1-0.3
Blackhawks vs Predators-0.2-0.0-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3
Predators vs Avalanche+0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Predators vs Avalanche+0.1+0.1+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.3
Avalanche vs Predators-0.3-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Predators finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
9190-01.2%125522184
9080-1Out1259280241
8981-00.30551422626
70-2Out444484423
8871-1Out1355681,814
60-3Out1285813374
8761-2Out01761222,445
72-0Out12163162,140
50-4Out155332193
8662-1Out09553605,853
51-3Out0652421,864
40-5Out5484762
8552-2Out03405706,172
63-0Out034651004,500
41-4Out238600772
30-6Out316913
8453-1Out1277039,585
42-3Out1237333,496
31-5Out22753219
20-7Out1003
8343-2Out01278908,167
54-0Out01676805,686
32-4Out08811101,181
21-6Out6811332
8244-1Out05722119,641
33-3Out5712313,713
22-5Out472222216
11-7Out50502
8134-2Out1563856,414
45-0Out2583554,523
23-4Out052435831
12-6Out6235426
8035-1Out03649155,994
24-3Out03451151,991
13-5Out295020109*
7925-2Out1752312,889
36-0Out02050292,294
14-4Out165034272
03-6Out2040405
7826-1Out742512,250
15-3Out54648581
04-5Out8355826
7727-0Out22771730
16-2Out32870706
05-4Out307040
7617-1Out01386462
06-3Out138771
7518-0Out694127
07-2Out99174
73-74Out10068*
Total:0.0%0032052187100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Thursday, 9/1None
Saturday, 10/1None
Tuesday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Predators 0 Blue Jackets 2 +1.2
Predators 2 Red Wings 6 +1.2
Predators 2 Stars 4 +1.2
Predators 1 Bruins 4 +1.2
Predators 5 Stars 6 +1.2
Predators 0 Thrashers 1 +1.2
Predators 2 Capitals 5 +1.2
Predators 3 Oilers 5 +1.2
Predators 3 Wild 5 +1.2
Predators 0 Canadiens 9 +1.2
Predators 1 Flames 3 +1.2
Predators 3 Flyers 5 +1.2
Predators 2 Ducks 3 +1.1
Predators 1 Flames 3 +1.1
Predators 0 Hurricanes 4 +1.1
Predators 0 Canucks 4 +1.1
Predators 0 Senators 5 +1.1
Blues 4 Predators 1 +1.1
Ducks 4 Predators 2 +1.1
Red Wings 5 Predators 2 +1.1
Predators 3 Kings 4 +1.1
Red Wings 3 Predators 1 +1.1
Oilers 6 Predators 2 +1.1
Flames 5 Predators 2 +1.1
Blue Jackets 5 Predators 2 +1.1
Wild 3 Predators 1 +1.0
Blues 6 Predators 3 +1.0
Blackhawks 4 Predators 5 -1.0
Blue Jackets 6 Predators 5 +1.0
Sabres 7 Predators 4 +1.0
Stars 5 Predators 2 +1.0
Senators 5 Predators 3 +1.0
Hurricanes 3 Predators 1 +1.0
Capitals 3 Predators 1 +1.0
Flyers 5 Predators 1 +1.0
Sharks 2 Predators 4 -1.0
Rangers 5 Predators 2 +1.0
Kings 2 Predators 4 -1.0
Thrashers 3 Predators 2 +1.0
Canucks 5 Predators 2 +1.0
Ducks 2 Predators 0 +1.0
Canadiens 6 Predators 2 +1.0
Coyotes 2 Predators 4 -0.9
Coyotes 2 Predators 3 -0.9
Sharks 2 Predators 3 -0.9
Islanders 3 Predators 4 -0.9
Avalanche 3 Predators 4 (ot)-0.9
Penguins 3 Predators 4 -0.9
Lightning 1 Predators 2 -0.9
Flames 0 Predators 4 -0.9
Wild 0 Predators 3 -0.9
Panthers 4 Predators 6 -0.9
Stars 2 Predators 3 -0.9
Canucks 0 Predators 1 -0.8
Maple Leafs 2 Predators 3 -0.8
Predators 2 Blue Jackets 1 -0.8
Predators 2 Blackhawks 0 -0.8
Predators 3 Blackhawks 2 -0.8
Predators 2 Penguins 1 -0.8
Predators 7 Canucks 3 -0.8
Predators 3 Islanders 2 -0.8
Predators 5 Oilers 2 -0.8
Predators 3 Blues 1 -0.8
Predators 4 Rangers 3 (ot)-0.7
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)-0.7
Predators 7 Lightning 2 -0.7
Predators 4 Ducks 2 -0.7
Predators 3 Wild 2 -0.7
Predators 3 Sabres 1 -0.7
Predators 4 Devils 1 -0.7
Predators 6 Maple Leafs 4 -0.7
Predators 3 Panthers 1 -0.7
Predators 4 Red Wings 3 (so)-0.7
Predators 6 Blues 5 (so)-0.6
Predators 2 Coyotes 3 (ot)*+0.2
Predators 2 Kings 3 (ot)+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Predators vs Sharks-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.0+0.1+0.4
Predators vs Coyotes-0.4-0.3-0.3+0.1+0.1+0.5
Predators vs Sharks-0.5-0.4-0.4+0.1+0.1+0.4
Blackhawks vs Predators+0.4+0.0+0.0-0.3-0.3-0.4
Predators vs Avalanche-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.2+0.1+0.5
Oilers vs Predators+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.4-0.4-0.4
Predators vs Avalanche-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.5
Avalanche vs Predators+0.5+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.3-0.3
Kings vs Predators+0.3-0.1-0.1-0.5-0.4-0.5

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
9190-011275614
9080-111358270
8981-0005504220
70-2444475
8871-113355100
60-312755161
8761-201558252
72-001859211
50-41348364
8662-10747397
51-30541458
40-55394710
8552-212752200
63-0023249170
41-412555190
30-6234631
8453-1014483710
42-301148392
31-51043452
20-7100
8343-204355470
54-06365260
32-43345670
21-6331569
8244-1119601910
33-3118592120
22-51758242
8134-207503660
45-008533360
23-46473970
12-6154638
8035-123346182
24-323048181
13-522748213
7925-201545346
36-001746325
14-401442394
03-6204040
7826-105344813
15-34394512
04-58315012
7727-02205226
16-22214730
05-4204535
7617-1065539
06-364846
7518-0539561
07-253164
7408-12674
7309-018775
Total:000314263416720