Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-7.3*-0.6+7.2		-1.4*-0.4+1.4		+1.4-0.6-1.4		-0.9*-0.0+0.9
Seattle vs Carolina	+0.6*-0.1-0.6
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.4*+0.7+0.3						-0.1*+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay	-8.1*-0.2+8.1		-1.4-0.5+1.4		+1.4*-0.4-1.4		-1.0*+0.0+1.0
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.9*+0.1-0.9						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs St. Louis	-0.5*+0.4+0.5
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*-0.3-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*+0.1-0.4
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.4*-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		98.5	%	100																No		331	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.9	%	89.7		100				0				0								No		824
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		87.2		99				1												No		78
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9		76.9		98	1			1	0	0	0	0	0							No		5,900	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		68.7		97	2			1												No		635	*
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.7		55.4		91	5	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				No		28,370
		12	-	2	-	2	97.3		67.6		95	3					3										No		37
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.5		43.5		85	9	0		5	1	0	0	0	0				0			No		3,015
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.0		69	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,563
		11	-	3	-	2	99.4		29.9		70	22	1		6		1										No		157
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.5		21.0		55	26	4	0	10	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0				No		8,863	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.7		14.1		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		219,042
		10	-	4	-	2	95.1		11.3		34	29	11	2	11	8	3	1	1	0		0					No		389
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.9		7.7		19	31	15	2	14	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		19,266
		9	-	4	-	3	80.0		No			40	10	10	20		20										No		10
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.5		4.2		8	22	20	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	403,192
		9	-	5	-	2	79.7		4.9		8	21	20	4	15	11	10	5	2	1	1	0	0				No		861
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	69.0		1.8		2	12	19	9	14	12	9	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,550
		8	-	5	-	3	69.6		No		4	4	30	4	13	13	13	9		4	4						No		23
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.7		0.9		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		576,563
		8	-	6	-	2	52.6		0.7		1	3	14	13	11	12	13	10	10	6	5	2	2	1	0	0	No		1,191
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.7		0.2		0	1	8	13	9	11	12	11	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,650
		7	-	6	-	3	31.6		No					16	16		26	11	5	11	5	5		5			No		19
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		646,974
		7	-	7	-	2	29.4		0.2			0	3	11	7	8	10	11	10	11	9	7	6	4	2	0	0.2		1,254
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.6		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	9	11	11	11	10	9	7	4	1	0.3		41,393
		6	-	7	-	3	9.5		No					5		5		10	19	10	14	10	10	10		10	4.8		21
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	0.8		576,302
		6	-	8	-	2	10.4		No				0	5	2	4	6	8	10	11	12	13	11	11	7	2	0.4		1,216
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.7		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	13	14	13	11	6	1.7		32,425
		5	-	8	-	3	10.0		No				5	5			5		10	15		15	15	15	5	10	No		20
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.8		0.0			0	0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	17	16	12	4.2		402,947
		5	-	9	-	2	2.6		No					1	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	13	14	17	19	11	3.6		740	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	19	21	19	7.8		19,400
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No											8			8	31	23	31	No		13
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	12	18	25	28	13.9		220,222
		4	-	10	-	2	Out		No								0		1	3	6	8	10	18	26	28	13.5		384	*
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	8	15	28	40	21.7		8,692	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	13	26	50	31.9		91,587
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No											1		3	6	14	30	47	27.8		151
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.1		No							0		0		0	0	2	3	9	24	62	42.6		2,915	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	73	56.0		28,308
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No														5	12	14	69	52.4		42
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No													1	1	4	15	78	65.0		697
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No							0	0	0			0	0	0	2	10	87	76.3		6,022	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																9	91	85.9		99
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No										0					1	4	95	91.9		795
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	Yes		6
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No															0	0	99	99.1		318

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+1.9+0.0-1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay	+1.9+0.0-1.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	98	2
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	90	8	1	0									0		0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	87	10	1	1
14		14	-	2	-	0	77	16	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	69	20	7	3	1	0
13		13	-	3	-	0	55	23	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						0
		12	-	2	-	2	68	8	14	5	3					3
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	44	26	13	7	4	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0													0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0		0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	30	28	17	6	9	3	1	3	2		1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	21	20	16	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	11	14	14	15	10	8	8	4	4	3	4	1	1	1	0	0	0	1
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3		10	50		10					10		10	10
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	5	8	9	9	9	10	7	6	5	7	4	5	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0				0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	8	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3		9		13	13	4	9		9	9	9			4	9	4					9
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	6	6	6	8	7	6	6	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3								5		5	11	21	11		16	5		5	5			5	5					5
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	4	3	4	5	4	6	6	6	6	6	6	4	5	5	4	5	3	3	3	2	2	1	0	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3								5		5				5	5		10	14		10	5		14	5	5	10		5				5
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2				0	0	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	4	5	4	4	4	5	6	6	7	6	7	8	6	6	4	4	2	1	0
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	8	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3									5				10					5		10	5			15	10	10	10	5	5		10
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2									0	0	1	0	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	4	4	5	6	7	6	6	9	10	12	8	7	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	8	9	10	11	11	11	8
		4	-	9	-	3																					8						8		38	15	31
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2											0				0			0	2	1	2	2	2	3	8	7	11	8	14	15	12	14
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	8	12	16	21	22
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0			0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																			1	1				1	1	2	3	8	15	23	19	28
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1												0					0	0	0	0		0	0	0	1	1	3	4	8	15	24	43
3		3	-	13	-	0													0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																												14	2	7	24	52
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																			0	0					0	0	1	2	4	6	21	65
2		2	-	14	-	0					0													0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	1	2	4	16	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																													1	1	12	86
1		1	-	15	-	0																				0					0			0	1	1	6	92
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																														0	1	99

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3