Up All Night to Get Luck-y Playoff Chances 2014 50/50
Lost to KEV 95.9-124.2, playoff odds down 16.5 to 63.1%
6-5-0 .545
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| KEV 124.2 FLN 95.9 | -16.5 | -0.8 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| BAC vs JES | +6.3*-1.1-6.3 | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | ||
| KID vs EVN | -2.2*-0.4+2.2 | |||
| PIA vs RWC | +0.8*+0.4-0.8 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FLN vs KID | +29.0*+2.2-28.9 | +1.0-0.2-1.0 | ||
| RWC vs KEV | -6.7*+2.1+6.7 | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | ||
| JES vs PIA | -4.7*-1.4+4.7 | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | ||
| EVN vs BAC | -1.2*+1.3+1.2 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FLN finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 17 | 50 | 28 | 5 | 1,925,692 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 99.1 | % | 1 | 24 | 40 | 34 | 1 | 3,090 | ||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 72.9 | 0 | 22 | 20 | 30 | 23 | 4 | 3,849,744 | |||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 23.2 | 1 | 1 | 21 | 64 | 13 | 3,051 | |||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 6.5 | 1 | 5 | 38 | 46 | 9 | 1,926,759 | ||||||
| Total: | 63.1 | % | 4 | 24 | 17 | 18 | 21 | 13 | 2 | 7,708,336 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
