Detroit Lions Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Detroit vs Minnesota+6.8*+0.1-6.8
+1.1-0.4-1.1
-1.1-0.3+1.1
+0.8+0.0-0.8
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.7*-0.2+0.7
-0.1*-0.0+0.1
San Francisco vs Green Bay+0.4*-0.4-0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.3*+0.2-0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Arizona vs Detroit-6.3*-0.2+6.3
-1.1*-0.2+1.1
+1.1-0.5-1.1
-0.8+0.0+0.8
Green Bay vs Washington-0.4*-0.1+0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Denver vs NY Giants+0.3*-0.0-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.3-0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.3*+0.5-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Detroit finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
15.5-16In96.6%100No977*
1515-1-099.7%66.898020000No2,437*
14.514-1-198.957.094031000No284
1414-2-099.151.5931410000000No18,144*
13.513-2-198.843.891242100No2,083
1313-3-097.136.2835073110000000No84,170
12-2-298.031.3816832No99
12.512-3-195.829.476809321100000No8,981*
1212-4-092.022.562141010532110000000.0%275,145
11-3-293.519.16115111632100No434
11.511-4-188.617.04919201174321100000No26,642*
1111-5-082.312.233246011864321110000.0659,637
10-4-283.110.533246012874221100No1,214
10.510-5-176.27.920259112975432110000.058,220
9-4-384.8No302491293633No33
1010-6-068.15.8102114311986543221100.01,208,195
9-5-269.54.2102214312108764321000No2,400*
9.59-6-159.73.3414165111098654322100.197,023
8-5-375.51.949238151789224No53
99-7-050.82.3181489998766543210.21,726,049
8-6-251.31.718138101199866442110.13,395*
8.58-7-141.81.20311108999887654210.3124,948
7-6-340.6No696912391212361041No69
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,942,268
7-7-233.50.5017126898987775420.73,956*
7.57-8-125.50.3003105678999987631.1125,066
6-7-325.0No3111103415151111664No72
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.21,728,680
6-8-216.70.1017457799119109751.83,432*
6.56-9-112.90.100624567991011111083.497,145
5-8-310.8No434498914989981.474
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313125.71,210,365
5-9-28.0No04134577911121412125.42,356
5.55-10-15.20.003123456810121416178.258,425
4-9-33.7No471111111141111193.727
55-11-03.50.0002112345791115192312.3660,208
4-10-23.1No11112357121115192111.61,128
4.54-11-11.7No01011234581115212916.626,666*
44-12-01.10.0100112346914223722.6274,774
3-11-21.5No110102445815213922.7396
3.53-12-10.5No000011235813234428.88,825*
33-13-00.3No000001124611225236.284,123
2-12-2OutNo11222513264633.091
2.52-13-10.0No000001249235943.22,043*
22-14-00.0No0000001137196852.418,012
1-13-2OutNo176285044.418
1.51-14-1OutNo123167860.7295
11-15-0OutNo000014138168.62,346*
0.50-15-1OutNo69483.318
00-16-0OutNo019996.8975
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Detroit vs Minnesota-1.6-0.1+1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona vs Detroit+1.6-0.1-1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-097200
15.515-0-174224
1515-1-0672072211000000
14.514-1-157201152111000
1414-2-05220116422110000000000000
13.513-2-144221475321111000000
1313-3-03620129643221111000000000000000
12-2-231182185343222
12.512-3-1291813976432211111000000000
1212-4-0231612108654332211111000000000000000
11-3-21915158107355322101011
11.511-4-1171412987654332221111100000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-2101110810866544322222011000000
10.510-5-189988766554433322211111100000000
9-4-391596661563123333
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111100000
9-5-247676666755443333321221110100
9.59-6-135556665555544443333222111110000
8-5-324946961189662242222222
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223444555655555444433322222111000
8.58-7-112333444455545444444433332221110
7-6-31343317719344474466141116
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-211222343344555544444443443222211
7.57-8-101112223333444444545544444433221
6-7-3114411431731386171183331111
77-9-000111122223333444444555555554432
6-8-200011112223334444454555555454432
6.56-9-100001111122233334444555566665553
5-8-31134113335853941445555751
66-10-000000111111222233344455566677776
5-9-20000011011222323344456666777665
5.55-10-100000000111111222333445566788898
4-9-3444744117774471574
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-2000000101121223344668689111012
4.54-11-100000000000011111222334567810121417
44-12-0000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-2111110112332335879121723
3.53-12-100000000000011112234579131929
33-13-00000000000000001111223469122036
2-12-221113221110112233
2.52-13-10000000011112458132143
22-14-0000000000001112246102052
1.51-14-1000114382261
11-15-0000000112361869
0.50-15-161183
00-16-001297
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333