How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 9/1None
Saturday, 10/1None
Tuesday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Canucks 1 Flames 3 -6.0
-0.6
Canucks 2 Ducks 4 -5.9
-0.6
Canucks 0 Predators 1 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 2 Wild 6 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 3 Oilers 4 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 -5.8
-0.6
Canucks 2 Penguins 3 -5.6
-0.6
Canucks 0 Blackhawks 4 -5.6
-0.6
Canucks 1 Flyers 5 -5.6
-0.6
Canucks 0 Kings 5 -5.5
-0.6
Canucks 2 Thrashers 5 -5.5
-0.6
Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 -5.5
-0.6
Canucks 2 Stars 5 -5.5
-0.6
Canucks 1 Panthers 2 -5.4
-0.5
Canucks 0 Wild 4 -5.4
-0.6
Avalanche 2 Canucks 1 -5.4
-0.6
Blue Jackets 6 Canucks 4 -5.4
-0.5
Flames 4 Canucks 3 -5.3
-0.5
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 -5.3
-0.5
Canucks 3 Islanders 4 -5.2
-0.5
Canucks 3 Lightning 6 -5.2
-0.5
Wild 3 Canucks 0 -5.2
-0.5
Blues 3 Canucks 2 -5.1
-0.5
Predators 7 Canucks 3 -5.1
-0.5
Canucks 0 Bruins 4 -5.1
-0.5
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 -5.1
-0.5
Coyotes 4 Canucks 2 -5.1
-0.5
Oilers 3 Canucks 2 -5.1
-0.5
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 -5.1
-0.5
Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 -5.0
-0.5
Kings 4 Canucks 2 -5.0
-0.5
Kings 4 Canucks 3 -4.9
-0.5
Sabres 5 Canucks 2 -4.9
-0.5
Coyotes 3 Canucks 4 (ot)+4.8
+0.5
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 -4.8
-0.5
Avalanche 3 Canucks 4 +4.8
+0.5
Wild 4 Canucks 3 -4.7
-0.5
Oilers 3 Canucks 0 -4.7
-0.5
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 3 +4.7
+0.5
Stars 3 Canucks 4 +4.7
+0.5
Flyers 4 Canucks 1 -4.7
-0.5
Predators 0 Canucks 4 +4.6
+0.5
Sharks 2 Canucks 5 +4.6
+0.5
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 -4.5
-0.5
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 -4.5
-0.5
Sharks 1 Canucks 3 +4.5
+0.5
Red Wings 1 Canucks 3 +4.4
+0.4
Flames 3 Canucks 4 +4.4
+0.5
Lightning 2 Canucks 3 +4.1
+0.4
Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 +4.0
+0.4
Devils 2 Canucks 5 +4.0
+0.4
Blues 1 Canucks 2 +3.9
+0.4
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 +3.9
+0.4
Penguins 1 Canucks 3 +3.9
+0.4
Canucks 4 Kings 1 +3.9
+0.4
Canucks 2 Oilers 1 +3.8
+0.4
Canucks 5 Predators 2 +3.8
+0.4
Canucks 5 Blackhawks 3 +3.8
+0.4
Canucks 5 Sharks 1 +3.7
+0.4
Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 +3.7
+0.4
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 3 +3.6
+0.4
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 +3.6
+0.4
Senators 3 Canucks 4 +3.6
+0.4
Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 +3.5
+0.4
Canucks 6 Hurricanes 5 +3.4
+0.4
Blue Jackets 1 Canucks 2 (ot)+3.4
+0.4
Canucks 3 Capitals 1 +3.3
+0.4
Canucks 4 Sabres 1 +3.2
+0.3
Canucks 5 Maple Leafs 3 +3.1
+0.3
Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so)+2.4
+0.3
Canucks 4 Red Wings 5 (ot)-1.6
-0.2
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)*-1.2
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 5 (ot)*-1.0
Canadiens 6 Canucks 5 (so)*-0.9
Canucks 3 Blues 4 (ot)*-0.7
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)*-0.6
Red Wings 3 Canucks 2 (ot)*-0.4
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Canucks vs Sharks+0.2+0.2+0.2-0.0-0.0-0.2
Stars vs Canucks-0.2+0.0*-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.2
Canucks vs Senators+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0+0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Red Wings+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.2
Canucks vs Stars+0.2+0.2+0.2*-0.0-0.0-0.2
Panthers vs Canucks-0.2-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1
Canucks vs Flames+0.1+0.1+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.2
Coyotes vs Wild-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.1
Coyotes vs Blue Jackets-0.1-0.1-0.1*-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Coyotes vs Blackhawks-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Blue Jackets vs Coyotes+0.1-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1
Coyotes vs Blue Jackets-0.1-0.1-0.1*+0.0*+0.0+0.1
Coyotes vs Sharks-0.1-0.1-0.1-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Predators vs Coyotes+0.1-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0
Predators vs Avalanche-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Predators vs Avalanche-0.0-0.0-0.0*+0.0+0.0+0.1
Avalanche vs Predators+0.1*+0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.0
