Colorado Avalanche Playoff Chances 2009-2010
Lost to Blackhawks 0-2, Lost to Blue Jackets 3-4 (so), Beat Blue Jackets 3-1, Beat Blues 2-1, Plays Blues, Beat Bruins 3-2 (so), Lost to Canadiens 3-4, Lost to Canucks 3-4, Beat Canucks 2-1, Lost to Capitals 3-4, Lost to Coyotes 3-5, Lost to Coyotes 0-3, Lost to Devils 2-3 (ot), Beat Ducks 5-4 (ot), Lost to Ducks 1-2, Lost to Flames 1-4, Lost to Flames 1-2, Lost to Flyers 0-2, Lost to Hurricanes 3-4 (so), Beat Islanders 4-0, Lost to Kings 1-2, Lost to Kings 2-6, Lost to Lightning 2-5, Lost to Maple Leafs 1-4, Lost to Oilers 5-6 (so), Plays Oilers, Beat Panthers 5-4, Lost to Penguins 1-6, Lost to Predators 3-4 (ot), Plays Predators, Lost to Rangers 1-2 (so), Beat Red Wings 4-2, Lost to Red Wings 3-4, Beat Sabres 6-2, Lost to Senators 4-7, Lost to Sharks 1-4, Lost to Sharks 1-4, Lost to Stars 1-4, Plays Stars, Lost to Thrashers 1-3, Lost to Wild 4-8, Lost to Wild 3-4, Lost to Blackhawks 4-5 (ot), Lost to Blackhawks 3-7, Beat Blue Jackets 5-3, Lost to Blue Jackets 3-5, Lost to Blues 0-4, Plays at Blues, Beat Bruins 4-2, Lost to Canadiens 2-6, Lost to Canucks 1-4, Lost to Canucks 1-4, Plays at Capitals, Lost to Coyotes 2-6, Lost to Coyotes 2-3, Beat Devils 3-2, Lost to Ducks 1-4, Lost to Ducks 1-3, Plays at Flames, Plays at Flames, Lost to Flyers 1-4, Beat Hurricanes 3-1, Lost to Islanders 2-6, Lost to Kings 0-5, Lost to Kings 3-4 (ot), Lost to Lightning 1-3, Plays at Maple Leafs, Lost to Oilers 3-4 (so), Lost to Oilers 2-3, Lost to Panthers 2-7, Lost to Penguins 2-3, Plays at Predators, Plays at Predators, Beat Rangers 4-1, Lost to Red Wings 2-3, Beat Red Wings 3-2, Lost to Sabres 0-4, Lost to Senators 4-5, Lost to Sharks 2-6, Lost to Sharks 0-5, Lost to Stars 2-5, Lost to Stars 2-3, Beat Thrashers 1-0, Lost to Wild 3-5, Lost to Wild 2-3 (so), playoff odds down 44.6 to 0%
42 points 16 49-10
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did yesterday and who we should root for today. Explain
| Thursday, 9/1 | None | |||
| Saturday, 10/1 | None | |||
| Tuesday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Avalanche 4 Wild 8 | -6.0 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Flames 4 | -6.0 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Coyotes 5 | -5.9 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Wild 4 | -5.9 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Sharks 4 | -5.8 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Stars 4 | -5.8 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Thrashers 3 | -5.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Red Wings 4 | -5.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Ducks 2 | -5.7 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 0 Flyers 2 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Kings 2 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Flames 2 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Sharks 4 | -5.6 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 0 Coyotes 3 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 0 Blackhawks 2 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Canucks 4 | -5.5 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Penguins 6 | -5.4 | -0.5 | ||
| Avalanche 2 Kings 6 | -5.4 | -0.6 | ||
| Avalanche 2 Lightning 5 | -5.3 | -0.6 | ||
| Wild 5 Avalanche 3 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Sharks 6 Avalanche 2 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Blues 4 Avalanche 0 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Blue Jackets 5 Avalanche 3 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Avalanche 1 Maple Leafs 4 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Ducks 3 Avalanche 1 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 | -5.1 | -0.5 | ||
| Stars 5 Avalanche 2 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Capitals 4 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Coyotes 6 Avalanche 2 | -5.0 | -0.5 | ||
| Avalanche 4 Senators 7 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Coyotes 3 Avalanche 2 | -4.9 | -0.5 | ||
| Sharks 5 Avalanche 0 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Oilers 3 Avalanche 2 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Kings 5 Avalanche 0 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 | -4.8 | -0.5 | ||
| Sabres 4 Avalanche 0 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Flyers 4 Avalanche 1 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Ducks 4 Avalanche 1 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Stars 3 Avalanche 2 | -4.7 | -0.5 | ||
| Blue Jackets 3 Avalanche 5 | +4.6 | +0.5 | ||
