Up All Night to Get Luck-y Playoff Chances 2014
Lost to KEV 95.9-124.2, playoff odds down 17.2 to 72.5%
6-5-0 .545
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 11/13 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| KEV 124.2 FLN 95.9 | -15.5 | -1.0 | ||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| BAC vs JES | +7.5*-0.2-3.5 | +0.4+0.2-0.2 | ||
| PIA vs RWC | +3.4+1.7-1.9 | +0.2+0.2-0.1 | ||
| KID vs EVN | -2.4-1.4+2.5 | |||
| If winner is:HomeTieAway | ||||
| Week of 11/20 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FLN vs KID | +22.0+5.7-35.5 | +0.7-0.3-1.2 | ||
| RWC vs KEV | -6.3*+0.8+6.0 | -0.2+0.2+0.2 | ||
| JES vs PIA | -3.0*+1.2+6.4 | -0.2+0.3+0.3 | ||
| EVN vs BAC | -0.8*+1.2+1.4 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the FLN finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Chance will finish regular season at seed | ||||||||||||||||
| TW | W | - | L | - | T | playoffs | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | Count | |||
| 8 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 13 | 44 | 32 | 11 | 10,572,117 | |||||||
| 7 | .5 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 98.1 | % | 0 | 13 | 36 | 49 | 2 | 12,650 | ||||
| 7 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 59.7 | 0 | 12 | 14 | 34 | 35 | 5 | 10,237,595 | |||||
| 0 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 60.0 | 20 | 40 | 40 | 5 | |||||||||
| 6 | .5 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 15.3 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 70 | 15 | 6,099 | |||||
| 6 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 3.3 | 0 | 3 | 42 | 47 | 7 | 2,296,542 | ||||||
| Total: | 72.5 | % | 6 | 25 | 21 | 20 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 23,125,008 | ||||||||
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Tuesday, 2023-11-7 2:25 PM Eastern (GMT-05:00)
