SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

What might
today bring

Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Detroit vs Minnesota	+8.2*-0.6-8.1		+1.4*-0.2-1.4		-1.4*-0.2+1.4		+1.0*-0.0-1.0
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.9*+0.6+0.9						-0.1*+0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay	+0.5*+0.2-0.5
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.4*+0.2-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs Detroit	-7.6*-0.7+7.7		-1.3-0.4+1.4		+1.4-0.5-1.4		-0.9-0.0+0.9
Green Bay vs Washington	-0.5*+0.4+0.5						-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*+0.4-0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*-0.7-0.3						+0.0*-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.3*+0.1-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.3*+0.4-0.3						+0.0*+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		99.1	%	100																No		333	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		90.0		100	0			0												No		854	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		81.3		99				1												No		96
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	77.6		98	1			1	0	0		0	0		0					No		5,942
		13	-	1	-	2	In		91.7		100																No		12
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		65.3		95	2			3	0											No		686
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.5		91	6	0	0	3	1	0	0	0	0							No		27,993
		12	-	2	-	2	In		45.5		91	6			3												No		33
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.6		43.8		85	9	0		5	1	0	0									No		2,924	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		31.9		69	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,444
		11	-	3	-	2	99.3		29.5		73	14	3		8	1	1										No		139
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.3		21.8		55	26	4	0	9	4	2	1	0	0	0						No		8,714	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.8		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		219,507
		10	-	4	-	2	94.8		12.6		37	30	7	1	13	6	2	2	1		0						No		421
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.7		7.7		19	30	15	2	14	9	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0			No		19,412
		9	-	4	-	3	90.0		No		30	15	30		10	5		10									No		20
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.7		4.2		8	21	20	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		404,392
		9	-	5	-	2	79.8		2.7		6	24	19	6	14	10	9	4	3	3	2	0	0	0			No		820
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	68.6		1.6		2	12	20	9	13	12	10	8	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,495
		8	-	5	-	3	77.3		4.5		9	14	23	9		23	9	5	5			5					No		22
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.4		0.8		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0	%	574,565
		8	-	6	-	2	53.7		1.1		0	6	13	13	11	10	11	12	7	6	5	3	2	1	1		No		1,171	*
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.6		0.3		0	1	8	13	9	11	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,636
		7	-	6	-	3	35.0		No			5	5	5	15	5	10	20		25		5		5			No		20
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	3	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		648,479
		7	-	7	-	2	28.6		0.1			1	3	10	5	9	12	11	10	11	9	6	5	4	2	0	No		1,302	*
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.0		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	11	11	10	8	6	4	2	0.3		41,658
		6	-	7	-	3	23.8		No					5	10	10	10	10	10	14	5	14	10	5			No		21
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	0.9		575,012
		6	-	8	-	2	11.4		No				0	6	2	4	5	8	9	10	13	13	12	10	6	3	0.6		1,190	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.3		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	13	14	14	11	6	1.9		32,190
		5	-	8	-	3	4.5		No							5	5	5	9	5		9	27	23	5	9	4.5		22
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.9		0.0				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	17	16	12	4.3		402,859
		5	-	9	-	2	2.9		No					1	0	1	1	2	5	7	12	12	16	17	15	10	2.9		762
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	5	6	10	14	18	21	19	7.7		19,481
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No									9			9	18		18	18	27	9.1		11
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	12	18	25	28	13.8		220,253
		4	-	10	-	2	0.7		No					1				1	1	2	4	7	11	18	29	25	10.8		408
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.2		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	16	26	39	21.2		8,861	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	13	26	51	32.3		92,151
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No												1	4	3	11	23	58	39.3		140
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	Out		No								0		0	0	0	1	4	9	24	62	44.0		2,930	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	55.5		28,048
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No														3	3	23	71	54.3		35
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No								0					0	1	3	16	80	65.1		659
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No					0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	2	11	87	76.2		6,133	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																4	96	85.9		99
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No									0				0		0	4	96	90.2		785	*
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	Yes		7
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No																0	100	99.4		325

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Detroit vs Minnesota	-1.9+0.0+1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs Detroit	+1.9+0.1-1.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	1	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	90	8	2	0				0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	81	13	3	2	1
14		14	-	2	-	0	78	16	4	1	1	0	0	0			0	0	0	0			0		0
		13	-	1	-	2	92	8
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	65	21	7	4	1	1	0	0		0
13		13	-	3	-	0	55	23	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	45	18	18	15					3
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	44	24	14	7	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0						0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	5	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0			0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	29	27	19	9	6	5	4	1		1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	16	12	8	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	16	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	13	11	16	14	11	8	9	5	4	3	1	1	1	1	1	0		0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	10	9	8	7	6	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3		20	15	25		5	10		5	5	10	5
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	3	8	7	9	10	8	9	9	6	6	5	4	3	2	3	2	2	2	1	1	0	0	0		0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3	5		9	5	9	9		5	5	14	9	5		5		9	9			5
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	3	4	6	5	8	7	5	7	7	8	5	5	5	4	3	4	2	3	2	1	2	1	0	0	0		0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3					5		5			5	10	10	5	5	10	5	10		5	5	10		5					5
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	0	1	2	2	3	3	5	4	6	7	6	5	6	6	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	3	4	2	1	1	1	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3									5	5	14	5		5		5	14		10	5	5	5	10	5	5	5
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2		0			0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	2	3	4	4	4	5	7	6	6	6	6	6	7	6	5	6	4	2	1	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3														5	5				9	5				18	9	23	5	9	5		5	5
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2				0		0			0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	4	4	6	4	6	7	8	7	9	12	7	9	6	3
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1			0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	5	6	8	9	10	11	11	11	8
5		5	-	11	-	0		0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	14
		4	-	10	-	2														0			1	1	1	1	2	3	2	5	5	7	8	10	13	14	16	11
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	5	6	9	12	16	20	21
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0				0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																						1	1	1	1	3	5	3	9	17	20	39
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																			0	0	0		0	0	1	2	2	5	7	13	25	44
3		3	-	13	-	0												0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																													6	11	29	54
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																	0					0			0	0	0	1	2	10	20	65
2		2	-	14	-	0														0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	16	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																														2	12	86
1		1	-	15	-	0																			0	0								0	0	1	8	90
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																									0						0	99

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3