San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+7.7*-0.3-7.7		+1.4-0.5-1.4		-1.4*-0.4+1.4		+0.9-0.0-0.9
Seattle vs Carolina	-0.5*+1.0+0.5						-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.4*+0.1+0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.4*-0.4-0.4

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs San Francisco	-8.1*-0.6+8.1		-1.3-0.6+1.4		+1.4-0.6-1.4		-1.0-0.0+1.0
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+0.5*-0.2-0.5
Arizona vs Detroit	-0.5*-0.7+0.5
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*-0.3-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.4*+0.2-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*+0.7-0.4						+0.0*+0.1-0.0
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.3*+0.2-0.3		-0.0*+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		98.8	%	100																No		337	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		90.4		99	0			0												No		799
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		88.0		100																No		92
14		14	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	76.5		98	1			1	0		0	0								No		6,041
		13	-	1	-	2	In		63.6		100																No		11
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		68.1		97	2			1	0											No		705
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		56.0		91	6	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0						No		28,178
		12	-	2	-	2	In		61.0		85	12			2												No		41
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.4		46.1		85	9	0		4	1	0	0	0	0				0			No		2,972	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.3		69	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,176
		11	-	3	-	2	98.5		30.4		70	17	1		7	2	1		1								No		135
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.3		22.0		54	25	4	0	10	4	2	1	0	0	0	0					No		8,721	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.6		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		219,524
		10	-	4	-	2	96.1		13.1		34	31	10	1	10	9	1	1	0	1	0	0					No		389
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	89.2		7.5		18	31	15	2	14	9	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		19,541
		9	-	4	-	3	93.3		13.3		27	20	13	7	20	7			7								No		15
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.6		4.2		8	22	19	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	402,429
		9	-	5	-	2	81.4		5.4		7	24	20	5	15	11	8	4	4	1	1	0					No		741
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	69.1		1.8		2	12	20	10	13	12	10	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		32,265
		8	-	5	-	3	81.0		No			14	38	5	10	14		10	5	5							No		21
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.5		0.8		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	9	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		575,920
		8	-	6	-	2	54.7		0.8		1	5	13	13	12	12	12	11	7	6	4	3	2	1	0		No		1,185
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.8		0.3		0	1	8	13	9	11	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,685
		7	-	6	-	3	30.8		No				4	12	8	8	8	12	12	15	12		4	4	4		No		26
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		647,538
		7	-	7	-	2	26.1		No			0	4	9	5	8	11	13	11	11	10	8	5	4	1	1	0.1		1,288
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.0		0.0		0	0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	12	11	10	9	6	4	2	0.3		41,568
		6	-	7	-	3	12.0		No					4	4	4	4	8	12	12	24	8	12	4	4		No		25
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	0.9		576,269
		6	-	8	-	2	11.1		No				0	5	2	4	4	6	9	11	13	13	13	9	7	3	0.6		1,204	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.1		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	13	14	14	11	6	1.8		32,678
		5	-	8	-	3	Out		No								7	7		27	13	20	7	7	13		No		15
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.8		0.0				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	17	16	12	4.2		403,665
		5	-	9	-	2	2.4		No				0	1	0	1	1	3	3	7	10	13	13	20	16	11	4.0		796	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.0		No				0	1	0	0	1	2	3	5	7	10	14	18	21	19	7.7		19,330	*
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	12	18	25	28	14.0		220,095
		4	-	10	-	2	0.3		No						0		0	1	1	2	3	6	12	18	24	33	18.1		382
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	9	15	28	39	20.7		8,849	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	13	26	51	32.4		91,671
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No										1			2	5	14	26	52	31.2		125
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.0		No							0		0	0	0	0	1	3	9	25	61	42.1		3,052
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	56.1		28,064
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No														3	6	20	71	60.0		35
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No								0			0		1	1	3	16	80	65.5		685
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No						0		0	0		0	0	0	0	2	10	87	76.2		5,869	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No															1	8	91	86.9		99
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No																5	95	91.0		877
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	83.3		6
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No																0	100	99.7		338

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-1.9+0.1+1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs San Francisco	+1.9+0.1-1.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	1
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	80	20
15		15	-	1	-	0	90	8	1	0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	88	12
14		14	-	2	-	0	76	16	5	2	1	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0					0		0
		13	-	1	-	2	64	18	9			9
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	68	19	8	3	1	0	0				0
13		13	-	3	-	0	56	23	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	61	17	12	5		5
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	46	24	13	7	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0		0	0						0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0			0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	30	23	13	9	10	5	3	1	3	1				1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	16	12	9	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	13	17	14	13	13	5	7	6	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	1	0		1			0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	12	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3	13	7	20	20	7		13	7			7							7
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	6	7	9	10	7	9	8	7	5	6	5	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	1			0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3			14	10	5	10		5	5	14		5	5		10	5		10	5
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	4	4	4	6	7	7	7	7	5	7	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	0		0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3					4			8		8	8		4	8	4		12	8	15			8	15
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2		0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	3	4	6	7	6	6	6	7	6	5	5	5	5	2	3	2	2	2	1	1	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3							4				8			4		8	8	12	4	12		12	8	4	4	4		4		4
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2				0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	2	2	3	4	5	4	5	6	6	5	6	8	7	7	6	4	3	3	2	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	6	7	7	8	8	7	6	5	3	2
		5	-	8	-	3														13				7	7	13	13	7			13	7	20
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2										0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	6	7	6	8	8	9	9	9	7	7	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1		0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	5	6	7	7	9	10	11	11	11	8
5		5	-	11	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2													0				1	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	4	7	7	13	10	12	16	18
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	5	6	9	11	16	21	21
4		4	-	12	-	0			0				0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																				1					2	4	2	7	15	13	25	31
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	14	25	42
3		3	-	13	-	0					0							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	11	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																											6			9	26	60
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																			0				0		0		1	1	3	9	20	66
2		2	-	14	-	0			0																0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	16	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																														3	10	87
1		1	-	15	-	0																													0	1	8	91
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																															17	83
0		0	-	16	-	0																															0	100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3