Washington Redskins Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Philadelphia vs Washington-8.2*-0.1+8.2
-1.4*-0.3+1.4
+1.4*-0.3-1.4
-1.0*-0.0+1.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.4*+0.0-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.4*-0.3+0.4
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Green Bay vs Washington-7.6*-0.8+7.6
-1.4-0.4+1.4
+1.3*-0.2-1.4
-0.9*-0.0+0.9
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.9*-0.2-0.9
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants+0.9*+0.1-0.9
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.9*+0.6-0.9
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.4*-0.1-0.4
Atlanta vs St. Louis+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
15.5-16InYes100No305*
1515-1-099.9%90.0%99000No810*
14.514-1-1In88.0100No108
1414-2-0100.076.39811000No6,014
13-1-2InYes100No5
13.513-2-1In67.49631No712*
1313-3-099.855.89160310000000No28,489
12-2-2In47.48758No38
12.512-3-199.543.98410041000No2,965
1212-4-098.831.97019207210000000No91,315
11-3-298.633.88116111No139
11.511-4-197.222.055253094210000No8,952*
1111-5-093.713.93431911263210000000No219,540
10-4-296.010.134331011262110No397
10.510-5-188.47.41931142149532100000No19,605
9-4-388.911.11133331111No9
1010-6-079.64.282220614118532110000No402,221
9-5-281.33.592120415127532111No797
9.59-6-168.61.62121991412108642110000.0%32,235
8-5-361.1No11111128176116No18
99-7-055.60.915141311121110864321000.0575,283
8-6-254.80.21413121212111195322000No1,209*
8.58-7-141.60.30181381111111097532100.041,775
7-6-338.9No6221111617226No18
88-8-029.30.10041168101111109864210.1647,780
7-7-226.70.2031058111011111086510No1,268
7.57-8-117.90.00018368101112111096410.241,538
6-7-314.8No1147191511741174No27
77-9-011.00.0005245791112121210730.8577,510
6-8-210.7No05236891012121210830.61,162*
6.56-9-15.4No03123579121314141161.732,306
5-8-37.1No7142114141477No14
66-10-02.80.002012357912151716124.2402,546
5-9-22.5No1011347101317181592.8774
5.55-10-11.2No01001234710141921197.519,157
4-9-3OutNo8815388158No13
55-11-00.50.000000113481218252813.9220,368
4-10-20.2No00111471220243014.4410
4.54-11-10.2No000001125816273921.48,910*
44-12-00.1No000000113612265031.991,618
3-11-2OutNo24613264834.0141
3.53-12-1OutNo000148246243.72,947*
33-13-00.0No00000000125197356.628,117
2-12-2OutNo610107467.731
2.52-13-1OutNo000013177863.8680*
22-14-00.0No0000002108877.75,950*
1.51-14-1OutNo1129689.4104
11-15-0OutNo00149589.5808
0.50-15-1OutNo100Yes8
00-16-0OutNo010099.7326
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington+1.9*+0.0-1.9
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Washington+1.9+0.1-1.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
15.5-16100
1515-1-09082000
14.514-1-18812
1414-2-0761652100000000
13-1-2100
13.513-2-1672074110
1313-3-0562310531100000000000000
12-2-24734855
12.512-3-14424148521100000000000
1212-4-03223151074321110000000000000
11-3-2342224953111
11.511-4-122191612975332110000000000
1111-5-0141514121086543221111000000000000000
10-4-210171513108665331111100
10.510-5-1711111110987554322111000000000000
9-4-31111111111112211
1010-6-04789988766544332211110000000000
9-5-24581010881095343332221110000
9.59-6-124567787776654433222111000000000
8-5-361166611611617666
99-7-012345566666665544433221111000000
8-6-201335567677866544333121111000
8.58-7-101123345566666665554433221110000
7-6-3666666666116611666
88-8-000112233444555666655554433221100
7-7-20011122234546565664755344421110
7.57-8-100001112223444556666665554432110
6-7-374715711711411474
77-9-000000011122233445556666666554321
6-8-200011122233354456657967654221
6.56-9-10000000011122233445667777776542
5-8-377147777777147
66-10-000000000000111122334456778899874
5-9-200010111223536756101098863
5.55-10-100000000001111223446789101111117
4-9-38881588158158
55-11-00000000000000000011122345681012141514
4-10-2000010111344681113121814
4.54-11-1000000011122356812172021
44-12-00000000000000111234710152332
3-11-2111313499112334
3.53-12-10000000112248132544
33-13-0000000000000001135102357
2-12-2333610668
2.52-13-100000001392264
22-14-0000000000001241578
1.51-14-1111889
11-15-00012789
0.50-15-1100
00-16-00100
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333