Predators vs Sharks-0.0-0.0-0.1*-0.0-0.0+0.0
Blackhawks vs Predators+0.1*-0.0*+0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1
Kings vs Predators+0.0-0.0*-0.0-0.1-0.0-0.1
Predators vs Sharks-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.0-0.0+0.0
Oilers vs Predators+0.0-0.0-0.0-0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Canucks finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
8570-0Out239509249
8460-1Out12263141684
8361-0Out09573221,563
50-2Out855352803
8251-1Out3395173,930
40-3Out237538567
8152-0Out12358184,616
41-2Out12260184,035
30-4Out0255520243
8042-1Out0954369,680
31-3Out01055352,252
20-5Out3603762
7932-2Out344537,595
43-0Out343537,445
21-4Out34652701
10-6Out63388
7833-1Out1277212,141
22-3Out127723,168
11-5Out22475127
00-7Out1001
7723-2Out015847,588
34-0Out015857,113
12-4Out1387637
01-6Out1007
7624-1Out7938,679
13-3Out6942,007
02-5Out99144
7525-0Out3974,006
14-2Out3973,547
03-4Out397214
7415-1Out1993,282
04-3Out199436
7316-0Out01001,245
05-2Out100634
71-72Out100691*
Total:Out0172963100,000

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday, 9/1None
Saturday, 10/1None
Tuesday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Canucks 3 Oilers 4 +1.3
Canucks 1 Flames 3 +1.2
Canucks 2 Wild 6 +1.2
Canucks 1 Flyers 5 +1.2
Canucks 2 Penguins 3 +1.2
Canucks 2 Ducks 4 +1.2
Canucks 0 Predators 1 +1.2
Canucks 2 Thrashers 5 +1.2
Canucks 0 Blackhawks 4 +1.2
Canucks 0 Wild 4 +1.2
Canucks 1 Ducks 4 +1.2
Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 +1.2
Canucks 0 Kings 5 +1.2
Canucks 2 Stars 5 +1.1
Canucks 1 Panthers 2 +1.1
Canucks 3 Lightning 6 +1.1
Canucks 0 Bruins 4 +1.1
Avalanche 2 Canucks 1 +1.1
Canucks 3 Islanders 4 +1.1
Flames 4 Canucks 3 +1.1
Blue Jackets 6 Canucks 4 +1.1
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 +1.1
Blues 3 Canucks 2 +1.1
Wild 3 Canucks 0 +1.1
Predators 7 Canucks 3 +1.1
Oilers 3 Canucks 2 +1.1
Ducks 6 Canucks 2 +1.1
Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 +1.0
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 0 +1.0
Oilers 3 Canucks 0 +1.0
Sabres 5 Canucks 2 +1.0
Flyers 4 Canucks 1 +1.0
Wild 4 Canucks 3 +1.0
Kings 4 Canucks 2 +1.0
Coyotes 4 Canucks 2 +1.0
Rangers 4 Canucks 2 +1.0
Kings 4 Canucks 3 +1.0
Coyotes 3 Canucks 4 (ot)-1.0
Avalanche 3 Canucks 4 -1.0
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 +1.0
Capitals 2 Canucks 1 +1.0
Flames 3 Canucks 4 -1.0
Stars 3 Canucks 4 -1.0
Sharks 2 Canucks 5 -1.0
Predators 0 Canucks 4 -0.9
Blackhawks 1 Canucks 3 -0.9
Sharks 1 Canucks 3 -0.9
Lightning 2 Canucks 3 -0.9
Thrashers 2 Canucks 5 -0.9
Red Wings 1 Canucks 3 -0.9
Devils 2 Canucks 5 -0.9
Senators 3 Canucks 4 -0.8
Penguins 1 Canucks 3 -0.8
Canucks 2 Oilers 1 -0.8
Blues 1 Canucks 2 -0.8
Canucks 4 Kings 1 -0.8
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 -0.8
Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 -0.8
Canucks 5 Blackhawks 3 -0.8
Canucks 4 Coyotes 2 -0.8
Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 -0.8
Canucks 6 Hurricanes 5 -0.8
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 3 -0.8
Canucks 5 Predators 2 -0.7
Blue Jackets 1 Canucks 2 (ot)-0.7
Canucks 3 Capitals 1 -0.7
Canucks 5 Sharks 1 -0.7
Canucks 4 Sabres 1 -0.7
Canucks 5 Maple Leafs 3 -0.7
Canucks 5 Blues 4 (so)*-0.5
Canucks 4 Red Wings 5 (ot)+0.3
Canucks 3 Rangers 4 (ot)*+0.2
Canucks 4 Blue Jackets 5 (ot)*+0.2
Islanders 3 Canucks 2 (so)*+0.2
Canucks 3 Blues 4 (ot)*+0.2
Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so)*+0.1
Red Wings 3 Canucks 2 (ot)*+0.1
Maple Leafs 4 Canucks 3 (ot)*-0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Canucks vs Sharks-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.0+0.0+0.3
Stars vs Canucks+0.2-0.0*-0.0-0.3-0.3-0.3
Canucks vs Senators-0.3-0.3-0.3*-0.0-0.0+0.3
Canucks vs Stars-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0+0.0+0.3
Canucks vs Red Wings-0.3-0.3-0.3*+0.0+0.0+0.3
Panthers vs Canucks+0.3+0.1+0.1-0.2-0.2-0.2
Canucks vs Flames-0.2-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
8570-02147276
8460-1010354590
8361-021950272
50-2217503020
8251-107394680
40-3063944100
8152-0022353201
41-2022256191
30-422354200
8042-10949384
31-30949374
20-535640
7932-23375110
43-003365210
21-43374912
10-65050
7833-11206019
22-31205920
11-51176121
00-7100
7723-2095932
34-0096031
12-485735
01-65743
7624-135146
13-335146
02-554848
7525-0141580
14-2141580
03-414356
7415-1030691
04-3028720
7316-0019773
05-220773
7206-110818
7107-03732311
Total:0017244324000