"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/9100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Titans 28 Colts 30 -10.0
-1.4
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 -1.3
+0.0
Bills 13 Browns 6 +0.2
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)+0.1
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13 +0.1
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 +0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Chance in playoffs100.0*Average seed
Colts vs Jaguars+0.4+0.5OutOutOut
-0.0-0.0-0.1+0.0+0.0
Titans vs Texans+0.4+0.4OutOutOut
+0.6+0.6-0.9-1.2-1.2
Bengals vs Browns+0.2+0.2-0.1-0.1-0.1
Raiders vs Broncos-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2
Dolphins vs Bills+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Titans finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance inChance will finish regular season at seed
TWW-L-Tplayoffs12345678910111213141516Count
83-0-07.1%07110433530129,782
7.52-0-1Out064146701,558
72-1-0Out13649121426,711
1-0-2Out4411449
6.51-1-1Out22850203,552
61-2-0Out12650230429,066
0-1-2Out1429577
5.50-2-1Out178031,551
50-3-0Out11691910121,152
Total:0.8%01015192925172001,113,388
Games Above .500
Chance Will Make Playoffs

Lottery

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Big Games

Week of 12/9100.0*Lottery seed
Titans 28 Colts 30 +2.7
Bills 13 Browns 6 -0.2
Redskins 16 Bucs 17 -0.1
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30 -0.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)-0.1
Cardinals 43 Broncos 13 -0.1
49ers 40 Seahawks 21 +0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13 -0.0
Lions 7 Packers 3 +0.0
Jaguars 38 Raiders 31 +0.0
Jets 6 Dolphins 10 -0.0
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0 -0.0
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Vikings vs Giants+0.2+0.1*+0.1-0.1-0.1
If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16100.0*Lottery seed
Titans vs Texans-1.2-1.2+1.3+2.5+2.5
Cowboys vs Redskins-0.1-0.1-0.1+0.2+0.2
Chargers vs 49ers-0.1-0.0+0.0+0.3+0.3
Bengals vs Browns-0.2-0.2+0.1+0.1+0.1
Vikings vs Bears+0.1+0.1*+0.2-0.1-0.1
Raiders vs Broncos+0.1+0.1*+0.1-0.2-0.2
Seahawks vs Falcons+0.1+0.2*+0.1-0.1-0.1
Dolphins vs Bills-0.0-0.0-0.2+0.1+0.1
Panthers vs Cardinals-0.1-0.1*+0.1+0.1+0.1
Colts vs Jaguars+0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0-0.0
Rams vs Chiefs+0.1+0.0*-0.1-0.0-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance will finish season at seed
TWW-L-T1234567891011121314151617181920212223242526272829303132
83-0-0061002144031510
7.52-0-15304417300
72-1-001832251572000
1-0-222223322
6.51-1-10211273122710
61-2-000311222723113000
0-1-214432914
5.50-2-10218413171
50-3-00162337219300
Total:01000025101311101112107521000