Tampa Bay Buccaneers Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-6.0*-0.2+6.0
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-0.7+0.0+0.7
Seattle vs Carolina+0.4*+0.0-0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.3*+0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay-6.8*-0.3+6.8
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+1.1-0.5-1.1
-0.8+0.0+0.8
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.7*+0.0-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs St. Louis-0.4*-0.5+0.4
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.3*-0.3-0.3
Denver vs NY Giants+0.3*-0.3-0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.3*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Tampa Bay finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0In96.5%1000No953
15.515-0-1In77.3100No22
1515-1-099.9%67.49702100No2,339*
14.514-1-199.765.198200No307
1414-2-099.352.193141000000No18,322*
13.513-2-198.643.4892062100000No2,052*
1313-3-097.036.1835073110000000No84,581
12-2-296.741.38741313No92
12.512-3-196.128.577808421100000No8,786*
1212-4-092.022.66214101053211000000No275,456
11-3-293.019.56213111632100No446
11.511-4-188.716.24920201174321100000No26,605*
1111-5-082.312.333246011864321110000.0%659,360
10-4-282.612.03424501276431111000No1,179
10.510-5-176.38.020269112975432110000.058,423
9-4-386.44.527271418555No22
1010-6-068.15.7102114311986543221100.01,210,558
9-5-269.14.3921133121086543211000.02,374*
9.59-6-160.13.4415165111097654321100.197,453
8-5-367.23.322321310810113522No61
99-7-050.72.3181489998766543210.21,727,775
8-6-252.11.719149911108865432110.13,569
8.58-7-141.51.10311118999887654210.3125,136
7-6-341.9No141579559155483341No74
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,941,763
7-7-233.20.7016116899998765320.64,070*
7.57-8-125.30.3003105688999887631.1124,503
6-7-320.81.41784101061113641181No72
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.31,726,652
6-8-218.00.101835689810101010751.93,505
6.56-9-112.70.100624567891011111083.497,383
5-8-315.11.4851410888104111481.473
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313125.71,208,940
5-9-27.70.004124668910121315113.82,378
5.55-10-15.40.0003122456810121416168.058,390
4-9-33.8No444881512819154No26
55-11-03.50.002112345791115192312.3659,637
4-10-22.9No20122357101314192210.21,205
4.54-11-11.7No1001234681115212916.326,295*
44-12-01.10.0100112346914223722.7273,849
3-11-20.5No1111247816223925.5400
3.53-12-10.6No000001235813234428.58,854*
33-13-00.3No000001124611225236.484,558
2-12-2OutNo11115613195334.0103
2.52-13-10.1No0000001349206144.42,062
22-14-00.0No0000001237196852.517,986*
1.51-14-1OutNo015187662.3297
11-15-0OutNo0000014138169.02,474
0.50-15-1OutNo5108676.221
00-16-0OutNo029896.6975
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+1.6-0.0-1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay+1.6-0.1-1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-09721000
15.515-0-17723
1515-1-067187421100000
14.514-1-1651885210100
1414-2-052201074221100000000000
13.513-2-1432014853211100000000
1313-3-03620129643221111100000000000000
12-2-241241077312311
12.512-3-12919131076532211110000000000
1212-4-023161210865433221111100000000000000
11-3-22016141287734322110000000
11.511-4-116141210876543322211111000000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-212101110688654333212111111000000
10.510-5-189987766554433322211111100000000
9-4-35235595914999
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111000000
9-5-247776667665544323222211110000000
9.59-6-135566666555544443332222111110000
8-5-33107710273327103852232232
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223445546555655443444232221111000
8.58-7-112233444445455444444433332221110
7-6-3314347151813455374754133141
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-211122333444554445544444333321211
7.57-8-101112222333444444455554444433321
6-7-31113336144146733673416663314
77-9-000111122223333444444555555554432
6-8-200011122223332444545556555643332
6.56-9-100001111122233334444555566666553
5-8-31111111433473185315471738741
66-10-000000011111222233344455566677776
5-9-200000101111222223344455565687774
5.55-10-100000000111111222333445566788998
4-9-3444444415441519844
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-2000000111112222344565899111210
4.54-11-10000000000011111222334567810111416
44-12-0000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-2000011111334446712131526
3.53-12-10000000000111122346710141828
33-13-0000000000000001111223569132036
2-12-23111115565162234
2.52-13-10000000001122348112144
22-14-000000000001112236102052
1.51-14-1122482162
11-15-000000012371769
0.50-15-151976
00-16-0001397
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333