Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 1 50/50

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	-8.2*-0.3+8.2		-1.4*-0.3+1.4		+1.4*-0.4-1.4		-1.0+0.0+1.0
Seattle vs Carolina	-0.6*-0.5+0.6						-0.0*-0.1+0.0
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.5*-0.5+0.5						-0.0*-0.1+0.0
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.4*-0.7-0.4						+0.1*-0.1-0.1
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.4*-0.6+0.4

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs Detroit	+7.6*-0.5-7.6		+1.4*-0.3-1.4		-1.4*-0.4+1.4		+0.9-0.0-0.9
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+0.5*-0.2-0.5
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.4*+0.1-0.4						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.4*-0.6-0.4						+0.1*-0.1-0.0
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.4*+0.3-0.4						+0.1*+0.0-0.1
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.4*+0.7-0.4						+0.1*+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

15.5	-16						In		99.1	%	100																No		342	*
15		15	-	1	-	0	In		91.6		100	0															No		805	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		86.5		99	1															No		104
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.9	%	76.5		98	1			1	0	0			0							No		5,960
		13	-	1	-	2	In		42.9		100																No		7
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	99.9		68.7		96	2			1	0				0							No		671
13		13	-	3	-	0	99.7		56.0		91	6	0		3	0	0	0	0	0	0			0			No		28,028
		12	-	2	-	2	In		78.1		97				3												No		32
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	99.6		44.6		85	9	0		4	1	0	0		0							No		3,022	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	98.7		32.2		69	19	2	0	7	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		91,352
		11	-	3	-	2	99.3		35.9		79	14	1		6		1										No		145
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	97.2		21.9		55	26	3	0	9	4	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		8,827	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	93.7		13.9		34	31	9	1	12	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		219,885
		10	-	4	-	2	93.6		13.6		40	31	8	0	8	6	4	1	1		0						No		404
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	88.2		7.7		19	31	15	2	14	9	6	3	2	1	0	0	0	0			No		19,538
		9	-	4	-	3	In		20.0		20	40	20			20											No		5
10		10	-	6	-	0	79.5		4.2		8	22	20	6	14	11	8	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	No		404,540
		9	-	5	-	2	81.1		4.7		8	20	21	5	15	12	7	4	4	3	1	1					No		789
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	68.4		1.9		2	12	19	9	14	12	10	7	6	4	2	1	1	0	0	0	No		32,216
		8	-	5	-	3	73.9		4.3			4	26	9	13	22	13		9	4							No		23
9		9	-	7	-	0	55.5		0.9		1	5	14	12	11	12	11	9	8	6	4	3	2	1	0	0	0.0	%	576,303
		8	-	6	-	2	54.5		0.5		1	5	14	12	12	12	12	10	9	6	4	2	2	1	0		No		1,098	*
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.7		0.3		0	1	8	13	9	11	12	11	10	8	7	5	3	2	1	0	0.0		41,465
		7	-	6	-	3	34.5		No			3	3	7	3	17	7	14	10	7	7	7	10	3			No		29
8		8	-	8	-	0	29.3		0.1		0	0	4	11	6	8	10	11	11	10	9	8	6	4	2	1	0.1		647,225
		7	-	7	-	2	29.6		0.1			0	4	10	6	9	10	11	10	10	9	9	5	3	2	0	No		1,451
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	17.9		0.0			0	1	8	3	5	8	10	11	12	11	10	9	6	4	1	0.2		41,507
		6	-	7	-	3	17.2		No					7	3	7	10	14	14	7	10	10	10		7		No		29
7		7	-	9	-	0	11.0		0.0			0	0	5	2	4	5	7	9	11	12	12	12	10	7	3	0.8		574,242
		6	-	8	-	2	9.6		No				0	5	2	3	5	7	9	10	12	13	13	11	7	2	0.7		1,230
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	5.5		No				0	3	1	2	3	5	7	9	11	13	14	14	11	6	1.8		32,083
		5	-	8	-	3	14.3		No					7	7		7				21	7	14	14	21		No		14
6		6	-	10	-	0	2.9		0.0			0	0	2	0	1	2	3	5	7	9	12	15	16	16	12	4.2		403,593
		5	-	9	-	2	1.7		No					1	0	1	1	3	5	6	8	11	14	18	19	12	3.9		769
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	1.1		No					1	0	0	1	2	3	4	7	10	14	18	21	19	7.7		19,478
		4	-	9	-	3	Out		No												10			20	40	30	No		10
5		5	-	11	-	0	0.5		No					0	0	0	0	1	1	3	4	7	12	18	25	28	14.0		220,094
		4	-	10	-	2	0.3		No					0			0	1		1	5	9	12	18	26	27	10.7		394
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	0.2		No					0		0	0	0	0	1	2	5	9	16	26	40	21.9		9,029	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	0.1		No					0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	6	13	26	51	32.1		91,550
		3	-	11	-	2	0.6		No							1		1			1		2	11	31	55	31.2		154
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.0		No					0					0	0	0	1	3	8	23	63	44.6		2,929
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.0		No					0			0	0	0	0	0	1	2	6	19	72	56.1		28,121
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No													2	2	7	16	73	57.8		45
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No														1	2	14	83	67.5		664
2		2	-	14	-	0	Out		No								0		0		0	0	0	2	11	87	76.2		5,995	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No																10	90	85.6		104
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No														0	0	5	95	91.3		825
0	-0.5						Out		No																	100	99.7		347	*

