SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	+8.2*-1.0-8.1		+1.3-0.5-1.3		-1.4*-0.0+1.4		+1.0-0.1-1.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.6*-0.0+0.6
Seattle vs Carolina	-0.5*-0.2+0.5
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.4*+0.2+0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.4*+0.4-0.4						+0.1*+0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis	-7.6*-0.3+7.6		-1.4-0.5+1.4		+1.4*-0.3-1.4		-0.9*+0.0+0.9
Arizona vs Detroit	-0.5*+0.2+0.5
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*+0.0-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*+0.0-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.4*-0.3-0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*-0.5-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		99.7	%	100																No		325	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.9	%	91.1		99	1			0					0							No		794	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	99.1		88.3		98				1				1								No		111
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9		77.1		98	1			1	0	0	0	0								No		6,018	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.9		66.3		96	2			1	0	0										No		673
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.8		91	6	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					No		28,190
		12	-	2	-	2	In		52.9		85	6			9												No		34
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.7		42.2		84	10	0		4	2	0	0	0	0	0						No		2,952	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.3		70	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,345
		11	-	3	-	2	99.3		37.8		82	13			4		1										No		135
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.2		21.9		56	25	3	0	10	3	1	1	0	0	0		0	0			No		9,031
		10	-	3	-	3	In		37.5		75	25															No		8
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.6		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		219,701
		10	-	4	-	2	94.3		10.4		35	29	8	1	14	7	2	1	2	0	0						No		441
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.4		7.3		19	31	15	2	14	8	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		19,435
		9	-	4	-	3	61.5		No		15	31			15		15	8		8	8						No		13
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.6		4.2		8	22	20	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	402,521
		9	-	5	-	2	82.1		3.5		7	23	21	5	15	11	7	4	3	2	1	0	0				No		825
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	69.0		1.7		2	12	20	9	14	12	10	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,138
		8	-	5	-	3	70.6		No		6		29	6		29	24		6								No		17
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.5		0.9		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		576,548
		8	-	6	-	2	56.9		0.5		0	5	14	12	12	13	12	9	8	6	4	2	1	1	0		No		1,224
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.7		0.2		0	1	8	13	9	11	11	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,640
		7	-	6	-	3	55.0		No				15	5	5	30	15	10		10		10					No		20
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.2		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		646,361
		7	-	7	-	2	28.6		0.1			0	4	11	5	9	10	11	11	11	9	7	6	4	1	1	No		1,399
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.2		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	11	11	10	9	6	4	1	0.3		41,709
		6	-	7	-	3	41.7		No				8	8	8	17	8		33		8	8					No		12
7		7	-	9	-	0	10.9		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	4	0.9		576,102
		6	-	8	-	2	13.1		No					7	2	4	6	9	11	10	12	11	10	9	7	3	0.3		1,199	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.4		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	10	11	13	14	13	11	6	1.8		32,513
		5	-	8	-	3	9.1		No					5	5				14	14	5	9	27	14	5	5	4.5		22
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.9		No				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	16	12	4.3		403,913
		5	-	9	-	2	2.3		No					2	0	0	1	3	4	6	9	12	16	17	19	10	3.0		729
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.0		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	18	21	19	7.7		19,443
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No										25				13	13	38	13	No		8
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	12	18	25	28	13.8		219,991
		4	-	10	-	2	Out		No								1	1	1	1	3	8	13	19	27	26	11.5		390
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	16	27	39	21.3		8,971	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	26	51	32.3		91,343
		3	-	11	-	2	0.7		No					1							1	1	6	14	30	47	28.7		136
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.1		No					0			0	0	0	0	0	1	3	10	22	63	42.5		2,973
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	55.9		28,106
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No													3	3	6	15	74	67.6		34
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No													0	1	4	15	80	66.8		710
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No								0		0	0	0	0	0	2	9	88	78.5		6,099
		1	-	13	-	2	Out		No																14	86	71.4		7
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No											1					9	90	82.2		90
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No													0		0	4	96	90.3		742
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	99.4		331	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	-1.9+0.2+1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+1.9-0.0-1.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	100	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	91	7	1	0										0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	88	7	2	1	1								1
14		14	-	2	-	0	77	16	5	2	1	0	0	0			0		0	0		0				0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	66	22	8	2	1	0		0	0
13		13	-	3	-	0	56	23	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	53	24	9	9	6
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	42	24	14	8	5	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	38	21	18	7	10	3	2	1	1	1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	16	12	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	10	16	14	11	13	10	7	4	3	3	2	1	1	2	1	1	0	0		0		0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	7	11	12	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
		9	-	4	-	3		15	8	15		8			8	8	15		8		8		8
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	4	7	7	9	10	8	11	7	7	5	4	5	3	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	3	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3		12		6	6		12	6	12		18		18			12
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	0	1	3	3	5	6	6	7	7	6	8	7	6	4	5	4	5	4	3	2	3	1	1	1	1	0	0	0		0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3				5				15	10	5	10		15	10	10			10		5		5
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	2	4	4	5	5	5	6	7	5	6	5	6	5	6	5	4	3	4	2	3	1	1	1	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3								8	8	25	8				8		8			17	8	8
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2				0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	4	4	3	1	0
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3														9	5				14	5	9	5	9	9	5		5	9	9		5	5
6		6	-	10	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2								0			0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	8	9	9	10	9	9	7	3
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1			0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	11	8
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	14
		4	-	10	-	2														0		0	1	0	1	1	2	1	3	2	6	7	10	11	9	15	18	12
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	6	9	11	17	20	21
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																			1		1	1			1	1	4	7	16	19	20	29
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1													0	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	14	25	42
3		3	-	13	-	0				0							0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																										3		6	3	15	6	68
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																			0						0	0	1	1	2	7	21	67
2		2	-	14	-	0																0	0		0	0	0			0	0	0	0	0	1	5	15	78
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																						1								1	16	82
1		1	-	15	-	0																				0								0	1	0	8	90
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																															1	99

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3