Oakland Raiders Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Indianapolis vs Oakland	-7.6*-0.3+7.6		-1.4-0.4+1.4		+1.4*-0.3-1.3		-0.9*+0.0+0.9
Kansas City vs Jacksonville	-0.6*-0.3+0.6
Houston vs San Diego	+0.5*-0.4-0.5
Denver vs Baltimore	-0.5*+0.6+0.5
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-0.4*+0.5+0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati	+0.4*-0.1-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Oakland vs Jacksonville	+7.6*-0.3-7.6		+1.4*-0.3-1.4		-1.3*-0.3+1.4		+0.9+0.0-0.9
Denver vs NY Giants	-0.9*+0.3+0.9						-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	-0.9*+0.5+0.9						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-0.9*+0.2+0.9						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Buffalo vs Carolina	-0.4*-0.3+0.4						-0.1*-0.0+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Oakland finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		99.7	%	100																No		329	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		91.4		99	1			0												No		830
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		88.1		100																No		84
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	76.9		98	1			1	0	0	0	0	0			0				No		6,101
		13	-	1	-	2	In		66.7		100																No		6
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.9		70.8		96	2			1						0						No		708	*
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.9		91	6	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0		0				No		28,266
		12	-	2	-	2	In		54.3		91	9															No		35
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.7		44.7		85	9	0		4	1	0	0									No		2,848	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.3		69	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,767
		11	-	3	-	2	99.3		25.2		77	14			3	5		1									No		143
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.6		22.2		55	26	3	0	9	4	1	1	0	0		0	0				No		8,851	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.6		13.8		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		220,242
		10	-	4	-	2	96.0		14.1		36	33	9	0	13	4	2	1		0		0					No		403
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.7		7.8		19	30	15	2	14	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		19,541
		9	-	4	-	3	In		No		38	38	8		8	8											No		13
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.6		4.2		8	22	19	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	403,657
		9	-	5	-	2	81.4		3.4		6	24	19	6	13	13	7	5	3	2	1	0	0	0			No		799	*
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	68.8		1.6		2	12	20	9	13	12	10	8	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,701
		8	-	5	-	3	54.2		No			8	8	8	17	13	4	21		4	8		8				No		24
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.5		0.9		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		573,794
		8	-	6	-	2	53.7		0.7		1	5	15	10	11	12	13	11	7	7	4	3	1	1			No		1,201
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.8		0.3		0	1	8	13	9	11	11	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,454
		7	-	6	-	3	45.8		No				17	17	8	4	21	8	17	4			4				No		24
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		648,147
		7	-	7	-	2	29.4		0.1			1	4	10	7	8	12	12	11	10	9	6	6	3	2	1	No		1,220
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.3		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	11	11	10	8	6	4	1	0.3		41,849
		6	-	7	-	3	13.6		No						5	9	18	5	18		18	9	14	5			No		22
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	4	0.8		576,965
		6	-	8	-	2	9.4		No				0	5	2	3	5	8	9	12	15	11	12	9	7	2	0.3		1,228
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.5		0.0				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	11	6	1.9		32,566
		5	-	8	-	3	4.5		No					5				5	9	5	14	9	14		23	18	4.5		22
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.9		0.0				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	16	12	4.2		401,517
		5	-	9	-	2	3.2		No					2	0	1	2	3	6	8	8	12	15	17	16	10	3.2		810
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	19	21	19	7.6		19,405
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No													14	14	14	43	14	14.3		7
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	12	18	25	28	13.9		220,377
		4	-	10	-	2	Out		No								0	1	1	2	6	8	11	19	24	28	12.2		376
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.2		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	9	16	27	40	22.5		8,714	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	26	51	31.9		91,207
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No											1	3	2	3	8	26	57	35.4		130
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No								0	0	0		0	1	3	9	25	61	41.6		2,903
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	55.7		28,177
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No													2	2	2	20	73	52.3		44
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No													0	1	4	15	81	66.6		698
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No								0	0			0	0	0	2	10	87	76.1		6,025	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No															1	6	93	87.5		112
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No													0	0	1	4	95	89.5		788	*
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	99.7		342	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Indianapolis vs Oakland	+1.9+0.0-1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Oakland vs Jacksonville	-1.9*-0.0+1.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	100	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	91	7	1	0	0						0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	88	12
14		14	-	2	-	0	77	15	5	2	1	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0		0												0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	71	18	6	3	2	0	0								0
13		13	-	3	-	0	56	23	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		12	-	2	-	2	54	26	9	3	3	6
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	45	24	13	7	5	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0			0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	25	27	20	9	6	4	2	3	1	1	1	1					1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	16	13	8	6	5	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	14	16	13	13	10	10	8	4	3	3	1	1	0	1	0			0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0
		9	-	4	-	3			15	8	15	15	15		8		15			8
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	3	6	7	9	10	11	9	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0			0		0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3		13			8	4	4	4	4		8	4	4	8	8	4	4	4		4	4				8
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	3	7	4	7	6	6	7	7	6	5	6	4	6	4	3	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3			4		4		4	4	8		4		21	8	8	4	8	8	4	4							4
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	0	1	2	3	2	3	4	4	4	5	6	6	7	6	5	6	5	5	5	4	3	3	3	3	2	1	1	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3								5	5			9	9		9		14	9	5		5	5	9		9	9
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2				0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	5	6	7	7	6	8	5	6	4	5	4	2	2	0
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	8	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3												5			5	5	5				14		5			9	5	18	5	18	5	5
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2				0		0		0		0	0	0	1	1	2	1	2	3	3	4	4	3	5	8	8	10	8	9	9	8	5	3
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1			0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	5	5	7	8	9	11	11	11	11	8
		4	-	9	-	3																						14				14	14	14	29			14
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	14
		4	-	10	-	2																0	1	1	1	1	2	2	4	4	4	6	11	9	11	16	15	12
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1					0							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	5	6	9	12	16	20	22
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2															1					1	1	1		2		4	3	6	10	12	25	35
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	8	14	26	42
3		3	-	13	-	0													0		0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																									2	2		2		14	27	52
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																										0	1	1	4	7	21	67
2		2	-	14	-	0																			0	0	0			0	0	0	0	1	2	5	16	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																													1	3	9	88
1		1	-	15	-	0																			0				0			0	0		0	1	9	89
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																															9	91
0		0	-	16	-	0																																100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3