Montreal Canadiens Playoff Chances 2009-2010Beat Avalanche 4-3, Lost to Blackhawks 1-3, Beat Blues 3-2, Beat Bruins 4-3, Beat Avalanche 6-2, Beat Blackhawks 3-0, Beat Blue Jackets 4-1, Lost to Blues 3-5, Beat Bruins 4-0, Beat Bruins 6-1, Beat Canucks 6-5 (so), Beat Capitals 5-2, Beat Capitals 5-4, Beat Coyotes 4-3 (so), Lost to Devils 3-5, Plays Devils, Beat Ducks 8-6, Beat Flames 5-1, Beat Flyers 5-1, Lost to Flyers 1-2, Beat Hurricanes 3-2, Beat Hurricanes 7-2, Beat Islanders 4-2, Lost to Islanders 2-3, Lost to Kings 1-2, Beat Lightning 7-1, Beat Lightning 6-1, Lost to Maple Leafs 1-2, Beat Maple Leafs 4-1, Beat Oilers 2-1, Beat Panthers 4-3, Beat Panthers 4-2, Beat Penguins 6-5 (so), Plays Penguins, Beat Predators 6-2, Lost to Rangers 4-5, Lost to Rangers 2-3, Beat Red Wings 3-0, Plays Sabres, Plays Sabres, Lost to Senators 3-4, Beat Senators 3-2 (so), Beat Sharks 3-2, Beat Stars 5-3, Lost to Thrashers 1-4, Plays Thrashers, Lost to Wild 1-4, Beat Canucks 6-1, Lost to Capitals 1-5, Beat Capitals 6-3, Beat Coyotes 5-0, Beat Devils 5-3, Beat Devils 4-3, Lost to Ducks 0-5, Beat Flames 5-2, Beat Flyers 3-2, Beat Flyers 4-2, Lost to Hurricanes 2-5, Beat Hurricanes 6-3, Beat Islanders 2-1, Beat Islanders 5-4, Lost to Kings 3-4, Lost to Lightning 2-4, Beat Lightning 4-2, Beat Maple Leafs 8-3, Plays at Maple Leafs, Beat Oilers 4-2, Beat Panthers 3-0, Beat Panthers 6-3, Beat Penguins 7-1, Beat Penguins 5-1, Beat Predators 9-0, Beat Rangers 2-1, Lost to Rangers 2-3 (ot), Beat Red Wings 3-1, Beat Sabres 4-3 (so), Lost to Sabres 3-4, Lost to Senators 3-5, Lost to Senators 0-3, Beat Sharks 6-3, Beat Stars 3-2, Plays at Thrashers, Lost to Thrashers 4-5 (so), Beat Wild 4-2, playoff odds up 39.6 to 100% 114 points 56 21-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain Thursday, 9/1 | None | | Saturday, 10/1 | None | | Tuesday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed | Canadiens 1 Flyers 2 | -6.0 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 4 Rangers 5 | -5.9 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 3 Senators 4 | -5.9 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 2 Islanders 3 | -5.8 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 1 Maple Leafs 2 | -5.7 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 2 Rangers 3 | -5.6 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 1 Thrashers 4 | -5.6 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 3 Devils 5 | -5.6 | | -0.6 | | Capitals 5 Canadiens 1 | -5.3 | | -0.5 | | Canadiens 3 Blues 5 | -5.3 | | -0.6 | | Sabres 4 Canadiens 3 | -5.3 | | -0.5 | | Senators 5 Canadiens 3 | -5.2 | | -0.6 | | Canadiens 1 Wild 4 | -5.2 | | -0.5 | | Hurricanes 5 Canadiens 2 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Blackhawks 3 Canadiens 1 | -5.1 | | -0.5 | | Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 | +5.0 | | +0.5 | | Lightning 4 Canadiens 2 | -4.9 | | -0.5 | | Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | -4.9 | | -0.5 | | Canadiens 1 Kings 2 | -4.8 | | -0.5 | | Kings 4 Canadiens 3 | -4.6 | | -0.5 | | Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 | +4.6 | | +0.5 | | Capitals 3 Canadiens 6 | +4.5 | | +0.5 | | Hurricanes 3 Canadiens 6 | +4.5 | | +0.5 | | Panthers 3 Canadiens 6 | +4.5 | | +0.5 | | Ducks 5 Canadiens 0 | -4.4 | | -0.5 | | Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 | +4.4 | | +0.5 | | Islanders 1 Canadiens 2 | +4.3 | | +0.4 | | Devils 3 Canadiens 5 | +4.3 | | +0.4 | | Blues 2 Canadiens 3 | +4.3 | | +0.4 | | Devils 3 Canadiens 4 | +4.3 | | +0.5 | | Panthers 0 Canadiens 3 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Flyers 2 Canadiens 3 | +4.2 | | +0.5 | | Maple Leafs 3 Canadiens 8 | +4.2 | | +0.5 | | Penguins 1 Canadiens 5 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | +4.2 | | +0.4 | | Flames 2 Canadiens 5 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Flyers 2 Canadiens 4 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Red Wings 1 Canadiens 3 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Coyotes 0 Canadiens 5 | +4.1 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Oilers 2 Canadiens 4 