How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/23100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Arizona 20 Pittsburgh 32 -1.7
-0.1
Oakland 0 Kansas City 28 +1.1
NY Jets 27 San Diego 21 -0.4
Tennessee 7 Houston 41 -0.2
Miami 15 Denver 18 -0.2
Cleveland 6 Seattle 3 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Jacksonville vs Baltimore+1.3-0.4
+0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Seattle vs Cincinnati-12.7+8.2
-0.7+0.5
Buffalo vs Washington-1.9+3.5
-0.1+0.1
Pittsburgh vs New England-1.3+1.5
-0.1+0.1
Baltimore vs Arizona-0.3+1.3
-0.0+0.2
Tennessee vs Indianapolis-0.4+1.1
-0.0+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Cincinnati finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-Lplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
1410-0In9551,967
139-1In712207016,532
128-2100.0%303140332063,754
117-398.241491512020140,207
106-475.60131274321300196,973
95-524.300032141276100182,770
84-61.40001123334154100113,835
73-70.0004193428122047,670
62-8Out0192838213012,419
51-9Out0325502011,898
40-10Out12751182180
Total:53.3%56312020171285311000778,205
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 10/23100.0*Lottery seed
Arizona 20 Pittsburgh 32 +0.1
Oakland 0 Kansas City 28 -0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Jacksonville vs Baltimore-0.3+0.1
If winner is:HomeAway
Week of 10/30100.0*Lottery seed
Seattle vs Cincinnati+1.6-1.1
Baltimore vs Arizona+0.1-0.3
Pittsburgh vs New England+0.1-0.1
Buffalo vs Washington+0.1-0.1
Tennessee vs Indianapolis+0.0-0.1
Carolina vs Minnesota+0.0-0.1
Houston vs Jacksonville+0.0-0.1

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
1410-0494650
139-112591670700
128-2129922310294200
117-3041134410262518220
106-40011210423251820400
95-50000003417222617821000
84-60000115132023181152000
73-70001381521221794100
62-800141221252111410
51-9131528311751
40-1021326361761
Total:04151100811119108654332211100000000