Atlanta Falcons Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%
0-0-0

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
New Orleans vs Atlanta-6.8*-0.2+6.8
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-0.8+0.0+0.8
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay+0.7*-0.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Seattle vs Carolina+0.4*+0.5-0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati-0.3*-0.1+0.3
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Reg Season Champ100.0*College Level100.0*Average seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis+6.3*-0.5-6.3
+1.1-0.3-1.1
-1.1-0.4+1.1
+0.8+0.0-0.8
Buffalo vs Carolina+0.7*+0.0-0.7
+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants+0.3*-0.0-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia+0.3*+0.0-0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas+0.3*-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Atlanta finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inReg SeasonChance will finish regular season at seedCollege
TWW-L-TplayoffsChamp12345678910111213141516LevelCount
1616-0-0In97.0%1000No967
15.515-0-1In70.8100No24
1515-1-099.9%68.99802000No2,423*
14.514-1-199.761.796300No295
1414-2-099.151.59310411000000No18,319*
13.513-2-198.443.590252110000No1,975*
1313-3-097.136.48350073110000000No84,117
12-2-2In40.488354No104
12.512-3-195.328.775709421100000No8,620*
1212-4-091.922.56214101053211000000No274,815
11-3-294.423.76611111522010No426
11.511-4-188.315.94920201174321100000No26,466*
1111-5-082.312.233246011864321110000.0%657,703
10-4-283.310.6342460127743211000No1,188
10.510-5-176.48.120259112975432110000.058,437
9-4-380.63.21923316196103No31
1010-6-068.15.7102114311986543221100.01,211,480
9-5-267.05.0921133111097643211000.02,341
9.59-6-160.23.4415165111097654321100.198,152
8-5-366.71.851616571855277422No57
99-7-050.72.3181489998766543210.21,727,159
8-6-251.01.618149911108775432110.23,480*
8.58-7-141.91.10311118999887654210.3124,517
7-6-340.5No458815129897451111.474
88-8-033.40.7017116888888765420.71,945,811
7-7-231.40.40171067991089765420.54,074*
7.57-8-125.30.3003105678999987631.1124,711
6-7-320.3No41231129715771454No74
77-9-019.00.200294567899999862.31,725,732
6-8-216.70.10173578891010109762.23,489
6.56-9-112.80.000624567891011111083.396,891
5-8-310.0No55555781381510136.760
66-10-09.10.0005234567910111313125.71,206,569
5-9-28.0No04133568811111513125.62,386*
5.55-10-15.50.003123456810121416178.157,999
4-9-3OutNo3336324213624.233
55-11-03.60.0002112345791115192312.2660,067
4-10-23.8No2112246891315191910.01,220
4.54-11-11.8No1011234681115212916.426,548*
44-12-01.10.00100112346914223622.5275,347
3-11-20.5No001022351314233725.4366
3.53-12-10.3No000011235813234428.88,736*
33-13-00.3No000001124611225236.384,948
2-12-2OutNo13225512294225.7105
2.52-13-10.1No00011249226145.42,029*
22-14-00.0No00000001237196852.818,315*
1.51-14-1OutNo01146216855.8285
11-15-0OutNo000123138169.02,456
0.50-15-1OutNo888366.712
00-16-0OutNo0019996.9983
Total:37.5%3.1%66666666666666663.1%10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5100.0*Lottery seed
New Orleans vs Atlanta+1.6-0.0-1.6
If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12100.0*Lottery seed
Atlanta vs St. Louis-1.6+0.0+1.6

What If

None

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1616-0-097210000
15.515-0-171254
1515-1-069177311000000
14.514-1-1621975421
1414-2-0512011642111000000000000
13.513-2-14422138432211010000000
1313-3-036201296432211110000000000000000
12-2-24021813843111
12.512-3-12918139764332211100000000000
1212-4-023161210865433221111100000000000000
11-3-2241811108753531110101000
11.511-4-11614121087654332221111100000000000
1111-5-012111098765544332221111110000000000
10-4-21111101097655433322211111000000
10.510-5-189987766554433322211111100000000
9-4-3366666136613333636
1010-6-067777666555444333222211111100000
9-5-256677666665444433222111111000000
9.59-6-134556656555544443332222111110000
8-5-327757424775455522924224
99-7-023445555555544444433332222111100
8-6-223344556565545553433332211111000
8.58-7-112233444444555444444433332221110
7-6-3113443553971774451731531111
88-8-011223333444444444444444433332211
7-7-201122233344445445545444433322211
7.57-8-101112222333444444455554444433321
6-7-31133113154873418411733441333
77-9-000111122223333444444555555554432
6-8-200001112223334445445555654454332
6.56-9-100001111122223334444555556666553
5-8-33235532727812257271037
66-10-000000011111222233344455566677776
5-9-20000001111212323443545566777676
5.55-10-100000000011111222333445566778998
4-9-33333331269691524
55-11-000000000001111112223344556789101112
4-10-200000101112122434445789911810
4.54-11-10000000000011111222334567810121416
44-12-0000000000000000111112233456810121623
3-11-20120111224447811111525
3.53-12-100000000000111112334579131929
33-13-0000000000000000001111223469131936
2-12-211112311142612162326
2.52-13-100000011112358122045
22-14-0000000000001112246112053
1.51-14-1011024592256
11-15-0000000012371769
0.50-15-182567
00-16-0001297
Total:33333333333333333333333333333333