Baltimore Ravens Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Denver vs Baltimore	-6.3*-0.0+6.3		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1		-0.8+0.0+0.8
Chicago vs Cincinnati	+0.8*-0.1-0.8						+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Miami vs Cleveland	+0.5*+0.1-0.5
Tennessee vs Pittsburgh	+0.4*-0.0-0.4
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	-0.3*+0.1+0.3

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland	+6.8*-0.2-6.8		+1.1-0.4-1.1		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+0.8+0.0-0.8
Denver vs NY Giants	-0.4*+0.5+0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia	-0.3*+0.1+0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina	-0.3*+0.0+0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas	-0.3*+0.0+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Baltimore finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		96.2	%	100				0												No		952
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	In		81.5		100																No		27
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.9	%	68.1		98	0			2	0	0	0									No		2,415
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	99.7		58.5		94	1			4		0										No		294
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.3		52.8		93	1	0		4	1	0	0	0	0	0		0	0			No		18,075	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	98.6		46.9		91	2			5	2	1	0	0	0							No		2,058	*
13		13	-	3	-	0	97.1		36.4		83	5	0		7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		84,613
		12	-	2	-	2	98.0		37.0		85	3			7	3		2									No		100
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	95.6		28.7		75	8	0		8	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			No		8,796	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	91.9		22.6		62	14	1	0	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0.0	%	275,454
		11	-	3	-	2	92.4		19.0		63	13	0		11	6	3	3	1	0	0		0				No		436
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	88.3		16.6		49	20	2	0	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	No		26,526	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	82.3		12.3		33	24	6	0	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		661,094
		10	-	4	-	2	85.1		10.2		34	23	5	0	13	8	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0		No		1,164
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	76.4		8.1		20	25	9	1	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		58,449
		9	-	4	-	3	68.6		No		14	26	6	3	9	11	9	11	3		9						No		35
10		10	-	6	-	0	68.0		5.7		10	21	14	3	11	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.0		1,209,091
		9	-	5	-	2	70.2		5.3		11	20	14	3	12	10	8	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		2,366	*
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	60.0		3.4		4	14	16	5	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	0.1		97,231
		8	-	5	-	3	59.3		1.9		2	9	13	7	15	13	11	6	9		4	6	6				No		54
9		9	-	7	-	0	50.8		2.3		1	8	14	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	3	2	1	0.2		1,729,241
		8	-	6	-	2	52.7		1.9		2	8	15	7	9	10	9	8	7	6	5	4	3	2	1	0	No		3,401	*
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.3		1.1		0	3	11	10	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	0.3		125,200
		7	-	6	-	3	33.8		No			3	8	12	5	5	22	8	12	8	4	4	1	4	1	1	No		74
8		8	-	8	-	0	33.4		0.7		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0.7		1,940,477
		7	-	7	-	2	31.7		0.4		0	1	7	10	7	7	8	10	9	8	9	8	6	5	3	2	0.4		3,815	*
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	25.2		0.3		0	0	3	10	5	6	8	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	3	1.2		124,354
		6	-	7	-	3	22.4		No				1	9	4	8	9	8	9	11	5	5	9	11	9	1	No		76
7		7	-	9	-	0	19.0		0.2		0	0	2	9	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	6	2.3		1,726,762
		6	-	8	-	2	17.9		0.0			0	1	8	4	5	6	7	9	9	10	10	10	8	8	5	1.5		3,455	*
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	12.7		0.1			0	0	6	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	11	8	3.4		97,217
		5	-	8	-	3	13.3		No				2	7		4	4	13		9	13	9	18	7	4	9	No		45
6		6	-	10	-	0	9.1		0.0			0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	13	13	12	5.8		1,206,925
		5	-	9	-	2	7.3		No				0	4	2	2	4	5	6	8	9	10	12	13	13	13	5.3		2,393
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	5.3		0.0				0	3	1	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	17	8.0		58,431
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No									4		19	12	4	8	12	23	19	3.8		26
5		5	-	11	-	0	3.5		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	12	15	19	23	12.2		661,571
		4	-	10	-	2	2.6		No					1	1	1	1	3	5	5	8	10	14	14	18	21	10.7		1,243	*
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	1.8		No					1	0	1	1	2	2	4	5	8	11	15	22	29	16.4		26,347	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	1.1		0.0				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	22	37	22.8		275,055
		3	-	11	-	2	0.7		No					0		0	1	1	1	2	5	7	11	18	23	32	20.3		408	*
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	2	3	5	8	13	23	44	28.2		8,752	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	11	22	52	36.5		83,971
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No											1		4	3	8	26	58	35.5		110
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	0.1		No					0			0	0	0	0	1	2	4	10	23	59	43.5		1,998	*
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	7	19	68	51.7		18,210	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No													1	2	5	16	76	58.5		294
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No								0		0		0	1	1	3	13	82	67.7		2,351	*
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No														7		14	79	71.4		14
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No															0	2	98	97.4		970

