SPORTS CLUB STATS

Your team’s chances of making the playoffs

Arizona Cardinals Playoff Chances 1

Season start, playoff odds unchanged at 37.5%

0-0-0

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How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	-6.8*-0.4+6.8		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+1.1-0.3-1.1		-0.8+0.0+0.8
Seattle vs Carolina	-0.5*+0.3+0.5
San Francisco vs Green Bay	-0.4*-0.0+0.4
Chicago vs Cincinnati	-0.3*-0.1+0.3
NY Jets vs Tampa Bay	+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Houston vs San Diego	-0.1*+0.1+0.1

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Reg Season Champ	100.0*	College Level	100.0*	Average seed
Arizona vs Detroit	+6.3*-0.6-6.3		+1.1-0.4-1.1		-1.1-0.3+1.1		+0.8+0.0-0.8
Atlanta vs St. Louis	+0.5*-0.1-0.5
Denver vs NY Giants	+0.3*-0.1-0.3
Kansas City vs Dallas	+0.3*-0.0-0.3
Buffalo vs Carolina	+0.3*+0.0-0.3
San Diego vs Philadelphia	+0.3*-0.3-0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Arizona finish out the regular season. Explain

											100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Reg Season		Chance will finish regular season at seed																College
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		Champ		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Level		Count

