St. Louis Rams Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	+6.8*-0.2-6.8		+1.1-0.4-1.1		-1.1-0.4+1.1		+0.8+0.0-0.8
Seattle vs Carolina	-0.4*-0.0+0.4
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.4*-0.1+0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.3*+0.3+0.3
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*+0.1-0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis	-6.3*-0.0+6.3		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+1.1-0.4-1.1		-0.8+0.0+0.8
Arizona vs Detroit	-0.4*-0.1+0.4
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.4*-0.1-0.4
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.3*+0.4-0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.3*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the St. Louis finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		96.2	%	100																No		1,000	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.8	%	66.3		97	0			2	1	0	0		0							No		2,378	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		60.3		97	1			2	0											No		262
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.3		52.5		93	1			4	1	0	0	0	0	0		0				No		18,108	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.2		44.5		92	2			4	2	1	0	0	0							No		1,964
13		13	-	3	-	0	97.0		36.4		83	5	0		7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		84,062
		12	-	2	-	2	98.1		46.2		84	4			8	3		1	1								No		106
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	95.4		28.2		76	8	0		8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			No		8,717	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	91.9		22.6		62	14	1	0	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		274,313
		11	-	3	-	2	94.3		24.4		67	12	2		9	4	2	1	0	1	0						No		406
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	88.7		16.7		49	20	2	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		26,443	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	82.4		12.3		33	24	6	0	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	%	659,385
		10	-	4	-	2	85.6		10.8		32	28	6	0	12	8	5	3	3	1	1	1	0	0			No		1,143
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	76.4		8.0		20	25	10	1	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		58,684
		9	-	4	-	3	78.1		15.6		22	25	9		19	3	13	3		3	3						No		32
10		10	-	6	-	0	68.1		5.8		10	21	14	3	11	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.0		1,209,078
		9	-	5	-	2	68.4		4.2		10	21	14	3	12	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	0	0.0		2,309
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	60.2		3.4		4	15	16	5	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0.1		97,776
		8	-	5	-	3	66.7		No		2	11	20	4	16	13	7	9	9	2	2	2	2				No		45
9		9	-	7	-	0	50.7		2.3		1	8	14	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	0.2		1,727,356
		8	-	6	-	2	49.8		1.5		1	7	15	7	10	10	10	8	8	7	6	4	3	3	1	0	0.0		3,460	*
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.6		1.1		0	3	11	10	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	0.3		125,052
		7	-	6	-	3	42.9		2.6			4	13	10	8	8	9	9	6	3	6	10	5	5	1	1	No		77
8		8	-	8	-	0	33.4		0.7		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0.7		1,943,447
		7	-	7	-	2	34.1		0.5		0	1	7	11	7	8	9	8	10	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0.5		3,952	*
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	25.2		0.3		0	0	3	10	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	4	1.2		124,712
		6	-	7	-	3	31.3		No				7	11	7	6	8	10	6	8	5	12	6	10	2	1	1.2		83
7		7	-	9	-	0	19.0		0.2		0	0	2	9	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	6	2.3		1,727,261
		6	-	8	-	2	18.3		0.2			0	2	8	4	5	6	8	8	9	9	10	10	10	7	5	1.9		3,479	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	12.8		0.1		0	0	0	6	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	8	3.4		97,772
		5	-	8	-	3	7.8		No						6	2	4	4	4	16	14	16	6	14	12	4	No		51
6		6	-	10	-	0	9.1		0.0			0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	13	13	12	5.8		1,207,374
		5	-	9	-	2	7.7		No				0	4	2	2	3	6	7	7	9	10	12	12	14	12	4.7		2,382	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	5.4		0.0				0	3	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	16	8.0		58,603
		4	-	9	-	3	4.5		No					5				5	9	14		32	5	18	5	9	9.1		22
5		5	-	11	-	0	3.6		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	15	19	23	12.3		660,702
		4	-	10	-	2	2.8		No					1	0	1	1	1	4	6	7	10	11	17	19	21	10.3		1,161
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	1.8		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	4	5	8	11	15	21	29	16.6		26,410	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	1.1		0.0				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	22	37	22.6		275,261
		3	-	11	-	2	1.0		No					0		1	0	1	2	2	4	6	9	17	24	33	22.7		401
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.4		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	14	23	44	28.7		8,891	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	11	22	52	36.6		84,317
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No											1		3	5	8	25	57	37.9		95
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	0.0		No					0				0	0	0	1	2	4	9	22	60	44.1		2,056
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No					0			0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	19	68	52.6		18,084
		1	-	13	-	2	Out		No																14	86	78.6		14
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No								0			0		0	1	4	15	78	65.0		314
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No											0	0	0	1	4	14	81	67.8		2,425	*
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	93.8		16
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No													0		0	2	98	95.4		975

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	-1.6-0.0+1.6

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+1.6-0.0-1.6

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	97	2	1	1
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	75	17	4		4
15		15	-	1	-	0	66	17	9	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	60	21	10	4	2	1	0	1	1			0
14		14	-	2	-	0	53	20	10	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	44	21	12	8	5	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			0
13		13	-	3	-	0	36	20	12	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	46	13	11	12	5	4	2	2	2					2	1
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	28	19	13	10	7	5	5	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0
12		12	-	4	-	0	23	16	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	24	17	13	9	7	6	5	4	4	2	1	1	2	0	1		0	0	0	0	0	0
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	17	14	12	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	11	13	10	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	3	2	2	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	9	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3	16	6	9	6		9		3	19	6	3	3	3	9							3	3
10		10	-	6	-	0	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	4	6	7	7	7	7	5	6	5	5	5	3	5	4	3	3	3	2	3	2	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	1	0		0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	3	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3			4	4	9	9	4	9	2	9	2	9	7	13	2	2	2			4	2		4
9		9	-	7	-	0	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	5	4	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
		7	-	6	-	3	3		1	3	5	3	3	8	3	6	3	6	4	6	9		3	1	3	4	4	5	1	3	5	1	4	3	1
8		8	-	8	-	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1
		7	-	7	-	2	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	4	3	4	3	2	2	2	1	1
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1
		6	-	7	-	3			1	2	1	1	2	5	5	6	4		2	7	4	5	11	2	1	5	4	10	2	2		2	8	2	1		1	1
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2
		6	-	8	-	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3
		5	-	8	-	3							2	4			2	2	2		2	4			6	12	4	6	4	6	4	10		10	6	10	6
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	6
		5	-	9	-	2			0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	6	6	6	6	6	8	7	7	5
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	8	9	9	8
		4	-	9	-	3																9	14		5		9	5	5	5	14	5	5	5	5	9		9
5		5	-	11	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
		4	-	10	-	2			0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	8	9	9	9	13	10
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	12	14	17
4		4	-	12	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	16	23
		3	-	11	-	2									0			0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	4	2	4	5	5	11	11	13	13	23
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1					0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	5	7	9	13	18	29
3		3	-	13	-	0			0		0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	8	12	20	37
		2	-	12	-	2																						1		2	4	1	3	4	11	12	24	38
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1													0					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	2	5	7	12	21	44
2		2	-	14	-	0												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	10	20	53
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																			0			0		0		1	1	4	3	8	17	65
1		1	-	15	-	0																			0			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	18	68
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																															6	94
0		0	-	16	-	0																			0								0	0	0	1	3	95

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3