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Rangers 1 Canadiens 2 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Stars 2 Canadiens 3 | +4.0 | | +0.4 | | Predators 0 Canadiens 9 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 4 Islanders 2 | +3.9 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 5 Flyers 1 | +3.8 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 4 Bruins 0 | +3.7 | | +0.4 | | Wild 2 Canadiens 4 | +3.7 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 6 Bruins 1 | +3.7 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 4 Panthers 3 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 5 Capitals 4 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 5 Capitals 2 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Sharks 3 Canadiens 6 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 4 Panthers 2 | +3.6 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 | +3.5 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 5 Stars 3 | +3.5 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 | +3.5 | | +0.4 | | Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 | +3.5 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 4 Blue Jackets 1 | +3.4 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 1 | +3.4 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 7 Hurricanes 2 | +3.4 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | +3.3 | | +0.4 | | Canadiens 6 Canucks 5 (so) | +3.3 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 6 Predators 2 | +3.3 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 5 Flames 1 | +3.2 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 | +3.2 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 | +3.2 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 8 Ducks 6 | +3.1 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 2 Oilers 1 | +3.1 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | +3.1 | | *+0.3 | | Canadiens 3 Senators 2 (so) | +2.8 | | +0.3 | | Sabres 3 Canadiens 4 (so) | +2.6 | | +0.3 | | Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so) | +2.5 | | *+0.3 | | Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so) | *-1.3 | | | | Rangers 3 Canadiens 2 (ot) | *-1.2 | | | | Red Wings 2 Senators 3 | -0.9 | | | | Senators 1 Sharks 4 | +0.8 | | | | Kings 5 Bruins 2 | +0.8 | | | | Flyers 6 Coyotes 2 | -0.8 | | | | Kings 3 Flyers 2 | +0.7 | | | | Blackhawks 5 Lightning 4 | +0.7 | | | | Senators 1 Stars 4 | *+0.7 | | | | Sharks 2 Lightning 1 (so) | *+0.6 | | | | Stars 1 Capitals 2 (so) | *+0.6 | | | | Hurricanes 4 Maple Leafs 1 | *+0.6 | | | | Senators 3 Bruins 2 | *+0.6 | | | | Sharks 1 Thrashers 2 | *-0.5 | | | | Wild 3 Hurricanes 0 | *+0.5 | | | | Bruins 5 Canucks 4 | *-0.5 | | | | Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | *-0.5 | | | | Blues 3 Blue Jackets 2 | *+0.5 | | | | Blue Jackets 4 Red Wings 1 | *+0.4 | | | | Sabres 0 Oilers 2 | *-0.4 | | | | Blue Jackets 1 Oilers 8 | *-0.2 | | | | Hurricanes 4 Canucks 1 | *-0.2 | | | | Stars 4 Flyers 3 (ot) | *+0.2 | | | | Sharks 4 Penguins 5 (so) | *+0.2 | | | | Stars 0 Kings 3 | *+0.2 | | | | Penguins 3 Maple Leafs 4 (so) | | | *-0.2 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Canadiens finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | | TP | W | | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | -128 | | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89,058 | * | 121 | | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | In | 99 | 0 | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 4,814 | | | 2 | 2 | - | 3 | In | 99 | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | 381 | | | 1 | 1 | - | 5 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 11 | | 120 | | 3 | 4 | - | 0 | In | 98 | 0 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 2,787 | | | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | In | 97 | 1 | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | 918 | | | 1 | 2 | - | 4 | In | 91 | 4 | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | 23 | | 119 | | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | In | 91 | 2 | | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | 1,112 | | | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | In | 88 | 4 | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | 75 | | | 0 | 2 | - | 5 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | | 118 | | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | In | 80 | 6 | | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | 522 | | | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | In | 82 | 5 | | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | | 0 | 3 | - | 4 | In | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | | 117 | | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | In | 58 | 12 | | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | | | 0 | 4 | - | 3 | In | 60 | | | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | | 116 | | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | In | 38 | 13 | | 48 | | | | | | | | | | | | 52 | | | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | In | | 38 | | 63 | | | | | | | | | | | | 8 | | 115 | | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | In | | 14 | | 71 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | | 114 | | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | In | | 10 | 10 | 50 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | In | 100 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | 100,000 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Make Playoffs
LotteryWhy are you looking down here? We just made the playoffs! Big GamesThursday, 9/1 | None | | Saturday, 10/1 | None | | Tuesday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed | Canadiens 1 Maple Leafs 2 | +1.3 | | Canadiens 3 Senators 4 | +1.3 | | Canadiens 1 Flyers 2 | +1.3 | | Canadiens 4 Rangers 5 | +1.3 | | Canadiens 2 Islanders 3 | +1.2 | | Canadiens 3 Devils 5 | +1.2 | | Canadiens 3 Blues 5 | +1.2 | | Canadiens 2 Rangers 3 | +1.2 | | Canadiens 1 Thrashers 4 | +1.2 | | Canadiens 1 Wild 4 | +1.1 | | Senators 5 Canadiens 3 | +1.1 | | Sabres 4 Canadiens 3 | +1.1 | | Capitals 5 Canadiens 1 | +1.1 | | Canadiens 1 Kings 2 | +1.1 | | Senators 3 Canadiens 0 | +1.1 | | Hurricanes 5 Canadiens 2 | +1.1 | | Blackhawks 3 Canadiens 1 | +1.1 | | Lightning 4 Canadiens 2 | +1.0 | | Kings 4 Canadiens 3 | +1.0 | | Islanders 4 Canadiens 5 | -1.0 | | Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 | -1.0 | | Ducks 5 Canadiens 0 | +1.0 | | Maple Leafs 3 Canadiens 8 | -1.0 | | Hurricanes 3 Canadiens 6 | -0.9 | | Lightning 2 Canadiens 4 | -0.9 | | Capitals 3 Canadiens 6 | -0.9 | | Panthers 3 Canadiens 6 | -0.9 | | Blues 2 Canadiens 3 | -0.9 | | Flyers 2 Canadiens 3 | -0.9 | | Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 | -0.9 | | Flames 2 Canadiens 5 | -0.9 | | Devils 3 Canadiens 4 | -0.9 | | Stars 2 Canadiens 3 | -0.9 | | Flyers 2 Canadiens 4 | -0.9 | | Red Wings 1 Canadiens 3 | -0.9 | | Penguins 1 Canadiens 5 | -0.9 | | Coyotes 0 Canadiens 5 | -0.9 | | Oilers 2 Canadiens 4 | -0.9 | | Islanders 1 Canadiens 2 | -0.9 | | Devils 3 Canadiens 5 | -0.9 | | Panthers 0 Canadiens 3 | -0.8 | | Rangers 1 Canadiens 2 | -0.8 | | Predators 0 Canadiens 9 | -0.8 | | Penguins 1 Canadiens 7 | -0.8 | | Wild 2 Canadiens 4 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 4 Maple Leafs 1 | -0.8 | | Canucks 1 Canadiens 6 | -0.8 | | Sharks 3 Canadiens 6 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 6 Lightning 1 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 4 Islanders 2 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 3 Hurricanes 2 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 4 Bruins 0 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 5 Flyers 1 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 6 Bruins 1 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 5 Capitals 4 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 3 Red Wings 0 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 4 Panthers 2 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 5 Capitals 2 | -0.8 | | Canadiens 4 Panthers 3 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 5 Stars 3 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 