Carolina Panthers Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Seattle vs Carolina	-7.6*-0.9+7.6		-1.4-0.5+1.4		+1.4-0.4-1.4		-0.9-0.0+0.9
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.9*+0.4-0.9						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.4*+0.6+0.4

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Buffalo vs Carolina	-7.2*-0.1+7.2		-1.4*-0.3+1.4		+1.4*-0.0-1.4		-0.9*+0.0+0.9
Atlanta vs St. Louis	-0.6*+0.7+0.5						-0.0*+0.1+0.0
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*-0.4-0.4						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*+0.5-0.4						+0.0+0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.3*+0.4-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carolina finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		99.1	%	100				0												No		324
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	In		Yes		100																No		7
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		89.8		99	0			0	0											No		768
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		85.4		99					1											No		96
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	76.8		98	1			1	0	0	0	0	0							No		6,048	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.9		66.6		97	1			1			0									No		698
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.8		55.4		91	6	0	0	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				No		28,476
		12	-	2	-	2	In		62.2		97				3												No		37
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.4		43.7		84	10	0		4	1	0	0	0	0							No		2,835
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.1		70	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		91,960
		11	-	3	-	2	97.7		31.6		71	17	1		8	2	2	1									No		133
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.2		22.0		54	26	3	0	10	4	2	1	0	0		0	0				No		8,892
		10	-	3	-	3	In		50.0		33	50			17												No		6
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.7		14.0		34	32	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		219,606
		10	-	4	-	2	95.5		13.5		42	28	9	1	12	4	3	1	0								No		378
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.7		7.7		18	31	14	2	14	9	5	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		No		19,649	*
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.5		4.2		8	22	19	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	402,438
		9	-	5	-	2	81.8		3.3		9	21	19	5	15	13	8	5	2	1	1	1					No		793
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	69.8		1.8		2	12	20	9	14	12	10	7	5	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,449
		8	-	5	-	3	81.0		No			10	38	5	24	5	5	5		10							No		21
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.6		0.9		1	5	14	13	11	12	11	10	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0		575,521
		8	-	6	-	2	51.7		0.8		0	4	12	12	11	12	13	11	10	7	3	2	2	1	0	0	No		1,167
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.7		0.2		0	1	8	13	9	11	11	11	10	9	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,565
		7	-	6	-	3	40.0		No				5	15	15	5	15	5	25	5	5		5				No		20
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		647,941
		7	-	7	-	2	27.4		0.1			0	3	11	6	7	10	12	11	12	9	7	5	4	2	0	0.2		1,326	*
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	18.0		0.0			0	1	8	3	6	8	9	11	11	11	10	9	6	4	1	0.2		41,769
		6	-	7	-	3	8.3		No						4	4	13	13	17	13	13	4	4	8	8		No		24
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0		0	0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	0.8		576,014
		6	-	8	-	2	10.3		No				0	4	2	4	5	7	10	11	12	13	13	10	6	2	0.8		1,109
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.5		0.0				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	11	6	1.8		32,288
		5	-	8	-	3	Out		No									11		11	6	28	22	17		6	5.6		18
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.8		0.0				0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	16	12	4.2		403,818
		5	-	9	-	2	1.7		No					1	1	0	2	3	4	8	9	10	16	17	18	10	4.1		777
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No				0	1	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	10	15	18	22	19	7.4		19,388
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No										8			8	17	25	17	25	No		12
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No				0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	12	18	25	28	13.8		219,155
		4	-	10	-	2	Out		No										1	2	5	9	12	17	25	28	11.6		379
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	5	8	16	27	40	22.1		8,888	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	12	26	50	31.9		91,456
		3	-	11	-	2	Out		No											2	1	2	5	9	34	47	29.8		131
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.0		No							0		0	0	0	0	1	4	9	23	63	43.6		2,928
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	55.7		28,234
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No																16	84	64.0		25
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No												0	0	1	3	15	81	64.2		676
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No							0	0	0	0		0	0	0	2	10	87	77.2		6,022	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No													1		1	2	96	87.9		99
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No															0	4	96	92.0		778
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	Yes		330	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Seattle vs Carolina	+1.9+0.1-1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Buffalo vs Carolina	+1.9*-0.0-1.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	1
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	90	8	1	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	85	9	2	2								1
14		14	-	2	-	0	77	17	4	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	67	20	8	3	2	0	0														0
13		13	-	3	-	0	55	23	11	5	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0
		12	-	2	-	2	62	19	8	5	5
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	44	25	14	7	4	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0					0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	32	26	13	11	6	5	4	2	1			1	1	1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	16	12	9	6	5	4	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
		10	-	3	-	3	50	17		33
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	16	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	13	18	13	11	12	7	8	5	4	2	2	2	0	1	1		0	0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	10	9	8	7	6	4	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	7	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	3	7	9	9	9	9	8	8	7	5	6	4	5	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0		0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3		10	10		5	5	5		33	5	10						14	5
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	1	2	3	5	5	4	5	7	7	6	7	6	7	5	5	5	5	2	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3				5	5	10	5	5		15		5		5		5	5	15	10		5			5
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	5	6	7	6	6	6	6	6	4	5	3	4	3	4	1	2	1	0	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3							4				4		4	4	8		8	13	4		17	4	8	8		4		4	4
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2					0	0	1	1	1	1	2	3	3	4	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	6	7	6	6	5	3	2	1	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	7	7	8	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3															6	6	6	6	6	6			11		28	6	6		11			6
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2								0		0	0	1	1	0	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	8	10	6	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1		0	0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	5	7	8	9	10	11	12	11	7
		4	-	9	-	3																			8					17	8	8		8	25	8	17
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	14
		4	-	10	-	2																	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	7	6	6	8	8	12	18	15	12
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	9	12	16	21	22
4		4	-	12	-	0		0	0				0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2																			1		1		2		2	2	2	7	13	18	24	30
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1																	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	3	4	7	15	24	44
3		3	-	13	-	0												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	11	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																														4	32	64
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																							0		0	0	0	1	5	6	23	64
2		2	-	14	-	0													0					0	0		0	0		0	0	0	0	1	2	5	15	77
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																												1	1		10	88
1		1	-	15	-	0																												0	0	1	6	92
0	-0.5																																					100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3