Buffalo Bills Playoff Chances 1 50/50
Beat New England 13-8, playoff odds down 32.3 to 0%
10-6-0 .625
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 12/12 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Reg Season Champ | 100.0* | College Level | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Jacksonville 14 Buffalo 8 | -17.1 | -1.9 | +2.1 | -2.0 | ||||
| Carolina 29 NY Jets 19 | +2.0 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Detroit 31 Baltimore 24 | +1.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Tennessee 25 Arizona 17 | -1.0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Cleveland 26 Chicago 16 | -0.7 | +0.1 | +0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Miami 17 New England 32 | -0.7 | -0.0 | ||||||
| Oakland 16 Kansas City 26 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.2 | -0.0 | ||||
| Denver 7 San Diego 9 | -0.3 | +0.3 | +0.1 | -0.0 | ||||
| Pittsburgh 19 Cincinnati 28 | -0.2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Indianapolis 27 Houston 15 | -0.2 | |||||||
| Minnesota 22 Philadelphia 23 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||||
| St. Louis 28 New Orleans 10 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Dallas 23 Green Bay 30 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Reg Season Champ | 100.0* | College Level | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Buffalo 27 Miami 32 | -21.2 | -1.4 | +1.8 | -2.5 | ||||
| Baltimore 42 New England 33 | +1.7 | -0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| NY Jets 23 Cleveland 16 | -1.7 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Cincinnati 7 Minnesota 19 | +1.3 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Jacksonville 11 Tennessee 13 | -1.0 | -0.3 | ||||||
| San Diego 25 Oakland 15 | -0.8 | -0.2 | ||||||
| Green Bay 34 Pittsburgh 12 | +0.8 | -0.1 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Houston 16 Denver 29 | -0.3 | -0.1 | +0.1 | |||||
| San Francisco 16 Atlanta 28 | +0.1 | +0.1 | ||||||
| Seattle 23 Arizona 30 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Kansas City 9 Indianapolis 19 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Philadelphia 14 Chicago 3 | +0.1 | +0.2 | ||||||
| Detroit 22 NY Giants 23 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| St. Louis 39 Tampa Bay 36 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Week of 12/29 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Reg Season Champ | 100.0* | College Level | 100.0* | Average seed |
| New England 8 Buffalo 13 | +32.5 | +0.2 | No | +3.2 | ||||
| Miami 22 NY Jets 26 | -2.1 | -0.1 | -0.1 | |||||
| Indianapolis 34 Jacksonville 21 | -1.8 | -0.4 | -0.1 | |||||
| Tennessee 29 Houston 30 | +1.5 | +0.1 | -0.0 | |||||
| Pittsburgh 23 Cleveland 22 | +0.2 | +0.1 | +0.0 | |||||
| San Diego 16 Kansas City 32 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Oakland 11 Denver 17 | -0.2 | -0.3 | +0.1 | |||||
| Chicago 15 Green Bay 19 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Arizona 22 San Francisco 37 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Dallas 37 Philadelphia 20 | -0.1 | |||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Lottery
We are out of the playoffs. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.
Although it might be more fun to go down swinging.
Big Games
| Week of 12/12 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Jacksonville 14 Buffalo 8 | +4.1 | |
| Denver 7 San Diego 9 | +0.0 | |
| Minnesota 22 Philadelphia 23 | -0.0 | |
| Week of 12/22 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| Buffalo 27 Miami 32 | +4.9 | |
| Houston 16 Denver 29 | -0.1 | |
| Baltimore 42 New England 33 | +0.0 | |
| Jacksonville 11 Tennessee 13 | +0.0 | |
| Carolina 34 New Orleans 18 | *-0.0 | |
| Week of 12/29 | 100.0* | Lottery seed |
| New England 8 Buffalo 13 | -6.5 | |
| Chicago 15 Green Bay 19 | -0.1 | |
| Oakland 11 Denver 17 | -0.1 | |
| San Diego 16 Kansas City 32 | -0.1 | |
| Indianapolis 34 Jacksonville 21 | +0.1 | |
| Atlanta 41 Carolina 29 | +0.1 | |
| Minnesota 24 Detroit 20 | -0.1 | |
| NY Giants 34 Washington 24 | -0.0 | |
| Seattle 32 St. Louis 10 | -0.0 | |
| Pittsburgh 23 Cleveland 22 | -0.0 | |
| Tennessee 29 Houston 30 | -0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