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
Denver vs Baltimore	+1.6-0.1-1.6

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Baltimore vs Cleveland	-1.6-0.0+1.6

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	96	2	1	0	0									0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	81	19
15		15	-	1	-	0	68	18	6	4	2	1	0	0	0		0		0	0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	59	26	6	4	2	2	1							0	0
14		14	-	2	-	0	53	20	10	6	4	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0									0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	47	19	12	7	5	3	3	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0
13		13	-	3	-	0	36	20	13	8	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	37	31	7	9	1	5	5		2	2							1
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	29	18	13	10	8	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0					0
12		12	-	4	-	0	23	16	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	19	16	14	10	7	7	5	4	4	4	2	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0		0					0
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	17	14	12	10	8	7	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11		11	-	5	-	0	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	10	11	11	9	8	8	6	6	6	4	3	3	2	3	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0		0			0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	9	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3		6	11	6	9	9	9	6	3	3	3	3	11	9	3	3	3		3		3
10		10	-	6	-	0	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	6	6	7	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	3	4	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3	2	4	4	2	7	9	4	6	2	7	9	4	2	4	6	7		4	2	4	4	2	2	2		4
9		9	-	7	-	0	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	2	3	4	4	5	4	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	5	4	3	4	4	4	2	3	2	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
		7	-	6	-	3		3	4	3	5	3	7	4		1	4	4	9	5	7	5	5	3	3	5	4	1	1	4	1	1	3		1		1
8		8	-	8	-	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1
		7	-	7	-	2	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	5	4	4	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	4	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	1
		6	-	7	-	3				3		1	3	4	3	4	1	5	3	9	4	3	1	3	4	3	7	5	4	3	4	8	4	3	7	4
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2
		6	-	8	-	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	3	3	2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	3
		5	-	8	-	3			2		2		2		2		2	4		2	4		7	4	4	4	4	2	11	7	2	9	2	9	2	2	7
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	6
		5	-	9	-	2		0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	4	5	5	6	7	6	7	7	8	7	5
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	8	8	9	9	8
		4	-	9	-	3															4			8	4	12		4	8	12	4		4	4	4	8	23	4
5		5	-	11	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
		4	-	10	-	2						0		0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	3	5	5	6	7	8	8	8	9	10	11
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1		0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	12	14	16
4		4	-	12	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	16	23
		3	-	11	-	2														1			0	1	1	2	1	1	3	3	5	6	7	10	11	13	14	20
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1									0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	7	9	13	19	28
3		3	-	13	-	0			0		0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	6	9	12	20	36
		2	-	12	-	2																						2	1		2	1	4	6	8	18	23	35
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1															0	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	5	8	12	21	44
2		2	-	14	-	0							0					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	4	6	11	20	52
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																						0		1	0	1	2	4	4	8	21	59
1		1	-	15	-	0																			0	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	18	68
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																								7							21	71
0		0	-	16	-	0																												0	0	0	2	97

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3