San Diego Chargers Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Houston vs San Diego-6.3*-0.5+6.3
-1.1-0.5+1.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-0.8+0.0+0.8
Denver vs Baltimore-0.4*+0.1+0.4
Indianapolis vs Oakland+0.4*+0.1-0.4
Kansas City vs Jacksonville-0.4*+0.1+0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.3*+0.4+0.3
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.3*-0.1-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
San Diego vs Philadelphia+6.0*-0.2-6.0
+1.1-0.4-1.1
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+0.7+0.0-0.7
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.7*-0.0+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Denver vs NY Giants-0.7*-0.6+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Oakland vs Jacksonville-0.5*+0.2+0.5
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.3*+0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the San Diego finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-099.9%97.1%1000No964
15.515-0-1In72.7100No22
1515-1-099.867.798020000No2,430*
14.514-1-1In61.59604No283
1414-2-099.352.1931410000000No17,937*
13.513-2-198.744.1902521000No2,033*
1313-3-097.236.3835073110000000No84,586
12-2-296.934.48652412No128
12.512-3-195.628.976808421100000No8,902*
1212-4-092.022.662141010532110000000.0%274,740
11-3-294.021.46315110522100No416
11.511-4-188.516.34920201174321100000No26,185*
1111-5-082.312.333246011864321110000.0659,664
10-4-282.811.4342450118742211010No1,164*
10.510-5-176.58.1202510112975432110000.057,897
9-4-382.86.921283314143733No29
1010-6-068.05.7102114311986543221100.01,207,227
9-5-265.94.610191331299755321100No2,373*
9.59-6-159.73.4414165111098654321100.197,479
8-5-353.63.6413147115131494422No56
99-7-050.72.2181489998766543210.21,726,166
8-6-250.61.818148910108766542110.23,557
8.58-7-142.01.10311118999887654210.3124,588
7-6-345.81.4168177711310876441No72
88-8-033.50.7017116888888765420.71,944,595
7-7-233.50.6017116889998765410.54,097*
7.57-8-125.20.3003105678999987631.2124,377
6-7-320.5No11153561191011107651.188
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.31,728,126
6-8-216.20.1018347889911109862.03,546*
6.56-9-112.90.100624567891011111183.497,127
5-8-314.92.1492669111115114112No47
66-10-09.10.00005234567910111313125.71,210,465
5-9-27.7No041244681012131312115.12,343
5.55-10-15.5No03123456810121416178.058,202
4-9-34.3No44922179139134.323
55-11-03.60.002112345791115192312.2659,714
4-10-22.4No10113367101214192212.31,159
4.54-11-11.8No01011234581115212916.226,589*
44-12-01.1No0100112346914223622.5274,718
3-11-20.5No01112361216233521.6417
3.53-12-10.5No000001235813234428.69,017*
33-13-00.2No000001124611225236.684,676
2-12-20.9No142314235437.0108
2.52-13-10.1No000001259226143.72,066
22-14-00.1No00000001137206752.018,196*
1.51-14-1OutNo004207561.3305
11-15-00.1No00014138168.92,543*
0.50-15-1OutNo118983.318
00-16-0OutNo029897.5956
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Houston vs San Diego+1.6+0.0-1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
San Diego vs Philadelphia-1.6+0.0+1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-09721000
15.515-0-17327
1515-1-068187421100000
14.514-1-1612011340
1414-2-05220106422110000000000000
13.513-2-1442012853221110000000
1313-3-036201296432211110000000000000000
12-2-23420161023722211
12.512-3-129181310854322211110000000000
1212-4-0231612108654332211111000000000000000
11-3-221151410876334112100010
11.511-4-116141110976543322211111000000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-21112119985644433222111010001000
10.510-5-189988776554433322211111100000000
9-4-37143314107714333333
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111100000
9-5-25667875665564333323221111100000
9.59-6-134556666555544443332222111110000
8-5-345727749224475595222422
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223444455545555434443332222111100
8.58-7-112333444455555444444433332221110
7-6-313313107183336134647631141411
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-211222333445355544445554333322111
7.57-8-101112222333444444455554444433321
6-7-312112215251522775399137523221
77-9-000111122223333444444555555544432
6-8-200011111222334444445565655544432
6.56-9-100001111122223334444555566665553
5-8-329222221169269114622442
66-10-000000111111222233344455566677776
5-9-20000011111122333344455657777565
5.55-10-10000000111111222333445566788998
4-9-344944449944949134
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-200000100112223334555679991212
4.54-11-10000000000011111222334567810111416
44-12-000000000000000111112233456810121622
3-11-20000001001223569612131622
3.53-12-100000000001111123346710131829
33-13-0000000000000000001111223468122037
2-12-2112144711161737
2.52-13-1000000011122358122244
22-14-000000000000000111246112152
1.51-14-10126102061
11-15-00000000112371869
0.50-15-166683
00-16-000297
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333