Pittsburgh Steelers Playoff Chances 2010 50/50

Did not play, playoff odds down 4.7 to 89%

10-3-0 .769

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers 23 Bengals 7	+8.2		+0.5
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	-4.7		-0.2
Bears 7 Patriots 36			-0.1
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0			+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Chance in playoffs	100.0*	Average seed
Steelers vs Jets	+7.9+7.9-6.7-7.5-7.9		+0.4+0.4-0.1-0.4-0.4
Ravens vs Saints	-7.8-7.6-7.8+7.8+7.8		-0.3-0.3-0.3+0.3+0.3
Patriots vs Packers			-0.1-0.1+0.1+0.1+0.1

Chances based on how well the Steelers finish out the regular season. Explain

									100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance in		Chance will finish regular season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	playoffs		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	Count

13		3	-	0	-	0	In		50	50															124,898
12	.5	2	-	0	-	1	In		51	49															1,512
12		2	-	1	-	0	100.0	%	12	88			0	0											374,551
		1	-	0	-	2	In			100															7
11	.5	1	-	1	-	1	87.1		11	76			12	1											3,074
11		1	-	2	-	0	87.5		0	86	1	0	6	6											374,143
		0	-	1	-	2	85.7			86			14												7
10	.5	0	-	2	-	1	49.7			38	11	1	20	30											1,534
10		0	-	3	-	0	49.8			26	23	1		49	1										124,864

Total:							89.0	%	11	75	3	0	2	9	0										1,004,590

Games Above .500

Chance Will Make Playoffs

Ye of little faith, already thinking about next year. Here are the big games and what ifs for draft seeds.

Week of 12/9	100.0*	Lottery seed
Steelers 23 Bengals 7	-1.1
Texans 28 Ravens 34 (ot)	+0.3
Chargers 31 Chiefs 0	-0.1
Lions 7 Packers 3	-0.1
Cowboys 27 Eagles 30	+0.0
Saints 31 Rams 13	+0.0

If winner is:HomeHome OTTieAway OTAway
Week of 12/16	100.0*	Lottery seed
Steelers vs Jets	-1.0-1.0+0.3+0.9+1.0
Ravens vs Saints	+0.5+0.5+0.5-0.5-0.5
Patriots vs Packers	+0.1+0.1-0.1-0.1-0.1
Vikings vs Bears	-0.0-0.0*+0.1+0.1+0.0
Giants vs Eagles	-0.0-0.0+0.1+0.0+0.0
Bucs vs Lions	+0.0+0.0+0.1-0.0-0.0
Colts vs Jaguars	-0.0-0.0*+0.1-0.0+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

							100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100	100
If finish:							Chance will finish season at seed
TW		W	-	L	-	T	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	17	18	19	20	21	22	23	24	25	26	27	28	29	30	31	32

13		3	-	0	-	0	38	12	50
12	.5	2	-	0	-	1	23	27	49
12		2	-	1	-	0	3	9	88	0					0	0
		1	-	0	-	2			100
11	.5	1	-	1	-	1	0	11	55	21					10	2	0
11		1	-	2	-	0		0	52	34	1	0	0		2	6	4	0	0
		0	-	1	-	2			71	14						14
10	.5	0	-	2	-	1			4	34	6	5	1		2	17	25	5	0
10		0	-	3	-	0			1	24	10	12	1			0	29	17	4	0	0

Total:							6	5	59	16	2	2	0		1	2	5	2	0	0	0