SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Tennessee Titans Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	+7.6*-0.5-7.6		+1.4*-0.4-1.4		-1.4*-0.4+1.4		+0.9-0.0-0.9
Kansas City vs Jacksonville	+0.6*+0.4-0.6
Houston vs San Diego	-0.5*+0.8+0.5						-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Indianapolis vs Oakland	-0.5*+0.0+0.5
Chicago vs Cincinnati	+0.4*-0.6-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-0.4*-0.1+0.4

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Houston vs Tennessee	-8.2*-0.6+8.2		-1.4-0.4+1.4		+1.4*-0.2-1.4		-1.0-0.0+1.0
Miami vs Indianapolis	+0.5*+0.3-0.5
Oakland vs Jacksonville	+0.5*+0.3-0.5						+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Carolina	-0.4*-0.1+0.4						-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	-0.4*+0.2+0.4						-0.1-0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-0.4*-0.2+0.4						-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	-0.3*-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tennessee finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		99.4	%	100																No		333	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		90.9		100	0			0	0											No		813	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		89.8		100																No		98
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	77.8		98	1			1	0	0		0	0							No		5,940
		13	-	1	-	2	In		42.9		100																No		7
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.7		67.3		97	2			1	0	0										No		651
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.9		91	6	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0		0				No		28,547
		12	-	2	-	2	In		66.7		100																No		27
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.6		44.1		84	11	0		4	1	0	0	0			0					No		2,909	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.6		32.2		70	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,499
		11	-	3	-	2	99.3		34.5		73	16	1		7	2	1										No		142
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.7		21.2		55	27	3	0	9	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0				No		8,856	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.6		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		219,996
		10	-	4	-	2	94.7		14.7		41	28	7	1	10	8	3	2	1		0						No		375
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.6		7.7		19	31	15	2	14	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		19,535
		9	-	4	-	3	90.9		9.1		9	45			27	9		9									No		11
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.8		4.2		8	22	20	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	402,486
		9	-	5	-	2	83.0		3.2		10	23	19	6	16	9	7	4	2	2	1	0					No		778
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	69.3		1.9		2	12	20	9	14	12	10	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		32,414
		8	-	5	-	3	66.7		No		6	11	28	11	6	6	6		6	11	6		6				No		18
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.3		0.8		1	5	14	12	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		575,792
		8	-	6	-	2	54.2		0.5		0	5	13	13	12	11	12	10	8	6	4	4	2	1	0		No		1,178	*
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	42.0		0.2		0	1	8	13	9	11	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,789
		7	-	6	-	3	50.0		4.2				8	21	8	13	8	17	8	8	4				4		No		24
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.2		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		647,273
		7	-	7	-	2	28.5		0.2		0	0	3	10	6	10	12	12	12	12	7	6	5	3	2	1	0.1		1,300	*
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.1		0.0		0	0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	12	11	10	9	7	4	1	0.3		41,814
		6	-	7	-	3	22.7		No					5	14	5	18		9	9		18		18	5		No		22
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	4	0.9		576,318
		6	-	8	-	2	10.0		No				0	4	2	3	5	8	11	13	13	12	10	8	7	3	0.6		1,165
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.4		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	13	14	14	11	7	1.6		32,464
		5	-	8	-	3	Out		No								6	13		6	19	6	31	19			No		16
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.8		0.0				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	16	12	4.2		403,034
		5	-	9	-	2	2.9		No					2	0	1	2	2	5	7	11	13	17	16	15	10	2.9		818
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.0		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	19	21	18	7.5		19,453
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No									11	33	11		11		22	11		No		9
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	12	18	25	28	13.9		219,679
		4	-	10	-	2	Out		No								0	0	0	2	5	7	15	17	30	24	12.5		423
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	9	16	28	38	21.4		8,873	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	13	26	50	32.0		91,279
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No											2		3	3	12	27	52	31.3		131
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.0		No							0	0	0	0	0	1	2	4	8	24	62	42.7		3,058	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	55.9		28,268
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No													6		3	22	69	50.0		32
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No								0						1	4	17	78	67.0		663
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No								0		0	0	0	0	0	2	10	88	77.3		5,994	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																3	97	89.6		77
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No														0	0	4	96	91.5		762	*
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	Yes		329	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	-1.9*+0.0+1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Houston vs Tennessee	+1.9+0.0-1.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	0	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	91	7	1	1	0									0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	90	7	2							1
14		14	-	2	-	0	78	15	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
		13	-	1	-	2	43	29	14	14
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	67	20	8	4	1	1		0	0							0
13		13	-	3	-	0	56	23	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	67	15	15	4
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	44	25	13	8	5	3	1	1	1	0	0	0		0	0	0		0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0			0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	35	20	13	9	11	6	2	4		1		1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	21	19	16	12	9	7	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	16	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	15	15	16	9	11	6	5	6	5	6	2	1	2	1	1	1				0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	11	9	8	6	5	5	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		9	-	4	-	3	9	18		9	18			9	27					9
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	3	4	10	11	9	10	10	7	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	7	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		8	-	5	-	3		6	6	6	6	6	17	6		6			11		6	6		6		6			6	6
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	3	4	5	5	5	6	7	6	7	6	7	5	5	5	4	4	2	3	2	2	2	2	0	1	0	0		0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3	4			4		13	4	4	4		4	8	4	13	4	4	13	8	4									4
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	4	5	5	7	7	5	6	5	6	5	6	4	4	2	2	2	1	2	1	0	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3								5	5	5			14	14		5		5	9				9	5		9	9	5			5
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2				0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	5	5	7	6	7	7	6	7	6	7	5	5	4	3	1	2	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3												6		6		6			6	6	6	6	13		6	6	13	6	6	6
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2							0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	9	6	9	11	10	7	5	3
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	10	8
		4	-	9	-	3																11			22	33								11	11	11
5		5	-	11	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2														0			0	0		1	2	4	4	2	6	9	7	10	13	14	15	13
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1								0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	5	7	9	12	16	19	21
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0			0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																			1			1	1	2	2	3	2	5	15	15	22	31
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1												0			0				0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	14	25	43
3		3	-	13	-	0													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																								3				3	3	9	31	50
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																0									0	0	1	1	4	10	17	67
2		2	-	14	-	0																0	0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	5	16	77
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																															10	90
1		1	-	15	-	0																								0					1	1	7	91
0	-0.5																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3