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	3,517,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	+1.9*-0.1-1.9

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs Detroit	-1.9*+0.1+1.9

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	99	1
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	100
15		15	-	1	-	0	92	7	1	0		0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	87	12	1	1
14		14	-	2	-	0	76	16	4	2	1	0	0	0	0		0	0	0	0	0		0
		13	-	1	-	2	43	57
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	69	19	7	3	1	0	0							0
13		13	-	3	-	0	56	23	11	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0							0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	78	16	6
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	45	24	14	7	5	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
12		12	-	4	-	0	32	23	15	10	7	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	36	21	20	7	7	2	2	3	2		1
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	22	20	16	12	9	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0				0				0		0
11		11	-	5	-	0	14	15	14	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	14	18	15	9	8	10	8	4	3	4	2	2	0	1	0	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	11	11	11	10	9	8	6	5	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0
10		10	-	6	-	0	4	7	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	6	10	9	9	8	8	8	7	6	4	3	4	3	2	1	2	2	1	1	1	0	0		0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	2	4	5	6	7	7	8	7	7	7	6	6	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3	4		9	4	4	9	4	4	9	4	22	9	4				4	4		4
9		9	-	7	-	0	1	2	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	0	2	4	3	4	6	6	6	6	5	9	6	7	6	5	5	4	4	2	3	2	2	1	1	0	1	0				0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	0	1	1	2	3	3	4	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		7	-	6	-	3				3		3	3	3	3	7	7	7	3	3	7		14	3			3		7	3	14	3
8		8	-	8	-	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
		7	-	7	-	2	0	0	1	1	1	1	3	3	4	5	4	5	5	6	6	6	5	5	5	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	0	0
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	0
		6	-	7	-	3										7	7	3		3	3	17	3	10	3	10	3	3		3	7	10			3
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	4	3	2	1
		6	-	8	-	2			0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	3	5	5	6	8	6	8	7	7	6	5	5	3	3	2	1
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	6	7	7	7	7	7	7	6	5	4	2
		5	-	8	-	3										7		14									7		14		7	7	14	14	14
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	6	7	7	8	8	9	9	8	7	4
		5	-	9	-	2										0	0	1	1	0	1	1	1	3	3	3	4	4	5	6	9	9	9	9	9	12	5	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1					0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	5	7	7	9	11	11	11	11	8
		4	-	9	-	3																						10		10	10			10	30		30
5		5	-	11	-	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	15	14
		4	-	10	-	2																1	0	0	1	0	1	3	4	3	5	6	8	11	15	15	15	11
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1									0	0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	5	7	9	11	16	20	22
4		4	-	12	-	0			0	0	0			0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	3	4	7	10	15	23	32
		3	-	11	-	2														1						1						3	5	7	10	14	29	31
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1															0	0			0		0	0	0	1	1	1	3	5	6	14	24	45
3		3	-	13	-	0									0				0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	3	5	10	23	56
		2	-	12	-	2																											2	4	11	4	20	58
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1																										0	0	2	2	7	22	67
2		2	-	14	-	0																0			0		0		0	0	0	0	0	1	2	5	16	76
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																													1	2	12	86
1		1	-	15	-	0																											0		0	1	7	91
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																																100
0		0	-	16	-	0																															0	100

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3