4 Blue Jackets 1 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 3 Blackhawks 0 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 6 Predators 2 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 2 Oilers 1 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 5 Flames 1 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 7 Lightning 1 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 6 Canucks 5 (so) | -0.7 | | Canadiens 7 Hurricanes 2 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 8 Ducks 6 | -0.7 | | Canadiens 3 Sharks 2 | -0.7 | | Sabres 3 Canadiens 4 (so) | *-0.6 | | Canadiens 6 Penguins 5 (so) | *-0.6 | | Canadiens 3 Senators 2 (so) | -0.6 | | Canadiens 4 Coyotes 3 (so) | *-0.5 | | Penguins 3 Maple Leafs 4 (so) | +0.4 | | Thrashers 5 Canadiens 4 (so) | *+0.3 | | Rangers 3 Canadiens 2 (ot) | *+0.2 | | Senators 1 Sharks 4 | -0.2 | | Red Wings 2 Senators 3 | +0.2 | | Predators 0 Senators 5 | +0.2 | | Senators 1 Stars 4 | -0.2 | | If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway | Canadiens vs Devils | -0.0-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.1+0.2 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What If | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | TP | W | | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 128 | | 7 | 0 | - | 0 | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 127 | | 6 | 0 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 126 | | 6 | 1 | - | 0 | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 0 | - | 2 | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 125 | | 5 | 1 | - | 1 | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 0 | - | 3 | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 124 | | 5 | 2 | - | 0 | 87 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 1 | - | 2 | 87 | 13 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 0 | - | 4 | 84 | 16 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 123 | | 4 | 2 | - | 1 | 75 | 25 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 1 | - | 3 | 78 | 22 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 0 | - | 5 | 83 | 17 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 122 | | 4 | 3 | - | 0 | 62 | 38 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 2 | - | 2 | 63 | 37 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 1 | - | 4 | 71 | 29 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 121 | | 3 | 3 | - | 1 | 45 | 54 | 0 | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 2 | - | 3 | 46 | 53 | | | | | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | - | 5 | 36 | 64 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 120 | | 3 | 4 | - | 0 | 32 | 66 | 0 | 0 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 3 | - | 2 | 30 | 67 | 1 | 0 | | | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | - | 4 | 39 | 52 | 4 | | | | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 119 | | 2 | 4 | - | 1 | 16 | 76 | 2 | 1 | | | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | - | 3 | 7 | 81 | 4 | | | | 8 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | - | 5 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 118 | | 2 | 5 | - | 0 | 8 | 72 | 4 | 1 | | | 15 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | - | 2 | 7 | 75 | 4 | 1 | | | 12 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | - | 4 | | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 117 | | 1 | 5 | - | 1 | 1 | 57 | 6 | 6 | | | 29 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | - | 3 | 20 | 40 | | | | | 40 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 116 | | 1 | 6 | - | 0 | | 38 | 6 | 8 | | | 46 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | - | 2 | | | 25 | 13 | | | 63 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 115 | | 0 | 6 | - | 1 | | | | 14 | | | 57 | 14 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 114 | | 0 | 7 | - | 0 | | | | 10 | 10 | | 40 | 10 | 30 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 81 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | |
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