16		16	-	0	-	0	In		96.6	%	100				0												No		987
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	In		73.7		100																No		19
15		15	-	1	-	0	99.8	%	68.3		98	0			1	0	0	0		0							No		2,296	*
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	In		60.4		95	1			4	0											No		273
14		14	-	2	-	0	99.4		52.4		93	1			4	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0			No		18,167	*
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	98.6		44.1		90	2			5	3	1	0	0	0							No		2,131
13		13	-	3	-	0	97.2		36.6		83	5	0		7	3	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		No		83,971
		12	-	2	-	2	97.0		34.7		90	4			2	1	1	1		1							No		101
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	95.4		29.4		76	7	0		8	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0			No		8,783	*
12		12	-	4	-	0	92.0		22.6		62	14	1	0	10	5	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	No		273,887
		11	-	3	-	2	93.4		21.8		66	15	1		9	3	4	2			0						No		422
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	88.6		16.4		49	20	2	0	11	7	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0		No		26,606	*
11		11	-	5	-	0	82.3		12.3		33	24	6	0	11	8	6	4	3	2	1	1	1	0	0	0	0.0	%	659,357
		10	-	4	-	2	84.0		10.3		32	26	5	0	13	7	6	3	3	2	1	1	0				No		1,153
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	76.3		8.3		20	25	10	1	12	9	7	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	0	0.0		58,550
		9	-	4	-	3	76.5		8.8		26	21	6		12	12	12	6	3				3				No		34
10		10	-	6	-	0	68.1		5.7		10	21	14	3	11	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	1	0	0.0		1,209,151
		9	-	5	-	2	70.5		5.0		10	22	14	3	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	2	1	1	0	0	No		2,275	*
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	60.0		3.4		4	15	16	5	11	10	9	8	6	5	4	3	2	2	1	0	0.1		96,717
		8	-	5	-	3	67.3		6.1		2	24	22	6	6	6	6	8	8	4	6						No		49
9		9	-	7	-	0	50.8		2.2		1	8	14	8	9	9	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	3	2	1	0.2		1,728,252
		8	-	6	-	2	50.3		1.5		1	7	15	8	10	10	10	9	8	7	5	4	3	2	2	0	0.1		3,513
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	41.7		1.1		0	3	11	11	8	9	9	9	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	1	0.3		125,309
		7	-	6	-	3	46.6		No			3	15	11	7	11	4	12	12	7	4	4	7	3			No		73
8		8	-	8	-	0	33.4		0.7		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	8	8	8	8	7	6	5	4	2	0.7		1,941,869
		7	-	7	-	2	33.1		0.5		0	1	7	11	6	8	8	9	9	9	8	7	7	5	3	2	0.7		4,035
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	25.0		0.3		0	0	3	10	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	8	7	6	3	1.2		125,118
		6	-	7	-	3	30.8		No				3	9	9	10	10	10	10	5	8	4	8	6	5	3	No		78
7		7	-	9	-	0	19.0		0.2		0	0	2	9	4	5	6	7	8	9	9	9	9	9	8	6	2.2		1,728,996
		6	-	8	-	2	17.8		0.2			0	2	8	3	5	6	8	8	9	10	10	9	9	8	5	1.8		3,477
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	12.7		0.1			0	0	6	2	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	11	10	8	3.3		96,856
		5	-	8	-	3	20.0		1.7				2	10	3	5	5	5	13	7	5	7	7	12	13	7	1.7		60
6		6	-	10	-	0	9.2		0.0			0	0	5	2	3	4	5	6	7	9	10	11	13	13	12	5.7		1,208,757
		5	-	9	-	2	7.3		0.0				0	4	1	2	3	6	6	7	9	12	11	13	14	11	4.3		2,375
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	5.4		0.0				0	3	1	2	2	4	5	6	8	10	12	14	16	17	8.1		57,971
		4	-	9	-	3	2.6		No							3	3		3	5	16	11	24	13	8	16	5.3		38
5		5	-	11	-	0	3.6		0.0				0	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	7	9	12	15	19	23	12.2		660,535
		4	-	10	-	2	2.6		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	5	7	10	12	15	19	22	11.3		1,211
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1	1.7		No					1	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	8	11	15	21	29	16.2		26,466	*
4		4	-	12	-	0	1.1		0.0				0	1	0	0	1	1	2	3	4	6	9	14	22	37	22.7		274,647
		3	-	11	-	2	0.9		No					0	0	0		1	2	1	6	6	10	15	20	38	18.3		447
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	5	8	14	22	44	29.0		8,850	*
3		3	-	13	-	0	0.3		No					0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	4	6	11	22	52	36.4		84,671
		2	-	12	-	2	Out		No										2	2	2	3	8	12	19	51	37.8		98
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1	Out		No									0	0	0	2	2	5	9	21	61	44.0		2,020
2		2	-	14	-	0	0.0		No					0		0	0	0	0	0	1	2	3	7	19	68	53.2		18,098	*
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1	Out		No												0	1	1	8	15	75	61.7		298
1		1	-	15	-	0	Out		No								0	0	0	0	0	0	1	4	14	80	66.6		2,385	*
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1	Out		No																12	88	76.5		17
0		0	-	16	-	0	Out		No													0		0	1	98	96.7		967

Total:							37.5	%	3.1	%	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	6	3.1	%	10,552,416

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/5	100.0*	Lottery seed
St. Louis vs Arizona	+1.6-0.0-1.6

If winner is:HomeTieAway
Week of 9/12	100.0*	Lottery seed
Arizona vs Detroit	-1.6+0.0+1.6

