Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Add your own league!

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs Carolina	+7.6*-1.0-7.6		+1.4*-0.4-1.4		-1.4-0.4+1.4		+0.9-0.1-0.9
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.5*+0.4+0.5
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.4*+0.2+0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.4*+0.2-0.4

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs San Francisco	+8.2*-0.3-8.2		+1.4*-0.3-1.4		-1.4*-0.3+1.4		+1.0*+0.0-1.0
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+0.5*-0.7-0.5						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Arizona vs Detroit	-0.5*-0.2+0.5
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*+0.2-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.4*-0.5-0.4						+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*-0.8-0.4						+0.1-0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*+0.2-0.4

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		99.1	%	100	0															No		332
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		100																No		6
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		90.8		100				0												No		793	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		87.8		99				1												No		90
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	77.4		98	1			1	0	0	0	0								No		6,034	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		66.1		96	3			1												No		640
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.3		91	6	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					No		28,294
		12	-	2	-	2	In		71.0		97	3															No		31
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.5		45.0		85	9	0		4	1	0	0	0	0	0						No		2,883	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.1		70	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,723
		11	-	3	-	2	In		29.4		69	22	1		7	1											No		143
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.5		21.3		55	26	3	0	9	4	1	1	0	0	0	0					No		8,945	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.6		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		220,083
		10	-	4	-	2	96.0		11.3		39	29	7	1	13	8	2	1		1							No		373
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.6		7.4		18	31	15	2	14	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		19,578
		9	-	4	-	3	71.4		No		29	29	14						29								No		7
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.6		4.2		8	22	19	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	402,707
		9	-	5	-	2	79.9		3.2		8	22	21	5	13	11	7	5	4	2	1	0	0	0			No		802
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	69.2		1.7		2	12	19	9	14	13	10	7	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,661
		8	-	5	-	3	61.5		No			23	8	8	8	15	8	8	8	8	8						No		13
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.5		0.9		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		575,350
		8	-	6	-	2	56.3		0.8		1	5	16	11	13	11	12	8	9	5	4	2	2	1	0		No		1,166
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.8		0.3		0	1	8	13	9	11	11	11	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,778
		7	-	6	-	3	29.2		No			4		8	4	13	8	13	13	13	4	4		13	4		No		24
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		646,459
		7	-	7	-	2	29.2		No			0	4	11	6	8	9	13	11	11	9	8	5	3	2	1	0.2		1,294
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.4		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	11	11	10	9	6	4	1	0.2		41,549
		6	-	7	-	3	22.2		No				6	17			6	17	17	6	6	11	6	11			No		18
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	0.8		575,764
		6	-	8	-	2	10.8		No			0	0	5	2	3	6	7	10	12	13	12	10	11	6	2	0.8		1,196	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.5		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	11	6	1.7		32,482
		5	-	8	-	3	9.5		No							10		5		5	10	10	14	33	10	5	4.8		21
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.8		0.0			0	0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	17	16	12	4.2		403,756
		5	-	9	-	2	4.2		No					2	0	1	2	2	4	6	10	12	13	16	18	12	3.5		794	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	19	21	19	7.5		19,620
		4	-	9	-	3	6.7		No					7								40	20	13	7	13	13.3		15
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	12	18	25	28	13.8		219,663
		4	-	10	-	2	0.5		No					0		0			1	4	5	7	13	18	24	27	12.1		364
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	5	8	16	28	38	21.2		8,788	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	26	50	32.0		91,798
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No											1	1	2	7	16	23	50	30.4		148
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No								0	0	0	0	1	1	4	9	22	64	44.4		2,946	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	56.0		28,203
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																15	85	58.8		34
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No												0	0	1	3	15	81	67.1		691
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No							0	0	0			0	0	0	2	11	87	75.9		6,181	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No															1	4	95	89.8		108
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No														0	0	4	95	89.8		797
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	99.4		327	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs Carolina	-1.9+0.1+1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs San Francisco	-1.9*+0.0+1.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	1	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	91	7	1	0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	88	9	1	1	1
14		14	-	2	-	0	77	16	5	1	1	0	0	0		0		0	0	0	0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	66	23	8	2	1	0							0
13		13	-	3	-	0	55	23	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	71	23			6
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	45	24	13	8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0				0						0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0
		11	-	3	-	2	29	31	15	7	8	6	3		1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	21	20	16	12	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	11	16	16	13	8	9	7	6	5	2	3	1	1	0	1	0	1
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	7	10	12	11	10	9	8	7	5	5	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		9	-	4	-	3			14	14	29		14										14		14
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	3	6	8	10	8	10	8	8	7	5	6	4	3	4	2	3	1	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3			8		15	8	8	8	8	8	8					15				8	8
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3						4	4	4	4	4		4	13	8	8		4	8	8		4			4	4		4		4		4
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2		0	0	1	1	2	2	4	3	5	4	5	5	5	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3						6		6	6				11		6			6	17	6	6		6	17	6	6
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2				0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	6	4	7	6	6	7	6	6	7	6	6	3	4	2	1	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	8	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3											10							10	10				10	5	14		5	14	10	10		5
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2						0			0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	1	2	2	4	5	5	5	5	7	10	8	8	11	8	7	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1			0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	5	6	8	9	10	11	12	11	8
		4	-	9	-	3								7														7	7	20	7	7	20	7	7			13
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2									0						0		1	0	0	1	2	1	7	4	4	7	9	9	12	16	14	12
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1									0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	4	5	6	9	12	16	20	21
4		4	-	12	-	0			0				0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																					1		1	1	3	3	5	8	10	14	23	30
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	8	13	25	44
3		3	-	13	-	0			0										0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																													6	6	29	59
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																								0	0	0	0	1	3	6	21	67
2		2	-	14	-	0															0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	17	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																													1	1	8	90
1		1	-	15	-	0																								0				0	0	1	9	90
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																															1	99

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3