How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did yesterday and who we should root for today.   Explain

Thursday, 9/1None
Saturday, 10/1None
Tuesday, 11/1100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Bruins 2 Devils 3 -5.9
-0.6
Bruins 3 Senators 4 -5.8
-0.6
Bruins 3 Hurricanes 4 -5.8
-0.6
Bruins 2 Sabres 4 -5.8
-0.6
Bruins 0 Senators 2 -5.5
-0.6
Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 -5.5
-0.6
Bruins 2 Thrashers 3 -5.5
-0.5
Bruins 1 Flames 5 -5.5
-0.5
Bruins 0 Rangers 2 -5.5
-0.5
Bruins 2 Penguins 3 -5.4
-0.6
Bruins 1 Sabres 4 -5.4
-0.6
Bruins 1 Lightning 4 -5.4
-0.6
Bruins 3 Flyers 8 -5.4
-0.6
Bruins 1 Wild 7 -5.4
-0.5
Bruins 0 Ducks 6 -5.4
-0.5
Bruins 4 Hurricanes 5 -5.3
-0.6
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)+5.3
+0.5
Bruins 2 Flyers 3 -5.2
-0.5
Senators 1 Bruins 3 +5.2
+0.5
Thrashers 2 Bruins 1 -5.2
-0.5
Capitals 3 Bruins 2 -5.1
-0.5
Bruins 3 Red Wings 4 -5.0
-0.5
Bruins 3 Kings 7 -5.0
-0.5
Maple Leafs 6 Bruins 0 -5.0
-0.5
Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 -5.0
-0.5
Hurricanes 2 Bruins 0 -5.0
-0.5
Panthers 2 Bruins 1 -4.9
-0.5
Panthers 0 Bruins 3 +4.9
+0.5
Lightning 6 Bruins 2 -4.9
-0.5
Sabres 5 Bruins 1 -4.9
-0.5
Maple Leafs 3 Bruins 1 -4.9
-0.5
Rangers 6 Bruins 1 -4.9
-0.5
Bruins 2 Coyotes 3 -4.8
-0.5
Bruins 1 Stars 3 -4.8
-0.5
Canadiens 6 Bruins 1 -4.8
-0.5
Wild 1 Bruins 2 (so)+4.8
+0.4
Senators 3 Bruins 2 -4.8
-0.5
Penguins 0 Bruins 3 +4.8
+0.5
Devils 4 Bruins 3 -4.8
-0.5
Penguins 4 Bruins 1 -4.7
-0.5
Islanders 1 Bruins 4 +4.7
+0.5
Sabres 3 Bruins 2 -4.7
-0.5
Blue Jackets 5 Bruins 2 -4.7
-0.5
Rangers 2 Bruins 3 +4.6
+0.5
Canadiens 4 Bruins 0 -4.6
-0.5
Capitals 2 Bruins 4 +4.6
+0.4
Hurricanes 6 Bruins 4 -4.5
-0.5
Ducks 2 Bruins 1 -4.5
-0.5
Flames 3 Bruins 2 -4.5
-0.5
Stars 3 Bruins 2 -4.4
-0.4
Devils 3 Bruins 6 +4.3
+0.5
Sharks 4 Bruins 3 -4.3
-0.4
Predators 1 Bruins 4 +4.2
+0.4
Kings 5 Bruins 2 -4.2
-0.4
Canucks 0 Bruins 4 +4.2
+0.4
Bruins 2 Devils 1 +4.0
+0.4
Bruins 5 Islanders 4 (ot)+4.0
+0.4
Bruins 3 Lightning 2 +4.0
+0.4
Coyotes 3 Bruins 5 +3.8
+0.4
Bruins 3 Penguins 1 +3.8
+0.4
Bruins 3 Thrashers 1 +3.8
+0.4
Lightning 1 Bruins 2 (ot)+3.7
+0.4
Bruins 2 Blackhawks 1 +3.7
+0.4
Bruins 2 Panthers 1 +3.6
+0.4
Bruins 5 Rangers 4 (ot)+3.5
+0.3
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 +3.5
+0.4
Bruins 3 Blue Jackets 0 +3.4
+0.4
Bruins 5 Oilers 1 +3.1
+0.3
Blues 2 Bruins 3 (so)+3.1
+0.3
Bruins 2 Islanders 1 (ot)+2.9
+0.3
Bruins 5 Blues 4 (so)+2.3
+0.3
Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot)-1.9
-0.2
Red Wings 4 Bruins 3 (ot)*-0.8
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)*-0.8
Thrashers 3 Bruins 2 (ot)*-0.8
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)*-0.8
Blackhawks 4 Bruins 3 (ot)*-0.4
Oilers 4 Bruins 3 (so)*-0.3
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Bruins vs Panthers+0.3+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.4
Islanders vs Bruins-0.3-0.1-0.0+0.2+0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Bruins finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TPWL-OTplayoffs123456789101112131415Count
7570-0Out5248168
7460-1Out3763557
7361-0Out23771,274
50-2Out18820758
7251-1Out128703,490
40-3Out10891580
7152-0Out890204,142
41-2Out69223,920
30-4Out6922265
7042-1Out391609,243
31-3Out290802,272
20-5Out901052
6932-2Out1811717,975
43-0Out1831517,174
21-4Out077221658
10-6Out75258
6833-1Out06531412,377
22-3Out0623443,405
11-5Out57394122
00-7Out1001
6723-2Out04246127,664
34-0Out0484397,390
12-4Out354916667
01-6Out25758
6624-1Out2451259,103
13-3Out1950312,103
02-5Out19493257
6525-0Out1245434,209
14-2Out942503,560
03-4Out63560220
6415-1Out329683,404
04-3Out12673463
6316-0Out116831,287
05-2Out01189669
6206-1Out595570
6107-0Out298185
Total:Out2572614100,000
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.