What If

None

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

16		16	-	0	-	0	97	3	1	0
15	.5	15	-	0	-	1	74	11	11		5
15		15	-	1	-	0	68	18	7	4	1	1	0	0	0	0	0		0
14	.5	14	-	1	-	1	60	17	11	4	3	1	1		1	1
14		14	-	2	-	0	52	20	11	6	4	2	2	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0			0
13	.5	13	-	2	-	1	44	20	12	7	5	4	3	1	1	1	0	1	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
13		13	-	3	-	0	37	20	12	8	6	4	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0	0	0
		12	-	2	-	2	35	17	14	12	3	7	3	3	2	2				1	2
12	.5	12	-	3	-	1	29	18	13	10	7	5	4	3	3	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0						0
12		12	-	4	-	0	23	16	12	10	8	6	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		11	-	3	-	2	22	18	10	13	8	6	6	5	3	2	2	1	1	1	0	1	1	0
11	.5	11	-	4	-	1	16	14	12	10	8	7	6	5	4	4	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0		0
11		11	-	5	-	0	12	11	10	9	8	7	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		10	-	4	-	2	10	12	10	11	8	8	6	6	5	5	4	3	3	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	1	1	0	0	0	0	0
10	.5	10	-	5	-	1	8	9	9	8	7	7	6	6	5	5	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	4	-	3	9	6	6	3	9	12	6	3	9	6	3	6	6	9		3	3									3
10		10	-	6	-	0	6	7	7	7	7	6	6	6	5	5	5	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0
		9	-	5	-	2	5	6	8	7	7	7	7	6	5	6	5	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	.5	9	-	6	-	1	3	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	1	0	0	0	0
		8	-	5	-	3	6	6	4	2	4	6	8	4	4	8	4	2	2	6	10	8		2	2	2	4	4
9		9	-	7	-	0	2	3	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0
		8	-	6	-	2	1	3	4	4	4	5	4	5	5	5	6	5	5	5	4	4	5	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	1	0	0	0
8	.5	8	-	7	-	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	2	1	1	1	0
		7	-	6	-	3		1	3	1	7	3	4	5	5	8	3	3	4	4	4	10	3	3	4	3	4		5	5	4		1	1
8		8	-	8	-	0	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	3	2	2	1	1
		7	-	7	-	2	1	1	2	2	3	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	4	4	4	5	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	2	1	1	1
7	.5	7	-	8	-	1	0	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	4	4	4	4	4	4	4	3	3	3	2	1
		6	-	7	-	3				3	1	5	3	3	5	4	3	6	4	5	3	8	4	5	6	1	3	1	5	1	5	6	1	1	3	5
7		7	-	9	-	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	4	3	2
		6	-	8	-	2	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	5	4	4	5	5	5	5	5	5	4	5	5	4	3	3	2
6	.5	6	-	9	-	1	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	4	4	5	5	5	5	6	6	6	6	6	5	5	3
		5	-	8	-	3	2					2		2		3	2	2	2	7	8	7	3	3	8		2	3	7		7	7	3		5	5	10	2
6		6	-	10	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	3	4	4	5	5	5	6	6	6	7	7	7	7	6
		5	-	9	-	2	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	0	1	1	2	2	2	2	3	3	3	4	4	5	6	5	5	5	7	6	7	7	8	6	4
5	.5	5	-	10	-	1	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	4	5	5	6	6	7	7	8	9	9	8
		4	-	9	-	3												5			3			3	5	5	3	5	5	11		5	3	18	11	8	5	5
5		5	-	11	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	4	5	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12
		4	-	10	-	2						0	0		0	0	0	0	0	1	1	2	2	1	1	2	3	4	5	5	5	7	8	9	9	9	12	11
4	.5	4	-	11	-	1		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	7	8	10	11	14	16
4		4	-	12	-	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	3	4	5	6	8	10	12	16	23
		3	-	11	-	2										0			0		0	0	0	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	4	8	5	11	9	13	17	18
3	.5	3	-	12	-	1											0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	2	3	4	6	7	9	13	19	29
3		3	-	13	-	0			0		0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	2	3	4	6	9	13	20	36
		2	-	12	-	2																			1	1	1	1	3	2	1	4	6	7	12	6	16	38
2	.5	2	-	13	-	1														0				0	0	0	0	1	1	1	1	2	4	5	8	11	22	44
2		2	-	14	-	0												0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	1	1	2	4	6	10	20	53
1	.5	1	-	14	-	1																					0				1	1	1	3	5	7	19	62
1		1	-	15	-	0													0						0	0			0	0	0	0	1	1	4	8	18	67
0	.5	0	-	15	-	1																														12	12	76
0		0	-	16	-	0																				0								0	0	1	2	97

Total:							3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3	3