| Red Wings 3 Avalanche 2 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Islanders 6 Avalanche 2 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Red Wings 2 Avalanche 3 | +4.6 | +0.5 | ||
| Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | -4.6 | -0.5 | ||
| Senators 5 Avalanche 4 | -4.5 | -0.5 | ||
| Rangers 1 Avalanche 4 | +4.4 | +0.4 | ||
| Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | -4.4 | -0.4 | ||
| Thrashers 0 Avalanche 1 | +4.3 | +0.4 | ||
| Panthers 7 Avalanche 2 | -4.3 | -0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 2 Canucks 1 | +4.2 | +0.4 | ||
| Hurricanes 1 Avalanche 3 | +4.1 | +0.4 | ||
| Devils 2 Avalanche 3 | +4.0 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 5 Panthers 4 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 1 | +3.8 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 4 Red Wings 2 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 | +3.7 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 2 Blues 1 | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 5 Ducks 4 (ot) | +3.6 | +0.4 | ||
| Avalanche 6 Sabres 2 | +3.3 | +0.3 | ||
| Avalanche 4 Islanders 0 | +3.3 | +0.3 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so) | +2.9 | +0.3 | ||
| Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so) | *-1.7 | *-0.2 | ||
| Oilers 4 Avalanche 3 (so) | *-1.5 | |||
| Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot) | -1.4 | |||
| Avalanche 3 Predators 4 (ot) | *-1.3 | |||
| Wild 3 Avalanche 2 (so) | *-1.1 | |||
| Sabres 5 Flames 3 | +0.9 | |||
| Blues 1 Flyers 3 | +0.9 | |||
| Canucks 0 Kings 5 | +0.9 | |||
| Capitals 4 Coyotes 5 (ot) | *-0.9 | |||
| Red Wings 2 Senators 3 | +0.8 | |||
| Bruins 0 Rangers 2 | +0.8 | |||
| Capitals 4 Flames 5 | -0.8 | |||
| Rangers 5 Coyotes 2 | +0.8 | |||
| Avalanche 3 Hurricanes 4 (so) | *-0.8 | |||
| Flames 6 Flyers 4 | -0.8 | |||
| Rangers 5 Wild 3 | +0.8 | |||
| Senators 5 Coyotes 0 | +0.8 | |||
| Sabres 6 Kings 2 | *+0.7 | |||
| Sabres 0 Sharks 4 | *-0.7 | |||
| Capitals 2 Canucks 1 | *+0.7 | |||
| Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so) | *-0.6 | |||
| Avalanche 5 Oilers 6 (so) | *-0.6 | |||
| Red Wings 3 Lightning 2 | *-0.6 | |||
| Blue Jackets 4 Sharks 2 | *+0.6 | |||
| Kings 4 Avalanche 3 (ot) | *-0.5 | |||
| Thrashers 5 Oilers 3 | *+0.5 | |||
| Canucks 2 Thrashers 5 | *+0.5 | |||
| Canucks 1 Flames 3 | *+0.4 | |||
| Flames 3 Maple Leafs 1 | *-0.4 | |||
| Sabres 3 Wild 4 (so) | *+0.4 | |||
| Bruins 1 Wild 7 | *-0.4 | |||
| Sharks 4 Ducks 2 | *-0.3 | |||
| Oilers 4 Bruins 3 (so) | *-0.3 | |||
| Blackhawks 4 Senators 2 | *-0.2 | |||
| Sharks 6 Oilers 5 (so) | *+0.2 | |||
| Blackhawks 5 Avalanche 4 (ot) | *+0.1 | |||
| Flames 3 Coyotes 4 (so) | *-0.2 | |||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Avalanche finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | Count | ||||
| 42 | -64 | Out | 100 | 100,000 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | Out | 100 | 100,000 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Thursday, 9/1 | None | |
| Saturday, 10/1 | None | |
| Tuesday, 11/1 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Avalanche 1 Flames 4 | +1.3 | |
| Avalanche 4 Wild 8 | +1.3 | |
| Avalanche 1 Thrashers 3 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 3 Red Wings 4 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 3 Wild 4 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 3 Coyotes 5 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 1 Ducks 2 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 1 Sharks 4 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 1 Stars 4 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 2 Lightning 5 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 0 Flyers 2 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 3 Canucks 4 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 0 Blackhawks 2 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 1 Flames 2 | +1.2 | |
| Avalanche 2 Kings 6 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 1 Penguins 6 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 1 Sharks 4 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 1 Kings 2 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 0 Coyotes 3 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 1 Maple Leafs 4 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 3 Capitals 4 | +1.1 | |
| Wild 5 Avalanche 3 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 4 Senators 7 | +1.1 | |
| Avalanche 3 Canadiens 4 | +1.1 | |
| Oilers 3 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Sharks 6 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 | +1.0 | |
