Cleveland Browns Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Miami vs Cleveland-6.3*-0.1+6.3
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-0.8+0.0+0.8
Chicago vs Cincinnati+0.7*+0.3-0.7
+0.1+0.0-0.1
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh+0.5*+0.2-0.5
Denver vs Baltimore+0.4*-0.1-0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay-0.3*-0.4+0.3
-0.0*-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland-6.8*-0.4+6.8
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+1.1-0.4-1.1
-0.8+0.0+0.8
Kansas City vs Dallas-0.3*+0.3+0.3
Denver vs NY Giants-0.3*-0.0+0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina-0.3*-0.2+0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia-0.3*+0.1+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cleveland finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0In95.8%1000No971
15.515-0-1In77.8100No18
1515-1-0100.0%70.2980200No2,470*
14.514-1-199.659.298110No267
1414-2-099.252.29310411000000No18,108*
13.513-2-198.944.7902611000No1,958
1313-3-097.236.583507311000000No84,644
12-2-293.535.58253333No93
12.512-3-195.528.9768008421100000No8,788*
1212-4-092.022.562141010532110000000.0%274,677
11-3-291.619.76217084511100No416
11.511-4-188.616.54919201174321100000No26,691*
1111-5-082.312.233246011864321110000.0659,215
10-4-285.811.63526501095421100000No1,170
10.510-5-176.57.920259112975432110000.057,894
9-4-376.76.72710173101010733No30
1010-6-068.15.7102114311986543221100.01,211,414
9-5-269.24.9102114211118754321100No2,250
9.59-6-159.63.2414165101098654322100.197,349
8-5-359.6No21012178128688426No52
99-7-050.82.3181489998765543210.21,726,269
8-6-250.72.01815891089875442110.13,548*
8.58-7-141.91.20311108999887654210.3124,785
7-6-350.01.478814131477176711.472
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,943,185
7-7-232.30.5016106899999765320.74,010*
7.57-8-125.20.3003105678999987631.1124,590
6-7-324.4No113551067971112922No82
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.31,728,673
6-8-218.10.1019356881099109852.13,500
6.56-9-112.80.1006245678101011111083.597,246
5-8-314.1No66252869168131191.664
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313125.71,208,499
5-9-27.40.00412366889131315114.32,339*
5.55-10-15.30.003123456810121416178.058,092
4-9-3OutNo33161661032136.531
55-11-03.60.002112345791115192312.2659,327
4-10-22.6No1012345791114192311.71,201
4.54-11-11.8No1011234581115212815.926,421*
44-12-01.1No100112346914223622.5274,007
3-11-2OutNo102375914223723.0383
3.53-12-10.4No000001235813234429.18,956*
33-13-00.2No000001124611235236.184,496
2-12-2OutNo112714274928.3113
2.52-13-10.0No0000012510206145.22,106
22-14-00.0No0000001137196852.918,206*
1.51-14-1OutNo0005177757.7286
11-15-0OutNo00014148169.02,458
0.50-15-1OutNo118973.719
00-16-0OutNo119897.9977
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
Miami vs Cleveland+1.6-0.0-1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland+1.6+0.0-1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-0963100
15.515-0-178176
1515-1-0701674111000000
14.514-1-15919123312000
1414-2-0522011642211100000000000
13.513-2-1452112853211100000000
1313-3-03620138643221111000000000000000
12-2-2352061381341211111
12.512-3-129191397643321111000000000000
1212-4-0231612108654332211111000000000000000
11-3-22016141086455211121100100
11.511-4-117141210876544322211111000000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-21212119977654442222111001000000
10.510-5-189987766554433322211111100000000
9-4-37173710103107377333
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111100000
9-5-2576767665554443332322111100000
9.59-6-134566665555544443332222111110000
8-5-366134444126442644442442
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223344555654554444343332222111100
8.58-7-112333444445555444444433332221110
7-6-311336411036788371314364411
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-201122333444444555455444333332111
7.57-8-101112223333444444444554444433321
6-7-32121416215545595264610115221
77-9-000111122223333444444555555554432
6-8-200011112233333435455555555544332
6.56-9-100001111122223334444555566665553
5-8-32223232222536638696636292
66-10-000000111111222233344455566677776
5-9-20000011111122233444444666877774
5.55-10-100000000111111222333445566788898
4-9-36333103166331010166
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-20000011112223245454579991212
4.54-11-10000000000011111222344567810121416
44-12-000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-2100112344554712111723
3.53-12-1000000000000111122355710131929
33-13-000000000000000001111223469132036
2-12-21111381010142428
2.52-13-1000000001122457112045
22-14-0000000000000112236112053
1.51-14-1000025122258
11-15-000000112361869
0.50-15-152174
00-16-00001198
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333