Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh-6.3*-0.4+6.3
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-0.8-0.0+0.8
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.7*-0.1-0.7
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Denver vs Baltimore+0.4*-0.3-0.4
Miami vs Cleveland+0.4*-0.2-0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.3*+0.2+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh-6.8*-0.1+6.8
-1.1-0.3+1.1
+1.1-0.4-1.1
-0.8+0.1+0.8
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.3*+0.0+0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.3*-0.2+0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.3*+0.0+0.3
Denver vs NY Giants-0.3*+0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Pittsburgh finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-099.9%96.6%10000No988
15.515-0-1In94.1100No17
1515-1-099.967.89802000No2,419*
14.514-1-199.656.796310No277
1414-2-099.352.393141000000No17,957*
13.513-2-198.746.4912511000No1,988*
1313-3-097.136.58350073110000000No84,545
12-2-299.135.8875441No109
12.512-3-195.728.976808421100000No8,960*
1212-4-092.022.66214101053211000000No274,866
11-3-294.224.2621621053101000No462
11.511-4-188.316.149202011743211000000.0%26,660*
1111-5-082.412.233246011864321110000.0658,742
10-4-283.411.23324401386432110000No1,156*
10.510-5-176.48.120259112975432110000.058,205
9-4-372.712.11524181239963No33
1010-6-068.05.8102114311986543221100.01,207,946
9-5-267.74.5102013312108764321100No2,372
9.59-6-159.73.4414165111098654322100.097,329
8-5-357.61.7510208103310773372No59
99-7-050.72.3181489998765543210.21,728,847
8-6-251.61.717148101199775432100.13,466*
8.58-7-141.51.10311108999887654210.3124,949
7-6-344.3No211851810787115233No61
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,943,610
7-7-233.50.6016127799999774420.44,000*
7.57-8-124.90.3003105688999987631.2124,885
6-7-324.4No363135912155695541.378
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.21,726,634
6-8-216.80.101844671010109109851.63,446*
6.56-9-112.90.100624567891011111083.496,336
5-8-35.7No429841121513131543.853
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313125.71,209,825
5-9-27.80.003234578911121213104.62,295*
5.55-10-15.40.003123456810121416167.958,182
4-9-36.7No3331013171073171310.030
55-11-03.50.002112345791115192312.3660,655
4-10-23.3No1112334791115202211.81,179
4.54-11-11.7No1011234681115212916.626,341*
44-12-01.10.0100112346914223622.5274,452
3-11-2OutNo111348915213623.2431
3.53-12-10.4No000001235812244428.58,858*
33-13-00.3No000001124611225236.284,732
2-12-20.9No112456265537.3110
2.52-13-10.2No00000112510215943.61,951
22-14-00.0No0000001138196752.218,160*
1.51-14-1OutNo027167563.8282
11-15-0OutNo0000114148067.62,475
0.50-15-1OutNo5108565.020
00-16-0OutNo019997.4983
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+1.6+0.0-1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh+1.6-0.1-1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-097210000
15.515-0-1946
1515-1-06818742110000000
14.514-1-15720104521101
1414-2-0522011642111000000000000
13.513-2-1462011753221100000000
1313-3-03720129643221111000000000000000
12-2-23621161055121221
12.512-3-1291813975433211111000000000000
1212-4-023161210865433221111100000000000000
11-3-224151211756453220111000000
11.511-4-1161412108765433222111111000000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-211121089765554423212111100000000
10.510-5-189988766554433322211111100000000
9-4-31233912126393663336
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111000000
9-5-25577776756454443322311110100000
9.59-6-135556665555544443332222111110000
8-5-325375873255382237323522222
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-222344555555555454433322221111000
8.58-7-112333444445554444444333332221110
7-6-3253335585337533535733532
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-211122334444545454554444333322110
7.57-8-101112223333444444445544444433321
6-7-311131515433653813349143135311
77-9-000111122223333444444555555544432
6-8-200011122223333345545555555544432
6.56-9-100001111122223334444555566665553
5-8-324224284248661166134424
66-10-000000111111222233344455566677776
5-9-20000000111222333355455566677665
5.55-10-100000000111111222333445566778998
4-9-333101073773337331710
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-2000000011111122334455688991212
4.54-11-100000000000011111222334567810121417
44-12-0000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-200000112222457677131623
3.53-12-100000000001111123345710131929
33-13-000000000000000001111223469122036
2-12-2111114548152437
2.52-13-10000000001122458112144
22-14-0000000000000112246112052
1.51-14-11122471964
11-15-00000000111371868
0.50-15-1552565
00-16-0001297
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333