| Ducks 3 Avalanche 1 | +1.0 | |
| Coyotes 6 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Blue Jackets 5 Avalanche 3 | +1.0 | |
| Blues 4 Avalanche 0 | +1.0 | |
| Stars 5 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Islanders 6 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Canucks 4 Avalanche 1 | +1.0 | |
| Penguins 3 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Blackhawks 7 Avalanche 3 | +1.0 | |
| Coyotes 3 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Ducks 4 Avalanche 1 | +1.0 | |
| Flyers 4 Avalanche 1 | +1.0 | |
| Red Wings 3 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Senators 5 Avalanche 4 | +1.0 | |
| Kings 5 Avalanche 0 | +1.0 | |
| Sabres 4 Avalanche 0 | +1.0 | |
| Stars 3 Avalanche 2 | +1.0 | |
| Blue Jackets 3 Avalanche 5 | -1.0 | |
| Lightning 3 Avalanche 1 | +1.0 | |
| Sharks 5 Avalanche 0 | +1.0 | |
| Red Wings 2 Avalanche 3 | -0.9 | |
| Rangers 1 Avalanche 4 | -0.9 | |
| Canadiens 6 Avalanche 2 | +0.9 | |
| Thrashers 0 Avalanche 1 | -0.9 | |
| Panthers 7 Avalanche 2 | +0.9 | |
| Hurricanes 1 Avalanche 3 | -0.9 | |
| Devils 2 Avalanche 3 | -0.9 | |
| Avalanche 2 Canucks 1 | -0.8 | |
| Bruins 2 Avalanche 4 | -0.8 | |
| Avalanche 5 Panthers 4 | -0.8 | |
| Avalanche 2 Blues 1 | -0.8 | |
| Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 1 | -0.8 | |
| Avalanche 4 Red Wings 2 | -0.7 | |
| Avalanche 6 Sabres 2 | -0.7 | |
| Avalanche 4 Islanders 0 | -0.7 | |
| Avalanche 5 Ducks 4 (ot) | -0.7 | |
| Avalanche 3 Bruins 2 (so) | -0.7 | |
| Avalanche 3 Blue Jackets 4 (so) | +0.4 | |
| Flames 3 Coyotes 4 (so) | +0.3 | |
| Avalanche 2 Devils 3 (ot) | *+0.3 | |
| Oilers 4 Avalanche 3 (so) | *+0.3 | |
| Avalanche 3 Hurricanes 4 (so) | *+0.3 | |
| Red Wings 3 Oilers 4 (so) | *+0.3 | |
| Canucks 2 Devils 3 (so) | -0.2 | |
| Flames 2 Thrashers 1 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Blackhawks 4 Sabres 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Coyotes 5 Ducks 6 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Kings 4 Stars 3 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Avalanche 1 Rangers 2 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Avalanche 3 Predators 4 (ot) | *+0.2 | |
| Bruins 2 Islanders 1 (ot) | +0.2 | |
| Blue Jackets 3 Stars 2 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Maple Leafs 5 Blues 6 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Hurricanes 3 Flyers 2 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Canucks 0 Kings 5 | -0.2 | |
| Wild 3 Avalanche 2 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Sabres 2 Blackhawks 3 (so) | +0.2 | |
| Flames 0 Predators 4 | *-0.2 | |
| Oilers 4 Lightning 3 (so) | *-0.2 | |
| Avalanche 5 Oilers 6 (so) | *+0.2 | |
| Blackhawks 5 Avalanche 4 (ot) | *-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||
| If finish: | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | L | - | OT | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | 25 | 26 | 27 | 28 | 29 | 30 | ||
| 64 | 11 | 0 | - | 0 | 56 | 44 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 10 | 0 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 9 | 0 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 10 | 1 | - | 0 | 33 | 67 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 9 | 1 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 8 | 1 | - | 2 | 1 | 99 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 9 | 2 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | 0 | - | 4 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 49 | -59 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | 7 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 6 | - | 4 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | 8 | - | 0 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 5 | - | 6 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 2 | 8 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | 8 | - | 2 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | 9 | - | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | 7 | - | 4 | 100 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 1 | 9 | - | 1 | 100 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | 9 | - | 2 | 99 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | 10 | - | 0 | 99 | 1 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | 10 | - | 1 | 99 | 1 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | 11 | - | 0 | 92 | 8 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0 | 100 | 0 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 1:47 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
