San Francisco 49ers Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
San Francisco vs Green Bay+6.3-0.7-6.3
+1.1-0.5-1.1
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+0.8-0.0-0.8
Seattle vs Carolina-0.4*+0.1+0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.3*-0.0+0.3
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.3*-0.3-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs San Francisco-6.8*-0.6+6.8
-1.1-0.3+1.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-0.8-0.0+0.8
Atlanta vs St. Louis+0.4*+0.1-0.4
Arizona vs Detroit-0.4*-0.0+0.4
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.4-0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.3*+0.1-0.3
Denver vs NY Giants+0.3*+0.1-0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.3*+0.4-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Francisco finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0In97.2%100No963
15.515-0-1In73.9919No23
1515-1-099.8%68.09802000No2,375
14.514-1-1In61.99541No281
1414-2-099.252.4931041000000No18,301*
13.513-2-198.845.3912421000No2,070*
1313-3-097.236.5835073110000000No84,281
12-2-296.438.285263211No110
12.512-3-195.529.075708421000000No8,924*
1212-4-092.022.66214101053211000000No276,207
11-3-294.921.467121862200No434
11.511-4-188.516.44920201174321100000No26,202*
1111-5-082.312.333246011864321110000.0%658,948
10-4-282.912.532266010964312100No1,190
10.510-5-176.68.020259112975432110000.058,017
9-4-367.76.5133233313131036No31
1010-6-068.15.7102114311986543221100.01,208,779
9-5-268.15.4102212312108764322100No2,348
9.59-6-159.83.3414165111098654322100.197,085
8-5-363.81.73191077179375922No58
99-7-050.82.3181489998766543210.21,725,158
8-6-248.42.01813899109865532100.13,462
8.58-7-141.91.20311108999887654210.3124,952
7-6-340.5No12141265861041177161.284
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,944,897
7-7-232.00.30161167810998765320.64,039*
7.57-8-125.30.3003105678999987631.1124,938
6-7-324.6No23866861212128152No65
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.31,726,872
6-8-217.50.10183567891010109752.03,487*
6.56-9-112.60.1006245678101011111083.496,838
5-8-316.9No2825525128814121071.759
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313135.81,210,081
5-9-26.7No04123568811121413125.12,428
5.55-10-15.30.003123457810121416178.258,406
4-9-32.7No3353381481619198.137
55-11-03.60.0002112345791115192312.2658,888
4-10-22.8No2012235881415202011.11,167*
4.54-11-11.7No01011234681115212916.426,748*
44-12-01.10.00100112346914223722.6274,988
3-11-20.2No0012256817253424.2446
3.53-12-10.4No000011235813234428.78,944
33-13-00.3No000001124611225236.484,835
2-12-2OutNo242313185828.0100
2.52-13-1OutNo000012510206244.02,010
22-14-00.0No0000001237196852.918,169*
1.51-14-1OutNo1113138066.9275
11-15-0OutNo00013128269.22,420
0.50-15-1OutNo488883.324
00-16-0OutNo019997.6972
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
San Francisco vs Green Bay-1.6+0.1+1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs San Francisco+1.6+0.0-1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0972100
15.515-0-174179
1515-1-0681873210000000
14.514-1-16217122411010
1414-2-0522110642211000000000000
13.513-2-145201295311110000000
1313-3-036201286432211110000000000000000
12-2-2381715764412211111
12.512-3-129181397643222111000000000000
1212-4-023161210865433221111100000000000000
11-3-2211813117756322112110
11.511-4-116141210876543322211111000000000000
1111-5-012111098765543332221111110000000000
10-4-2131199866665333132111011000000
10.510-5-189988766554433222211111100000000
9-4-36131010361033633633333
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111000000
9-5-25677676665545433323211111000000
9.59-6-135566666555544443332222111110000
8-5-327535143357310223233352222
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223344554455544554433232221211000
8.58-7-112233444454555544444333332221110
7-6-3445625174882522145255421141
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-201122333334344545555443433322211
7.57-8-101112222333444444555444444433321
6-7-322262566262639851183622
77-9-000111122223333444444555555554432
6-8-200111112223333444455555555544432
6.56-9-100001111122233334444555566666553
5-8-322225335332522312575107532
66-10-000000011111222233344455566677776
5-9-2000001112112233345455567777775
5.55-10-100000000111111222333445566778898
4-9-333335533853331152258
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-200010001111123334467689991211
4.54-11-1000000000001111122233456789111416
44-12-0000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-200001120122325799161524
3.53-12-10000000001111122234679131829
33-13-00000000000000001111223469122036
2-12-2121133379123028
2.52-13-1000000001122348122144
22-14-000000000000112246112053
1.51-14-1011111551867
11-15-000000111371869
0.50-15-141383
00-16-0001298
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333