Seattle Seahawks Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Carolina+6.3*-0.3-6.3
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-1.1*-0.2+1.1
+0.8-0.0-0.8
San Francisco vs Green Bay-0.5*+0.1+0.5
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.3*-0.2+0.3
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.3*-0.0-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs San Francisco+6.8-0.7-6.8
+1.1-0.5-1.1
-1.1-0.3+1.1
+0.8-0.0-0.8
Atlanta vs St. Louis+0.5*+0.1-0.5
Arizona vs Detroit-0.5*+0.2+0.5
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.3*-0.4-0.3
Denver vs NY Giants+0.3*-0.2-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.3-0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.3*-0.4-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Seattle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0In96.7%1000No1,000
15.515-0-1In65.0100No20
1515-1-099.6%68.498010000No2,408
14.514-1-199.064.2941221No299
1414-2-099.252.893141000000No18,103*
13.513-2-199.145.39125110000No1,993*
1313-3-097.136.38350073110000000No84,084
12-2-298.034.7854452No98
12.512-3-195.929.3767084210000000No8,714*
1212-4-091.922.56214101053211000000No275,044
11-3-294.422.4631608831100No411
11.511-4-188.216.649192011743211000000.0%26,484*
1111-5-082.412.233246011864321110000.0658,960
10-4-282.010.331247012864321100No1,229*
10.510-5-176.08.320259112975432110000.058,258
9-4-388.08.03228164884No25
1010-6-068.05.7102114311986543221100.01,209,768
9-5-269.24.81020153121077632211000.02,272
9.59-6-160.03.4414165111097654322100.197,688
8-5-363.3No882221484412664No49
99-7-050.72.2181489998765543210.21,729,338
8-6-250.01.61814810998875542110.13,522*
8.58-7-141.31.10311108999887654210.3125,146
7-6-336.93.131112561211116555262No65
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,943,371
7-7-232.10.5016106989998865420.34,047*
7.57-8-125.00.3003105678999987631.1125,447
6-7-317.4No1165565141416135352No86
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.21,725,374
6-8-216.90.100174478991010109851.83,501
6.56-9-112.60.1006245678101011111083.496,706
5-8-39.4No424642111511196981.953
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313125.71,209,860
5-9-27.4No04124667910131213125.12,353
5.55-10-15.30.003123456810121416178.258,379
4-9-3OutNo33310610166132919.431
55-11-03.50.0002112345791115192312.2658,129
4-10-22.4No10113356101218182010.21,187*
4.54-11-11.8No1011234681115212916.526,487*
44-12-01.1No0100112346914223722.6274,777
3-11-21.0No000011345912273722.8417
3.53-12-10.6No000001235813234428.09,009*
33-13-00.3No000001124611225236.584,182
2-12-2OutNo1311010265032.1112
2.52-13-10.1No00000013410226044.12,068
22-14-00.0No000001237196752.418,076*
1.51-14-1OutNo00125177561.5314
11-15-0OutNo00114148067.32,492*
0.50-15-1OutNo1158473.719
00-16-0OutNo0019997.8961
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Carolina-1.6+0.0+1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs San Francisco-1.6+0.1+1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0973100
15.515-0-1652510
1515-1-0681873110000000000
14.514-1-16416754111100
1414-2-053201164221100000000000
13.513-2-1452111853211100000000
1313-3-0362012964322111100000000000000
12-2-235227810432413
12.512-3-12919139754332111100000000000
1212-4-023161210865433221111100000000000000
11-3-2221810998543322201100
11.511-4-117141210875544322211111000000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-2101210119855444333211111100000
10.510-5-189987766554433322211111100000000
9-4-38168161612444444
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111000000
9-5-25777766655444333332211111011000
9.59-6-134556666555544443332222111110000
8-5-32646124866624424682222
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223444454655545434443333222211100
8.58-7-112233444454454544444433332221110
7-6-3333238225533651193235222323222
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-211123233445444444455444433232110
7.57-8-101112223333344444445454444443221
6-7-31151112652387196975361232
77-9-000111122223333444444555555554432
6-8-200011121232333444454555565454332
6.56-9-100001111122223334444555556666553
5-8-32242264622882969669422
66-10-000000011111222233344455566677776
5-9-20000001111122233343546665787665
5.55-10-100000000011111222233445566788998
4-9-33336610331036361319
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-200000001011122323455677810101110
4.54-11-10000000000011111222344557810121417
44-12-000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-2000010101002224257910121823
3.53-12-100000000000011122234589141928
33-13-00000000000000001111223469122036
2-12-2111441912132432
2.52-13-100000010122368112144
22-14-000000000001111246102052
1.51-14-10002127111661
11-15-000000112371867
0.50-15-1551674
00-16-00010198
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333