Big Games

Thursday, 9/1None
Saturday, 10/1None
Tuesday, 11/1100.0*Lottery seed
Bruins 3 Senators 4 +1.2
Bruins 2 Devils 3 +1.2
Bruins 2 Sabres 4 +1.2
Bruins 3 Hurricanes 4 +1.2
Bruins 0 Senators 2 +1.2
Bruins 1 Sabres 4 +1.2
Bruins 3 Canadiens 4 +1.2
Bruins 1 Flames 5 +1.1
Bruins 4 Hurricanes 5 +1.1
Bruins 1 Lightning 4 +1.1
Bruins 3 Flyers 8 +1.1
Bruins 1 Wild 7 +1.1
Bruins 0 Ducks 6 +1.1
Bruins 0 Rangers 2 +1.1
Bruins 2 Penguins 3 +1.1
Bruins 2 Thrashers 3 +1.1
Bruins 2 Flyers 3 +1.1
Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 +1.1
Bruins 3 Kings 7 +1.1
Bruins 2 Coyotes 3 +1.1
Flyers 5 Bruins 6 (so)-1.1
Bruins 1 Stars 3 +1.1
Bruins 3 Red Wings 4 +1.1
Senators 1 Bruins 3 -1.1
Sabres 5 Bruins 1 +1.0
Lightning 6 Bruins 2 +1.0
Maple Leafs 6 Bruins 0 +1.0
Thrashers 2 Bruins 1 +1.0
Maple Leafs 3 Bruins 1 +1.0
Senators 3 Bruins 2 +1.0
Capitals 3 Bruins 2 +1.0
Canadiens 6 Bruins 1 +1.0
Panthers 2 Bruins 1 +1.0
Sabres 3 Bruins 2 +1.0
Penguins 4 Bruins 1 +1.0
Devils 4 Bruins 3 +1.0
Flames 3 Bruins 2 +1.0
Hurricanes 2 Bruins 0 +1.0
Ducks 2 Bruins 1 +1.0
Blue Jackets 5 Bruins 2 +1.0
Panthers 0 Bruins 3 -1.0
Rangers 6 Bruins 1 +1.0
Canadiens 4 Bruins 0 +0.9
Penguins 0 Bruins 3 -0.9
Rangers 2 Bruins 3 -0.9
Sharks 4 Bruins 3 +0.9
Hurricanes 6 Bruins 4 +0.9
Stars 3 Bruins 2 +0.9
Devils 3 Bruins 6 -0.9
Capitals 2 Bruins 4 -0.9
Predators 1 Bruins 4 -0.9
Islanders 1 Bruins 4 -0.9
Canucks 0 Bruins 4 -0.9
Kings 5 Bruins 2 +0.9
Coyotes 3 Bruins 5 -0.9
Bruins 5 Islanders 4 (ot)-0.9
Lightning 1 Bruins 2 (ot)-0.8
Bruins 2 Devils 1 -0.8
Wild 1 Bruins 2 (so)*-0.8
Bruins 3 Lightning 2 -0.8
Bruins 2 Blackhawks 1 -0.8
Bruins 3 Thrashers 1 -0.8
Bruins 3 Penguins 1 -0.8
Bruins 3 Blue Jackets 0 -0.8
Bruins 5 Canucks 4 -0.7
Bruins 2 Panthers 1 -0.7
Bruins 5 Oilers 1 -0.7
Bruins 5 Rangers 4 (ot)-0.7
Bruins 2 Islanders 1 (ot)-0.7
Blues 2 Bruins 3 (so)*-0.6
Bruins 5 Blues 4 (so)-0.6
Bruins 1 Sharks 2 (ot)+0.4
Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so)*+0.2
Bruins 3 Predators 4 (so)*+0.2
Red Wings 4 Bruins 3 (ot)*+0.1
Thrashers 3 Bruins 2 (ot)*+0.1
Oilers 4 Bruins 3 (so)*+0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTHome SOAway SOAway OTAway
Bruins vs Panthers-0.3-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.4
Islanders vs Bruins+0.3+0.1+0.0-0.2-0.2-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TPWL-OT123456789101112131415161718192021222324252627282930
7570-0115139
7460-133860
7361-012575
50-2120790
7251-1013860
40-311891
7152-089020
41-26922
30-46922
7042-139160
31-329080
20-59010
6932-2181171
43-0183151
21-4077221
10-67525
6833-1065314
22-3062344
11-557394
00-7100
6723-20424612
34-0048439
12-4364916
01-62575
6624-1245125
13-3195031
02-5194932
6525-0124543
14-294250
03-463560
6415-132968
04-312673
6316-011683
05-201189
6206-1595
6107-0298
Total:02572614