Cincinnati Bengals Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-7.2*-0.5+7.2		-1.4-0.4+1.4		+1.4*-0.3-1.4		-0.9*-0.0+0.9
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	+0.5*-0.2-0.5
Miami vs Cleveland	+0.5*+0.2-0.5
Denver vs Baltimore	+0.5*+0.5-0.5
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-0.4*+0.5+0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh	+8.2*-0.9-8.2		+1.4*-0.3-1.4		-1.4-0.5+1.4		+1.0-0.0-1.0
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-0.4*-0.0+0.4						-0.1*+0.0+0.0
Denver vs NY Giants	-0.4*-0.2+0.4						-0.1*-0.0+0.1
Kansas City vs Dallas	-0.4*+0.2+0.4
Buffalo vs Carolina	-0.3*-0.3+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15	-16						In		92.9	%	100																No		1,133	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		83.1		99				1												No		83
14		14	-	2	-	0	100.0	%	76.4		98	1			1	0				0		0					No		5,956
		13	-	1	-	2	In		71.4		100																No		7
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	In		69.2		97	2			1	0											No		640
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.6		91	5	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				No		28,134
		12	-	2	-	2	In		66.7		93	3			3												No		30
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.6		44.1		85	10	0		4	1	0	0		0							No		2,953
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.0		70	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,285
		11	-	3	-	2	In		30.0		68	21	2		8	1											No		130
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.4		22.2		55	26	4	0	9	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0				No		8,765	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.7		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	220,081
		10	-	4	-	2	93.8		10.4		35	30	10	1	13	5	3	2	1	0							No		385
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.7		7.6		19	30	15	2	14	9	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0			No		19,521
		9	-	4	-	3	In		7.7		15	46	23		15												No		13
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.6		4.2		8	22	20	6	14	11	7	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		403,061
		9	-	5	-	2	82.1		3.6		8	24	18	5	17	10	8	5	3	1	1	0	0				No		750
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	68.9		1.9		2	12	19	9	14	12	10	7	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,310
		8	-	5	-	3	50.0		No			6	6	6	6	25	19	19	13								No		16
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.5		0.9		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		575,878
		8	-	6	-	2	55.5		0.6		1	5	12	12	12	13	12	11	7	6	5	2	2	0	0	0	No		1,118
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.6		0.3		0	1	8	13	9	11	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,819
		7	-	6	-	3	33.3		No			5	5	5	14	5	19	5	14	10		10	5		5		No		21
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		647,159
		7	-	7	-	2	29.5		0.1			0	3	11	7	9	9	12	10	12	10	7	5	4	2	0	0.1		1,348
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.3		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	10	11	11	11	10	8	6	4	1	0.2		41,640
		6	-	7	-	3	5.9		No					6				35	6		12		12	24	6		No		17
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0		0	0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	4	0.8		575,160
		6	-	8	-	2	9.1		No				0	5	1	3	6	8	10	10	12	12	12	10	8	3	0.5		1,174	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.5		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	11	6	1.8		32,402
		5	-	8	-	3	5.9		No					6				18	29	6	6	6	6	6	6	12	No		17
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.9		0.0				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	17	16	12	4.2		403,769
		5	-	9	-	2	3.0		No					2	0	0	1	3	5	8	8	12	15	17	17	11	4.4		809
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	10	14	19	21	19	8.0		19,504
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No										17	17		17		17		33	16.7		6
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	7	12	18	25	28	13.8		219,268
		4	-	10	-	2	0.7		No					0		0		0	0	2	3	7	15	17	28	26	10.6		414	*
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	1	1	2	4	9	16	27	39	21.7		8,878
		3	-	10	-	3	Out		No																33	67	33.3		6
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	26	50	32.0		92,089
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No											1	1	1	3	14	34	45	29.5		139
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.1		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	3	8	24	63	44.0		3,022	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	55.8		28,564
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No															5	14	81	69.8		43
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No												0	1	1	3	15	81	67.1		651
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No									0	0	0		0	0	2	10	87	77.2		6,022	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																2	98	84.9		93
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No												0		0	0	3	96	90.3		854
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																	100	Yes		8
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No																1	99	99.1		327

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Chicago vs Cincinnati	+1.9+0.1-1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Cincinnati vs Pittsburgh	-1.9+0.1+1.9

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	100							0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	80	20
15		15	-	1	-	0	90	8	1	0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	83	12	4		1
14		14	-	2	-	0	76	16	5	1	1	0	0	0						0			0
		13	-	1	-	2	71	29
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	69	18	8	3	1	0	1
13		13	-	3	-	0	56	23	10	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0							0
		12	-	2	-	2	67	17	13	3
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	44	25	13	8	4	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0			0
		11	-	3	-	2	30	25	16	10	7	4	5	3
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	15	12	9	7	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	16	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		10	-	4	-	2	10	14	15	15	12	5	7	7	3	4	2	1	2	1	1	0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	12	11	10	9	8	6	6	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0	0
		9	-	4	-	3	8	15	15	15	15	8	8	8					8
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	8	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	4	6	9	8	9	10	7	9	7	7	5	5	3	4	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3			6			6	13		6		13	6	6	19	13	6		6
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	4	5	6	4	6	6	7	7	7	8	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	1	0		0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3					5		10				10	14		10	10	5			5	19		5					5		5
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	1	1	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	7	5	4	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3									6				18	6	12			6		6			6		12	12	12	6
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2					0	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	4	4	4	5	3	5	6	5	6	6	7	7	6	6	5	5	5	2	2	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	8	7	7	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3													6	6		6	18	6		6		12	6		6		6		6	12	6
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2							0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	2	3	3	3	5	5	4	7	7	9	9	9	8	8	6	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	11	8
5		5	-	11	-	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2														0	0		0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	3	8	8	12	12	17	16	11
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1										0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	6	9	12	16	20	22
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0		0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																		1					1	1	1	2	6	5	9	20	24	29
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	7	13	26	44
3		3	-	13	-	0						0						0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	11	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																													7	9	14	70
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																			0				0		0		0	1	3	7	21	67
2		2	-	14	-	0																0			0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	1	1	4	16	77
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																													1	2	12	85
1		1	-	15	-	0																		0									0	0	0	1	8	90
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																															1	99

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3