New Orleans Saints Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans vs Atlanta	+6.8*+0.3-6.8		+1.1-0.3-1.1		-1.1-0.4+1.1		+0.8+0.0-0.8
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.7*+0.2-0.7						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Carolina	+0.4*-0.1-0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.3*+0.2+0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay	+6.8-0.8-6.8		+1.1-0.4-1.1		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+0.8-0.0-0.8
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.7*-0.1-0.7						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Atlanta vs St. Louis	-0.5*-0.0+0.5
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.3*+0.2-0.3
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.3*+0.4-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.3*+0.1-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the New Orleans finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		98.7	%	100				0												No		951
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	95.2	%	71.4		95									5							No		21
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.8		67.1		98	0			2	0	0			0							No		2,380	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		57.1		98				2												No		289
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.3		52.0		93	1	0		4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				No		17,895	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	98.8		42.9		91	1			5	1	1	0	0	0		0					No		2,049
13		13	-	3	-	0	97.1		36.2		83	5	0		7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		84,682
		12	-	2	-	2	98.2		34.8		93	2			3	1	2										No		112
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	95.5		28.8		76	7	0		8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			No		8,797	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	91.9		22.7		62	14	1	0	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	274,742
		11	-	3	-	2	93.3		21.7		64	13	1		10	5	2	2	1	1	1		0				No		419
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	88.6		16.5		49	20	2	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		26,554	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	82.3		12.3		33	24	6	0	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		660,562
		10	-	4	-	2	84.3		10.9		35	24	6	0	12	7	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	1	0		No		1,190	*
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	76.1		8.1		20	25	10	1	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		57,903
		9	-	4	-	3	85.7		4.8		19	19	24	5	10	10	5	5			5						No		21
10		10	-	6	-	0	68.1		5.7		10	21	14	3	11	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.0		1,209,659
		9	-	5	-	2	67.6		4.3		9	21	13	3	11	11	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		2,398
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	59.6		3.4		4	14	16	5	11	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0.1		97,142
		8	-	5	-	3	63.6		3.0		5	12	21	8	9	9	8	9	8	6	3				2	2	No		66
9		9	-	7	-	0	50.8		2.2		1	8	14	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	0.2		1,726,844
		8	-	6	-	2	50.4		1.6		1	8	15	7	9	10	9	8	8	7	5	5	3	2	1	0	0.1		3,552
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.9		1.2		0	3	11	10	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	0.3		124,642
		7	-	6	-	3	43.3		No			7	15	10	5	7	8	5	8	12	8	7	2	3	3		No		60
8		8	-	8	-	0	33.4		0.7		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0.7		1,942,451
		7	-	7	-	2	33.4		0.7		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	8	9	9	8	7	6	5	3	2	0.5		4,015	*
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	25.2		0.3		0	0	3	10	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	3	1.1		124,826
		6	-	7	-	3	26.6		No			1	7	7	4	6	11	6	13	7	5	11	5	4	7	3	1.1		94
7		7	-	9	-	0	19.0		0.2		0	0	2	9	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	6	2.3		1,726,397
		6	-	8	-	2	18.4		0.1			0	2	8	4	5	7	7	9	10	10	9	9	8	8	5	1.9		3,502	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	12.8		0.1			0	0	6	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	8	3.3		96,749
		5	-	8	-	3	11.1		No					11			7		11	11	11	9	11	13	13	2	1.9		54
6		6	-	10	-	0	9.1		0.0		0	0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	13	13	12	5.7		1,209,394
		5	-	9	-	2	8.7		No				0	4	2	3	4	6	7	8	10	10	11	12	12	12	4.8		2,272	*
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	5.3		0.0				0	3	1	2	2	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	17	8.2		58,572
		4	-	9	-	3	3.1		No							3	6	3	3	9	9	3	9	22	13	19	9.4		32
5		5	-	11	-	0	3.5		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	11	15	19	23	12.2		660,429
		4	-	10	-	2	3.2		No					2	0	1	1	2	4	6	7	10	11	15	19	22	10.6		1,216	*
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	1.9		No					1	0	1	1	2	2	4	5	8	11	15	21	29	16.3		26,551	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	1.1		0.0					1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	22	36	22.5		274,979
		3	-	11	-	2	0.2		No						0		0	0	2	2	4	8	9	13	23	39	23.2		439
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	13	23	44	28.7		8,911	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	6	11	22	52	36.3		84,605
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No											1		2	8	13	32	45	32.5		114	*
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	0.1		No							0	0	0	0	0	1	3	5	10	20	60	45.2		2,039
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	19	68	51.8		18,281	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No													1	2	6	16	76	59.7		263
1		1	-	15	-	0	0.0		No					0			0	0			0	0	1	4	15	80	67.4		2,340
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																9	91	72.7		11
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No															0	1	99	97.2		950

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Atlanta	-1.6-0.1+1.6

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Tampa Bay	-1.6+0.1+1.6

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	1	0	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	71	19	5												5
15		15	-	1	-	0	67	18	8	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	57	22	10	5	3	2	0	1
14		14	-	2	-	0	52	20	11	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	43	22	13	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13		13	-	3	-	0	36	20	13	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
		12	-	2	-	2	35	22	14	6	6	7	4	2	1	1		1			1
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	29	19	13	9	7	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						0
12		12	-	4	-	0	23	16	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		11	-	3	-	2	22	16	15	9	7	7	7	5	3	1	1	1	1	3	0	0	0	1	0	0		0
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	16	14	12	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	11	11	10	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	5	4	2	2	2	1	1	2	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3	5	14	10	10	10	19			5	5		5	10		5	5
10		10	-	6	-	0	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	4	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	6	6	5	5	4	3	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	3	4	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3	3	5	5	6	12	5	9	3	2	9	8	5	2	2	3	6	5	2	3	3	2		2						2	2
9		9	-	7	-	0	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	2	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	5	5	4	5	5	4	5	4	5	3	4	4	3	2	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
		7	-	6	-	3		3		3	3	3	3	3	3	5	2	12	3	5		8	3	5	5	3	5	3	5	2	5			5
8		8	-	8	-	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1
		7	-	7	-	2	1	1	2	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	4	5	4	4	5	5	5	4	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	2	1	2	1	1
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	4	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	1
		6	-	7	-	3			2	3		2	1	3	3	3	1	11	3	5	2	3	5	4	4	5	2	4	4	5	6		4	1	2	2	4	1
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2
		6	-	8	-	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	4	5	5	5	5	4	4	5	4	4	3	2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	5	5	5	3
		5	-	8	-	3				2	2		4			2	4	2		2		7	2	2	6	2	9	6	7	6	6	9	7		6	7		2
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	6
		5	-	9	-	2		0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	5	6	7	7	6	6	5
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	8
		4	-	9	-	3									3			3		3		3	3	6	6		3		3	6	6	6	13		3	13	9	9
5		5	-	11	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
		4	-	10	-	2			0	0	0		0	0	0	1	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	2	3	4	5	4	6	5	8	8	9	10	12	11
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	12	14	16
4		4	-	12	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	16	23
		3	-	11	-	2								0							1	0		1	2	0	2	2	2	5	5	5	5	7	12	13	17	23
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1						0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	5	8	10	13	19	29
3		3	-	13	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	9	12	20	36
		2	-	12	-	2																			1				2		2	3	5	6	8	15	26	32
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1													0				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	4	5	7	12	19	45
2		2	-	14	-	0												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	11	21	52
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																			0					0		2	1	2	5	11	19	60
1		1	-	15	-	0																			0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	2	4	6	19	67
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																															27	73
0		0	-	16	-	0																												0	0	0	2	97

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3