Washington Redskins Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Philadelphia vs Washington	-6.8*-0.4+6.8		-1.1-0.4+1.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1		-0.8+0.0+0.8
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.3*+0.1+0.3
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*-0.0-0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Green Bay vs Washington	-6.3-0.7+6.3		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+1.1-0.4-1.1		-0.8-0.0+0.8
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.8*+0.1-0.8						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.7*-0.1-0.7						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.7*-0.2-0.7						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.3*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Washington finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		97.0	%	100				0												No		980
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	In		66.7		100																No		15
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.9	%	67.8		98	0			2	0	0	0									No		2,441
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	99.6		60.1		97	0			3		0										No		268
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.1		51.9		93	1			4	1	1	0	0	0	0						No		18,240	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.0		42.3		90	1			5	3	1	0	0	0		0					No		1,992
13		13	-	3	-	0	97.1		36.5		83	5	0		7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		84,253
		12	-	2	-	2	96.7		36.1		84	3			8	1	2	1	1								No		122
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	95.7		29.0		75	8	0		9	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		8,965	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	91.9		22.6		62	14	1	0	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	274,191
		11	-	3	-	2	94.7		21.1		65	12	1		12	6	2	1	1	1		0	0				No		417
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	88.4		16.7		49	19	2	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		26,598	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	82.4		12.3		33	24	6	0	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		659,282
		10	-	4	-	2	84.8		12.0		32	24	7	0	12	9	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0		No		1,179
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	76.3		8.0		20	25	9	1	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		58,883
		9	-	4	-	3	77.4		9.7		16	32	16		6	6	6	6	3			3				3	No		31
10		10	-	6	-	0	68.0		5.7		10	21	14	3	11	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.0		1,209,230
		9	-	5	-	2	70.5		4.5		11	22	13	3	12	10	8	7	4	3	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		2,308
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	60.1		3.3		4	14	16	5	11	10	9	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	0.1		96,855
		8	-	5	-	3	60.3		No		3	19	17	3	7	10	12	9	3	3	3	3	5				No		58
9		9	-	7	-	0	50.8		2.3		1	8	14	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	2	1	0.2		1,728,709
		8	-	6	-	2	51.8		2.0		1	8	15	8	10	10	10	8	7	6	6	4	3	2	1	0	0.1		3,467
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.9		1.2		0	3	11	10	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	0.3		124,693
		7	-	6	-	3	40.5		No			6	4	14	10	6	9	4	15	14	8	6		3	1		No		79
8		8	-	8	-	0	33.5		0.7		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0.7		1,940,982
		7	-	7	-	2	32.1		0.3		0	1	7	10	6	8	9	9	10	9	8	8	7	5	3	2	0.4		4,014
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	25.0		0.3		0	0	3	10	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	3	1.1		124,469
		6	-	7	-	3	17.7		No				1	4	9	4	9	8	8	9	6	15	13	5	6	4	1.3		79
7		7	-	9	-	0	19.0		0.2		0	0	2	9	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	6	2.3		1,727,388
		6	-	8	-	2	18.7		0.1			0	2	8	3	5	7	7	9	9	10	10	8	9	8	5	1.5		3,434	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	12.8		0.1			0	0	6	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	11	8	3.3		97,623
		5	-	8	-	3	7.8		No					5		3	6	5	11	6	25	13	6	8	9	3	No		64
6		6	-	10	-	0	9.1		0.0			0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	13	13	12	5.7		1,209,850
		5	-	9	-	2	7.1		No			0	0	4	1	2	3	5	7	8	9	10	12	13	14	11	5.1		2,394	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	5.3		0.0				0	3	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	17	8.0		58,502
		4	-	9	-	3	2.7		No						3		3		8	11	5	5	19	8	14	24	8.1		37
5		5	-	11	-	0	3.6		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	15	19	23	12.3		660,153
		4	-	10	-	2	3.3		No					2	1	1	1	3	3	5	8	8	11	16	19	22	11.8		1,161
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	1.7		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	15	21	29	16.3		26,508	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	1.1		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	22	36	22.5		274,691
		3	-	11	-	2	0.4		No					0		0	1	1	2	2	3	7	8	18	21	36	19.6		453
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	13	23	45	28.8		8,736	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.2		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	22	52	36.6		84,725
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No										1	2		3	5	22	18	48	28.0		93
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	0.2		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	23	59	42.7		2,036	*
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	19	68	52.5		17,991	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No									0			0	1	2	4	18	74	57.6		297
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No								0	0			0	0	1	3	13	82	68.4		2,493
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																8	92	75.0		24
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No								0							0	1	98	96.9		963

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Philadelphia vs Washington	+1.6+0.1-1.6

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Green Bay vs Washington	+1.6+0.0-1.6

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	97	2	1	0	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	67	20	13
15		15	-	1	-	0	68	17	8	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0			0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	60	21	6	6	3	1	1	1	0					0
14		14	-	2	-	0	52	20	10	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	42	20	13	8	5	4	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0						0
13		13	-	3	-	0	37	20	12	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	36	22	11	7	5	3	4	2	3	3	1	1							1
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	29	18	13	10	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0
12		12	-	4	-	0	23	16	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	21	17	10	10	8	6	7	4	3	4	3	1	2	1		0	1	0				0			0
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	17	14	11	10	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	12	10	10	8	9	8	6	7	4	4	4	3	3	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	9	8	8	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3	10	3	10	6	10	10	13	3	10	3		3			6	6					3										3
10		10	-	6	-	0	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	8	7	6	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	5	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	3	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3		3	5	10	7	7	9	10		3	5	5	2	3	3	5	3	2	3			3	2		5	2
9		9	-	7	-	0	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
		7	-	6	-	3			6	1	3	5	6	5	5	4	1	4	1	4	10	3	5	4	5	6	4	5	3	4	3	1	1			1
8		8	-	8	-	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1
		7	-	7	-	2	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	4	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	1
		6	-	7	-	3				1		1	5	5	1	3		1	5	3	3	5	5	4	1	5	3	5	6	6	9	6	3	3	5	1	4	1
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2
		6	-	8	-	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	5	5	4	5	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	3
		5	-	8	-	3									2			6	5	2	3	3	3	3	2	3	8	8	14	5	9	5	6	3	5	6
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	6
		5	-	9	-	2			0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	5
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	8	9	8
		4	-	9	-	3													3	3		3		5	5	8	3				3	8	5	14	11	5	16	8
5		5	-	11	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
		4	-	10	-	2		0	0		0			0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	7	9	10	9	11	12
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	14	16
4		4	-	12	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	16	23
		3	-	11	-	2												0		1	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	4	3	6	7	10	10	15	15	20
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1								0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	5	7	10	13	19	29
3		3	-	13	-	0			0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	9	13	20	37
		2	-	12	-	2																		1		2		1	1		2	5	3	4	10	18	24	28
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1											0				0	0		0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	6	8	11	21	43
2		2	-	14	-	0											0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	6	10	20	52
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																				0			1	1	0	0	2	2	3	13	19	58
1		1	-	15	-	0																0			0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	7	19	68
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																													4	4	17	75
0		0	-	16	-	0																0				0					0				0	0	2	97

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3